Celtic VS Hearts

2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland

Celtic Park Sat, 16 May - 11:30 AM

Premiership

Celtic CEL

Hearts Hearts

KICKOFF : Sat, 16 May - 11:30 AM

Round 38 2nd Phase

CONTEXT

Celtic host Hearts in Premiership (2nd Phase) at Celtic Park. Domestically, Celtic sit 3th in the table while Hearts are 1th. Power ranking favours Celtic by 4.7 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

Structural: Celtic hold a 4.7-point power advantage over Hearts, positioning them as the structurally superior side.
Form: Both teams register form scores of zero with no last outing data available.
Squad: League positions show Hearts in 1st and Celtic in 3rd domestically.
Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this matchup.
Transition: Transition play data is not provided in current analysis.
Set pieces: Set piece stats use low-confidence proxies with no xG available for either team.
xVariable: Celtic's power score of 79.25 exceeds Hearts' 74.56.
Market: Baseline split: Celtic 59.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 22.2% (Δ+0%) | Hearts 18.7% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

M. O'Neill

D. McInnes

2.08

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.92

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

49 - 8 - 13

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Celtic

59.1%

Draw

22.23%

Hearts

18.67%

Team Power Ranking

79.25

74.56

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Celtic

Hearts

Power Score

79.25

74.56

League Position

Global Rank

126

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Celtic — Opponent-weighted form score

Hearts — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Celtic Hearts

General Information

Date & Time

May 16, 2026, 11:30 AM

Competition

2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland · Round 38 · 2nd Phase

Stadium

Celtic Park

Capacity

60411

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Manager ▼

M. O'Neill Coach

Squad ▼

Kasper Schmeichel Goalkeeper

Ross Doohan Goalkeeper

Viljani Sinisalo Goalkeeper

Cameron Carter-Vickers Defender

Liam Scales Defender

Kieran Tierney Defender

Anthony Ralston Defender

Marcelo Josemir Saracchi Pintos Defender

Auston Trusty Defender

Julian Araujo Defender

Alistair Johnston Defender

Dane Murray Defender

Adam Montgomery Defender

Benjamin Arthur Defender

Colby Donovan Defender

Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain Midfielder

Callum McGregor Midfielder

Luke McCowan Midfielder

Reo Hatate Midfielder

Paulo Guilherme Gonçalves Bernardo Midfielder

Arne Engels Midfielder

Joel Mvuka Midfielder

Kelechi Promise Iheanacho Attacker

João Pedro Neves Filipe Attacker

James Forrest Attacker

Daizen Maeda Attacker

Junior Chikwubuike Adamu Attacker

Tomáš Čvančara Attacker

Sebastian Tounekti Attacker

Benjamin Nygren Attacker

Michel Ange Balikwisha Attacker

Hyun-Jun Yang Attacker

Callum Osmand Attacker

Manager ▼

D. McInnes Coach

Squad ▼

Craig Gordon Goalkeeper

Ryan Fulton Goalkeeper

Alexander Schwolow Goalkeeper

Stephen Kingsley Defender

Frankie Kent Defender

Stuart Findlay Defender

Jamie Mccart Defender

Craig Halkett Defender

Harry Milne Defender

Christian Dahle Borchgrevink Defender

Michael Steinwender Defender

Oisin McEntee Defender

Jordi Altena Defender

Blair Spittal Midfielder

Beni Baningime Midfielder

Tómas Bent Magnússon Midfielder

Cameron Devlin Midfielder

Marc Leonard Midfielder

Calem Nieuwenhof Midfielder

Finlay Pollock Midfielder

Eduardo Ageu Almeida Santos Midfielder

Lawrence Shankland Attacker

Alan Forrest Attacker

Elton Daniël Kabangu Attacker

Pierre Landry Kabore Attacker

Alexandros Kiziridis Attacker

Cláudio Rafael Soares Braga Attacker

Islam Chesnokov Attacker

Rogers Mato Attacker

Sabah Kerjota Attacker

CONCLUSION

Celtic's power edge and home advantage at Celtic Park set the stage for a commanding display against league-leading Hearts. Despite Hearts' top position, Celtic's 79.25 rating signals potential dominance in this 2nd Phase clash. Neutral form levels the field somewhat, but underlying metrics favor the hosts to capitalize on their 4.7-point superiority. Hearts must defy the data to maintain their perch, yet Celtic's structural strengths could prove decisive in bridging the standings gap. A compelling Premiership encounter awaits.

STANDINGS

CONTEXT