Monza vs Catanzaro preview
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
U-Power Stadium
Tomorrow - 6:00 PM
Serie B
Monza
MON
Catanzaro
CAT
KICKOFF :
Tomorrow - 6:00 PM
Final ·
Leg 2 of 2 ·
Aggregate : 2 - 0
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: May 28
CONTEXT
Monza host Catanzaro at the U-Power Stadium in the second leg of the Serie B Promotion Play-offs Final. The home side enters with a 2-0 aggregate advantage after a first-leg victory away from home. League positions show Monza in third and Catanzaro in fifth domestically. Power scores are nearly identical at 60.87 for Monza and 60.14 for Catanzaro, creating a minimal 0.7-point edge. Form metrics favor the hosts significantly with a 28.61 score against 17.67 for the visitors. Both teams operate in a competitive environment where small margins often decide promotion outcomes. The match represents the culmination of the season for both clubs seeking elevation to Serie A. Monza will look to manage the tie while Catanzaro needs to produce a response on the road.
TL;DR
-
Structural: Monza sit third in the domestic standings while Catanzaro occupy fifth place.
-
Form: Monza hold a clear form advantage with a score of 28.61 compared to Catanzaro's 17.67.
-
Squad: Both squads feature balanced personnel suited to the demands of a decisive second leg.
-
Efficiency: Detailed efficiency metrics remain unavailable for this fixture.
-
Transition: Transition data is limited yet both sides show structured build-up patterns.
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Set pieces: Set-piece xG data carries low confidence with proxy values applied for both teams.
-
xVariable: Monza hold a narrow power-score lead of 0.7 points over Catanzaro.
-
Market: Monza 53.9% (Δ-0.8%) | Draw 23.6% (Δ-0.4%) | Catanzaro 22.5% (Δ+1.2%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25
vs Team A
Feb 1
vs Team B
Feb 8
vs Team C
P. Bianco
VS
A. Aquilani
1.93
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.69
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Catanzaro
Rank: 61
W
Juve Stabia
Rank: 57
W
Juve Stabia
Rank: 57
D
Empoli
Rank: 55
D
Mantova
Rank: 55
L
Modena
Rank: 56
W
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Monza
Rank: 66
L
Palermo
Rank: 63
L
Palermo
Rank: 64
W
Avellino
Rank: 54
W
Bari 1908
Rank: 50
L
Palermo
Rank: 64
L
2
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Monza
53.87%
Draw
23.59%
Catanzaro
22.54%
Movement
Changes since opening
Monza
-0.79%
Draw
-0.44%
Catanzaro
+1.23%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
60.87
60.14
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Monza
Catanzaro
Power Score
60.87
60.14
League Position
3
5
Global Rank
274
477
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Monza
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Catanzaro
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Monza Catanzaro
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Monza
MON
Home
3
matches
Catanzaro
CAT
Away
Match Record
2
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
2
Goals
5
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
5
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-05-27T00:04:35+00:00
STARTING XI - EXPECTED
Match Formation
3-4-2-1
Match Formation
3-4-2-1
20 D. Thiam
19 S. Birindelli
13 L. Ravanelli
44 A. Carboni
24 A. Bakoune
21 L. Colombo
32 M. Pessina
7 P. Dentello Azzi
28 A. Colpani
47 D. Carvalho
10 P. Cutrone
22 M. Pigliacelli
23 N. Brighenti
4 M. Antonini Lui
84 T. Cassandro
30 G. Alesi
20 S. Pontisso
10 J. Petriccione
27 C. Favasuli
9 P. Iemmello
14 M. Liberali
8 F. Pittarello
General Information
Date & Time
May 29, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Final · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 2 - 0
Stadium
U-Power Stadium
Capacity
18568
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Expected Lineup
Manager ▼
P. Bianco
Coach
Starting XI ▼
20
Demba Thiam
Goalkeeper
7 7
Paulo Daniel Dentello Azzi
Midfielder
7.03 24
Adam Bakoune
Midfielder
6.68 28
Andrea Colpani
Midfielder
7.01 47
Dany Mota
Midfielder
6.86 10
Patrick Cutrone
Centre Forward
6.96 13
Luca Ravanelli
Centre Back
7.01 19
Samuele Birindelli
Right Back
6.94 21
Leonardo Colombo
Central Midfield
6.68 32
Matteo Pessina
Central Midfield
7.11 44
Andrea Carboni
Left Back
6.94 Substitutes ▼
1
Semuel Pizzignacco
7 2
Arvid Brorsson
6.6 3
Lorenzo Lucchesi
6.64 6
Valentin Antov
7.09 8
Hernani
7.13 14
Pedro Obiang
6.92 15
Filippo Delli Carri
6.87 25
Agustín Álvarez
6.75 26
Patrick Ciurria
6.68 27
Samuele Capolupo
6.43 30
Giuseppe Caso
6.75 37
Andrea Petagna
6.92 Manager ▼
A. Aquilani
Coach
Starting XI ▼
22
Mirko Pigliacelli
Goalkeeper
6.76 9
Pietro Iemmello
Midfielder
7.1 14
Mattia Liberali
Midfielder
6.82 27
Costantino Favasuli
Midfielder
6.93 30
Gabriele Alesi
Midfielder
6.74 8
Filippo Pittarello
Centre Forward
7.01 4
Matias Antonini
Centre Back
6.9 10
Jacopo Petriccione
Central Midfield
7.01 20
Simone Pontisso
Central Midfield
7.22 23
Nicolò Brighenti
Left Back
6.79 84
Tommaso Cassandro
Right Back
7 Substitutes ▼
1
Christian Marietta
5.8 5
Ervin Bashi
6.86 6
Fellipe Jack
6.64 19
Patrick Nuamah
6.48 21
Marco Pompetti
6.65 26
Bruno Verrengia
6.5 28
Rémi Oudin
6.73 32
Fabio Rispoli
6.74 39
N'Dri Koffi
6.52 62
Ruggero Frosinini
6.55 77
Marco D'Alessandro
6.76 94
Federico Di Francesco
6.81 CONCLUSION
Monza enter the second leg with a two-goal cushion and superior recent form that should allow controlled possession and defensive organization. Catanzaro must generate attacking threat quickly to overturn the deficit yet face a compact Monza side at home. Power scores indicate minimal overall difference but the venue and aggregate position tilt the balance toward the hosts. Set-piece information offers little clarity so open-play execution will likely decide the outcome. Monza can prioritize game management while remaining alert to counter opportunities. Catanzaro need creativity and intensity to force errors. The encounter promises a tactical battle where experience in high-stakes matches may prove decisive for promotion.