Osijek vs Slaven Koprivnica preview

Croatia flag 2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
Stadion Gradski vrt Fri, 22 May - 2:00 PM
1. HNL
Osijek Osijek
2 0
Slaven Koprivnica Slaven Koprivnica
Full Time Fri, 22 May 2:00 PM
Round 36 Regular Season
Nail Omerovic - 55'
Miloš Jovičić - 62'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Osijek hosted Slaven Koprivnica in a match that ended with a 2-0 victory for the home side. The first half concluded goalless, with both teams unable to break the deadlock despite even conditions at halftime. In the second half, Osijek managed to score twice to secure the win. Possession was fairly balanced, with Osijek holding 53 percent compared to 47 percent for Slaven Koprivnica. No red cards were shown to either team throughout the game. Although Slaven Koprivnica was considered the stronger side beforehand, Osijek's performance led to their success on the day. The minimal deviation observed highlighted the close nature of the contest relative to initial projections. This result marked an important outcome for Osijek in their campaign.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Osijek 2-0 Slaven Koprivnica. Osijek showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with expected patterns during the match.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed as expected goals data was unavailable.
  • Market alignment: The outcome was consistent with market alignment indicators.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations were not defined due to the lack of available metrics.
  • Event impact: The two second-half goals had a significant event impact on the final result.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion was absent given that no red cards occurred in the match.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Crnojević
M. Crnojević
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
I. Mihalj
I. Mihalj
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
D. Kolarević
D. Kolarević
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Majstrović
M. Majstrović
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Osijek T. Radotic
T. Radotic
VS
Slaven Koprivnica M. Gregurina
M. Gregurina
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.95
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Gorica Rank: 62 L
Istra 1961 Rank: 63 L
Vukovar Rank: 55 L
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: 63 D
Hajduk Split Rank: 72 W
Varaždin Rank: 66 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 82 L
Gorica Rank: 62 W
Istra 1961 Rank: 62 L
Vukovar Rank: 56 D
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: 63 L
Hajduk Split Rank: 72 D
28
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
28 - 17 - 25
25

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Osijek
97.86%
Draw
1.92%
Away Slaven Koprivnica
0.22%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.45
61.95
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Osijek
Slaven Koprivnica
Power Score
61.45
61.95
League Position
9
8
Global Rank
440
420

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Osijek — Opponent-weighted form score
Slaven Koprivnica — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Osijek Slaven Koprivnica

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Osijek

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Slaven Koprivnica

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Osijek ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Slaven Koprivnica
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Osijek Slaven Koprivnica
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Osijek Slaven Koprivnica
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Osijek
Slaven Koprivnica
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Osijek
vs
Slaven Koprivnica
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Osijek Slaven Koprivnica
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Osijek 0.00
Slaven Koprivnica 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Osijek Slaven Koprivnica
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Osijek 0.00
Slaven Koprivnica 0.00
Osijek
Slaven Koprivnica
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Osijek had peak pressure around 12'.
  • Osijek started the game with stronger pressure.
Osijek Pressure Slaven Koprivnica Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Osijek reached the top pressure at 12' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 70 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Osijek Osijek Home
70 matches
Slaven Koprivnica Slaven Koprivnica Away
Match Record
28
Wins
25
17
Draws
17
25
Losses
28
Goals
95
Goals Scored
74
74
Goals Conceded
95
+21
Goal Difference
-21
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-22T13:30:21+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
M. Grahovac
12 M. Grahovac
M. Jovičić
Substitution
98 M. Jovičić
I. Kolarik
49 I. Kolarik
N. Farkaš
Substitution
18 N. Farkaš
R. Jurišić
Croatia
22 R. Jurišić
L. Vrbančić
Substitution
Croatia
23 L. Vrbančić
V. Bubanja
Montenegro
21 V. Bubanja
D. Bukvić
Croatia
39 D. Bukvić
S. Akere
Substitution
Nigeria
57 S. Akere
N. Omerović
Bosnia and Herzegovina
11 N. Omerović
A. Jakupovic
Substitution
Austria
17 A. Jakupovic
I. Čović
Croatia
32 I. Čović
D. Kovačić
Croatia
4 D. Kovačić
M. Lešković
Substitution
Croatia
13 M. Lešković
V. Međimorec
Substitution
Croatia
2 V. Međimorec
K. Išasegi
Croatia
33 K. Išasegi
L. Crepulja
Croatia
21 L. Crepulja
I. Ćubelić
Croatia
15 I. Ćubelić
F. Krušelj
Croatia
18 F. Krušelj
L. Ratshukudu
Substitution
Botswana
14 L. Ratshukudu
I. Nestorovski
Substitution
Macedonia
90 I. Nestorovski
I. Lepinjica
Croatia
23 I. Lepinjica

General Information

Date & Time
May 22, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Gradski vrt
Capacity
1000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Marko Crnojević
Ivan Mihalj
Dario Kolarević
Marino Majstrović

Statistics

Possession
Osijek
53%
Slaven Koprivnica
47%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
2 Big Chances Created 0
9 Shots 2
50 Dangerous attacks 24
53 Possession 47
16 Corners 2
12 Free kicks 19

Match Overview

9 Successful Dribbles 11
16 Throwins 7
21 Dribble Attempts 23
5 Substitutions 5
43 Successful Dribbles Percentage 48
8 Goal Kicks 6
2 Assists 0

Attacking

63 Attacks 61
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

20 Key Passes 5
431 Passes 405
47 Long Passes 38
26 Successful Long Passes 16
55 Successful Long Passes Percentage 42
356 Successful Passes 332
83 Successful Passes Percentage 82

Defensive

20 Tackles 27
57 Duels Won 70
2 Saves 7
12 Interceptions 11

Build-up

8 Accurate Crosses 2
31 Total Crosses 11

Discipline

19 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Marko Crnojević

Starting XI ▼

12
Matej Grahovac
Matej Grahovac Goalkeeper
18
Niko Farkas
Niko Farkas Defender
6.34
48
Jona Jezic
Jona Jezic
Midfielder77'
6.34
22
Roko Jurisic
Roko Jurisic Defender
6.77
49
Ivano Kolarik
Ivano Kolarik Defender
6.63
98
Miloš Jovičić
Miloš Jovičić Defender
6.52
5
Jon Mersinaj
Jon Mersinaj
Defender78'
6.61
11
Nail Omerovic
Nail Omerovic Midfielder
6.89
21
Vladan Bubanja
Vladan Bubanja Midfielder
6.79
23
Luka Vrbancic
Luka Vrbancic Midfielder
6.73
16
Oleksandr Petrusenko
Oleksandr Petrusenko
Midfielder67'
6.71
39
Domagoj Bukvic
Domagoj Bukvic Midfielder
6.71
57
Samuel Akere
Samuel Akere Midfielder
6.83
47
David Kalem
David Kalem
Defender21'
17
Arnel Jakupovic
Arnel Jakupovic Attacker
6.85
46
Ivan Barić
Ivan Barić
Attacker67'
6.52
Referee : Marko Crnojević

Starting XI ▼

32
Mateusz Stolarski
Mateusz Stolarski Goalkeeper
6.79
2
Vinko Medjimorec
Vinko Medjimorec Defender
6.65
17
Filip Mažar
Filip Mažar
Attacker61'
6.69
4
Dominik Kovacic
Dominik Kovacic Defender
6.78
13
Marko Leskovic
Marko Leskovic Defender
6.53
5
Zvonimir Katalinic
Zvonimir Katalinic
Defender73'
6.46
15
Ivan Cubelic
Ivan Cubelic Midfielder
6.76
18
Filip Kruselj
Filip Kruselj Midfielder
6.82
21
Ljuban Crepulja
Ljuban Crepulja Midfielder
7.05
23
Igor Lepinjica
Igor Lepinjica Midfielder
6.5
33
Karlo Isasegi
Karlo Isasegi Midfielder
6.57
14
Losika Ratshukudu
Losika Ratshukudu Attacker
6.58
8
Leon Geci
Leon Geci
Midfielder86'
90
Ilija Nestorovski
Ilija Nestorovski Attacker
7.07
16
Luka Curkovic
Luka Curkovic
Defender86'
6.63

Events

2ND-HALF
86'
Event
Luka Curkovic → Ilija Nestorovski
9th Substitution
86'
Event
Leon Geci → Losika Ratshukudu
10th Substitution
Event
Jon Mersinaj → Miloš Jovičić
8th Substitution
78'
Event
Jona Jezic → Niko Farkas
7th Substitution
77'
73'
Event
Zvonimir Katalinic → Marko Leskovic
6th Substitution
Event
Ivan Barić → Arnel Jakupovic
4th Substitution
67'
Event
Oleksandr Petrusenko → Luka Vrbancic
5th Substitution
67'
Event
Miloš Jovičić
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
62'
61'
Event
Gabrijel Sivalec → Leon Bošnjak
3rd Substitution
61'
Event
Filip Mažar → Vinko Medjimorec
2nd Substitution
Event
Nail Omerovic
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
55'
1ST-HALF
Event
David Kalem → Samuel Akere
1st Substitution
21'

Match Commentary

86
Update Update
Luka Curkovic is on, and Ilja Nestorovski is off.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Jon Mersinaj comes on for Milos Jovicic.
73
Update Update
Zvonimir Katalinic replaces Marko Leskovic.
78
Update Update
Jon Mersinaj replaces Milos Jovicic.
76
Attempt Attempt
Ljuban Crepulja takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
84
Attempt Attempt
Jona Jezic's left-footed shot is blocked.
76
Attempt Attempt
Ilja Nestorovski's left-footed shot is blocked.
62
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Milos Jovicic scores with a right-footed shot.
62
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Milos Jovicic scores, making it 2-0.
61
Update Update
Gabrijel Sivalec comes on for Leon Bosnjak.
59
Attempt Attempt
Nail Omerovic takes a shot with his right foot, but it's blocked.
58
Attempt Attempt
Ivan Cubelic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
86
Attempt Attempt
Nail Omerovic takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
86
Substitution Substitution
Leon Geci is substituted off for Losika Ratshukudu.
50
Attempt Attempt
Nail Omerovic takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
89
Attempt Attempt
Filip Mazar takes a left-footed shot but misses.
61
Update Update
Filip Mazar is on, and Vinko Medimorec is off.
55
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Nail Omerovic scores with a right-footed shot.
46
Attempt Attempt
Niko Farkas takes a left-footed shot but misses.
78
Attempt Attempt
Ivan Baric takes a right-footed shot but misses.
41
Attempt Attempt
Domagoj Bukvic's left-footed shot is blocked.
39
Attempt Attempt
Niko Farkas takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
67
Update Update
Oleksandr Petrusenko replaces Luka Vrbancic.
67
Substitution Substitution
Ivan Baric is substituted for Arnel Jakupovic.
41
Update Update
Ivano Kolarik takes a header, but it goes wide.
40
Attempt Attempt
Luka Vrbancic takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
32
Attempt Attempt
Milos Jovicic takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
31
Attempt Attempt
Ivan Cubelic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
30
Attempt Attempt
Vladan Bubanja takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
29
Attempt Attempt
Dominik Kovacic's right-footed shot is saved.
29
Attempt Attempt
Ilja Nestorovski's left-footed shot is blocked.
47
Attempt Attempt
Losika Ratshukudu's right-footed shot is blocked.
21
Update Update
David Kalem is on, and Samuel Akere is off.
14
Attempt Attempt
Vladan Bubanja attempts a header but misses the shot.
12
Attempt Attempt
Ilja Nestorovski attempts a left-footed shot but misses.
10
Attempt Attempt
Vladan Bubanja attempts a header but misses the shot.
10
Attempt Attempt
Domagoj Bukvic takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
7
Attempt Attempt
Roko Jurisic takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
5
Attempt Attempt
Milos Jovicic takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
5
Attempt Attempt
Arnel Jakupovic takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
87
Attempt Attempt
Ivano Kolarik's header is saved.
82
Attempt Attempt
Jona Jezic's header is saved.
50
Update Update
Ivano Kolarik's header is blocked.
8
Attempt Attempt
Milos Jovicic takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Osijek 2-0 Slaven Koprivnica. Structural assessment: Osijek exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.