Brann vs Sarpsborg 08 preview

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Brann Stadion Tomorrow - 5:00 PM
Eliteserien
Brann SKB
Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 5:00 PM
Round 11 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Brann hosts Sarpsborg 08 at Brann Stadion in a 2026 Eliteserien regular season fixture. The home side enters as the stronger team with a power score of 68.16 against the visitors 59.57, creating an 8.6 point advantage. League positions place Brann eighth and Sarpsborg 08 ninth in the domestic table. Form scores further separate the sides with Brann at 24.83 and the away team at 15. Both clubs operate in similar mid-table territory yet display contrasting underlying strengths heading into the contest. The venue offers Brann a familiar platform to assert control through structured play and home support. Limited additional metrics on efficiency and set pieces leave room for on-field adjustments. This encounter highlights a classic home versus away dynamic within the league.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Brann holds an 8.6 point power advantage over Sarpsborg 08 in this Eliteserien encounter.
  • Form: Brann enters with a superior form score of 24.83 compared to Sarpsborg 08's 15.
  • Squad: Both teams occupy mid-table positions with Brann in eighth and Sarpsborg 08 in ninth.
  • Efficiency: Detailed efficiency data remains unavailable for the upcoming fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play statistics are not provided in the pre-match analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance indicators show low confidence with proxy data in use.
  • xVariable: Brann's power score of 68.16 exceeds Sarpsborg 08's 59.57.
  • Market: Baseline split: Brann 57.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 21.7% (Δ+0%) | Sarpsborg 08 20.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Brann F. Alexandersson
F. Alexandersson
VS
Sarpsborg 08 E. Sel
E. Sel
1.33
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.27
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 82 L
Aalesund Rank: 43 L
KFUM Rank: 56 W
Fredrikstad Rank: 61 W
Tromsø Rank: 68 W
Rosenborg Rank: 60 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Molde Rank: 66 W
Vålerenga Rank: 59 L
Fredrikstad Rank: 61 W
Lillestrøm Rank: 56 L
KFUM Rank: 57 L
Tromsø Rank: 68 L
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 6 - 7
7
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Brann
57.57%
Draw
21.74%
Away Sarpsborg 08
20.69%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
68.16
59.57
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Brann
Sarpsborg 08
Power Score
68.16
59.57
League Position
8
9
Global Rank
253
499

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Brann — Opponent-weighted form score
Sarpsborg 08 — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Brann Sarpsborg 08

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 24 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Brann SKB Home
24 matches
Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 Away
Match Record
11
Wins
7
6
Draws
6
7
Losses
11
Goals
36
Goals Scored
30
30
Goals Conceded
36
+6
Goal Difference
-6
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-27T00:03:58+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
S. Nilsen
12 S. Nilsen
V. Winger Dragsnes
20 V. Winger Dragsnes
D. Mbacke
6 D. Mbacke
F. Pallesen Knudsen
3 F. Pallesen Knudsen
J. Soltvedt
17 J. Soltvedt
N. Jensen Wassberg
25 N. Jensen Wassberg
F. Horn Myhre
8 F. Horn Myhre
K. Ingason
10 K. Ingason
U. Mathisen
14 U. Mathisen
N. Holm
29 N. Holm
J. Thorsteinsson
7 J. Thorsteinsson
M. Ndiaye
1 M. Ndiaye
A. Hiim
21 A. Hiim
M. Koch
2 M. Koch
B. Utvik
4 B. Utvik
C. Niyukuri
12 C. Niyukuri
S. Christiansen
8 S. Christiansen
V. Halvorsen
22 V. Halvorsen
N. Williams
17 N. Williams
A. Hansen
33 A. Hansen
S. Sørli
10 S. Sørli
D. Seland Karlsbakk
11 D. Seland Karlsbakk

General Information

Date & Time
May 29, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 11 · Regular Season
Stadium
Brann Stadion
Capacity
17686
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

12
S. Nilsen
S. Nilsen Goalkeeper
6.98
29
Noah Holm
Noah Holm Centre Forward
7.31
7
Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson
Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson Attacker
7.1
14
Ulrik Mathisen
Ulrik Mathisen Attacker
6.85
3
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen Left Back
6.84
6
Cheikh Mbacke Diop
Cheikh Mbacke Diop Right Back
25
Niklas Jensen Wassberg
Niklas Jensen Wassberg Central Midfield
6.47
10
K. Ingason
K. Ingason Central Midfield
7.07
17
Joachim Soltvedt
Joachim Soltvedt Left Back
6.93
20
V. Dragsnes
V. Dragsnes Right Back
6.76
8
Felix Horn Myhre
Felix Horn Myhre Central Midfield
6.9

Starting XI ▼

1
Mamour Ndiaye
Mamour Ndiaye Goalkeeper
7.05
11
Daniel Karlsbakk
Daniel Karlsbakk Centre Forward
6.58
2
Menno Koch
Menno Koch Left Back
6.65
4
Bjørn Inge Utvik
Bjørn Inge Utvik Right Back
6.96
8
Sander Christiansen
Sander Christiansen Defensive Midfield
6.95
10
Sondre Sörli
Sondre Sörli Right Wing
6.8
12
Claus Niyukuri
Claus Niyukuri Right Back
6.69
17
Noa Williams
Noa Williams Left Wing
6.62
21
Anders Hiim
Anders Hiim Left Back
6.77
22
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen Defensive Midfield
6.83
33
Andreas Hansen
Andreas Hansen Attacking Midfield
6.77

CONCLUSION

Brann will aim to capitalise on home advantage and superior power metrics when facing Sarpsborg 08. The eighth-placed hosts possess a clear edge in form and overall strength that could dictate the tempo. Sarpsborg 08, positioned just below in ninth, must find ways to disrupt Brann's structure and exploit any transition opportunities. Mid-table stakes add motivation for both sides to secure a positive result. Limited set piece and efficiency insights suggest the match may hinge on open play execution rather than specialised areas. Brann's familiarity with the venue provides an additional layer of comfort. Expect a competitive league encounter shaped by these underlying differences.