SK Poltava vs Dynamo Kyiv preview

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Stadion Zirka Sat, 16 May - 10:00 AM
Premier League
SK Poltava SK Poltava
Dynamo Kyiv DYN
KICKOFF : Sat, 16 May - 10:00 AM
Round 29 Regular Season

CONTEXT

At Stadion Zirka, SK Poltava hosts Dynamo Kyiv in a Premier League regular season encounter during the 2025/2026 campaign. Sitting 16th in the standings, Poltava confronts a formidable opponent in 4th-placed Dynamo, who possess a commanding power score of 65.95 against Poltava's 35.96, translating to a 30-point advantage. This structural imbalance is mirrored in form metrics, where Dynamo's 23.94 outpaces Poltava's modest 8.67. Poltava's home ground offers slim hope for an upset, yet Dynamo's higher league position signals greater consistency and quality. Advanced data remains sparse, with set piece evaluations relying on low-confidence proxies and no xG availability. Poltava must summon defensive resilience and capitalize on rare counters, while Dynamo aims to dominate possession and efficiency. The mismatch underscores Dynamo's favoritism in this lopsided fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Dynamo Kyiv enjoys a 30-point power advantage over SK Poltava with scores of 65.95 to 35.96.
  • Form: Dynamo Kyiv's form score of 23.94 significantly surpasses SK Poltava's 8.67.
  • Squad: SK Poltava occupies 16th place while Dynamo Kyiv sits 4th in the Premier League table.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play data is not provided for either team.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats use low-confidence proxies with no xG data for SK Poltava or Dynamo Kyiv.
  • xVariable: xG availability is absent, limiting advanced performance insights.
  • Market: Projection split: SK Poltava 0% (ฮ”+0%) | Draw 0% (ฮ”+0%) | Dynamo Kyiv 0% (ฮ”+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (โ‰ฅ8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
โ„น๏ธ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
SK Poltava P. Matviychenko
P. Matviychenko
VS
Dynamo Kyiv I. Kostyuk
I. Kostyuk
0.44
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.81
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: 59 D
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: 75 L
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rank: 56 D
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: 53 L
Obolon'-Brovar Rank: 41 D
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: 63 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: 55 D
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: 58 D
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: 75 L
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rank: 56 W
Zorya Luhansk Rank: 54 W
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: 52 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home SK Poltava
0%
Draw
0%
Away Dynamo Kyiv
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
35.96
65.95
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
SK Poltava
Dynamo Kyiv
Power Score
35.96
65.95
League Position
16
4
Global Rank
1181
307

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking โ€” based on last 6 matches.

โ€“
vs
SK Poltava โ€” Opponent-weighted form score
Dynamo Kyiv โ€” Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) SK Poltava Dynamo Kyiv

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides โ€” filtered by competition and venue context.

SK Poltava SK Poltava Home
1 matches
Dynamo Kyiv DYN Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
2
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-12T00:07:16+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
May 16, 2026, 10:00 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine ยท Round 29 ยท Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Zirka
Capacity
13667
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
โ˜€๏ธ 12ยฐC, Fair

Squad

Squad โ–ผ

13
Valeriy Voskonyan
Valeriy Voskonyan Goalkeeper
96
Danyil Ermolov
Danyil Ermolov Goalkeeper
1
Mykyta Minchev
Mykyta Minchev Goalkeeper
20
Evgen Misyura
Evgen Misyura Defender
95
Igor Kotsyumaka
Igor Kotsyumaka Defender
12
Andriy Savenkov
Andriy Savenkov Defender
33
Oleh Veremiienko
Oleh Veremiienko Defender
19
Mykola Buzhyn
Mykola Buzhyn Defender
2
Mykyta Kononov
Mykyta Kononov Defender
24
Illia Ukhan
Illia Ukhan Defender
5
Vadym Pidlepych
Vadym Pidlepych Defender
44
Dmytro Plakhtyr
Dmytro Plakhtyr Midfielder
7
Denis Galenkov
Denis Galenkov Midfielder
11
Oleksandr Pyatov
Oleksandr Pyatov Midfielder
15
Vladislav Danilenko
Vladislav Danilenko Midfielder
6
Bohdan Biloshevskyi
Bohdan Biloshevskyi Midfielder
10
Valerii Sad
Valerii Sad Midfielder
21
Arsentiy Doroshenko
Arsentiy Doroshenko Midfielder
14
Maksim Marusich
Maksim Marusich Attacker
8
Volodymyr Odariuk
Volodymyr Odariuk Attacker
38
Danyil Sukhoruchko
Danyil Sukhoruchko Attacker
93
Bohdan Kobzar
Bohdan Kobzar Attacker
88
Oleksandr Vivdych
Oleksandr Vivdych Attacker

Squad โ–ผ

35
Ruslan Neshcheret
Ruslan Neshcheret Goalkeeper
51
Valentyn Morgun
Valentyn Morgun Goalkeeper
74
Denis Ignatenko
Denis Ignatenko Goalkeeper
20
Oleksandr Karavaev
Oleksandr Karavaev Defender
18
Oleksandr Tymchyk
Oleksandr Tymchyk Defender
44
Vladyslav Dubinchak
Vladyslav Dubinchak Defender
4
Denys Popov
Denys Popov Defender
40
Kristian Bilova
Kristian Bilova Defender
2
Kostiantyn Vivcharenko
Kostiantyn Vivcharenko Defender
66
Aliou Thiare
Aliou Thiare Defender
32
Taras Mykhavko
Taras Mykhavko Defender
13
Maksym Korobov
Maksym Korobov Defender
34
Vladyslav Zakharchenko
Vladyslav Zakharchenko Defender
29
Vitaliy Buyalskyy
Vitaliy Buyalskyy Midfielder
10
Mykola Shaparenko
Mykola Shaparenko Midfielder
8
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok Midfielder
91
Mykola Mykhailenko
Mykola Mykhailenko Midfielder
6
Volodymyr Brazhko
Volodymyr Brazhko Midfielder
5
Oleksandr Yatsyk
Oleksandr Yatsyk Midfielder
7
Andriy Yarmolenko
Andriy Yarmolenko Attacker
22
Vladyslav Kabaiev
Vladyslav Kabaiev Attacker
39
Eduardo Antonio Guerrero Lozcano
Eduardo Antonio Guerrero Lozcano Attacker
9
Nazar Voloshyn
Nazar Voloshyn Attacker
77
V. Blฤƒnuศ›ฤƒ
V. Blฤƒnuศ›ฤƒ Attacker
11
Matviy Ponomarenko
Matviy Ponomarenko Attacker
16
Oluwashola Elijah Ogundana
Oluwashola Elijah Ogundana Attacker
70
Bogdan Redushko
Bogdan Redushko Attacker

CONCLUSION

Dynamo Kyiv enters as clear superior force, leveraging superior power ratings and form to likely overwhelm SK Poltava. The hosts' lowly position demands extraordinary resolve at Stadion Zirka, but Dynamo's midfield control and attacking edge should prevail. Without robust advanced stats, fundamentals point to visiting dominance in possession and chances created. Poltava's survival hinges on stout defending, yet gaps in quality across positions favor Dynamo securing vital points. Expect a controlled away performance yielding a comfortable result.