Brann vs KFUM preview

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Brann Stadion Sat, 16 May - 12:00 PM
Eliteserien
Brann SKB
2 1
KFUM KFUM
Full Time Sat, 16 May 12:00 PM
Round 9 Regular Season
Noah Holm - 36'
V. Dragsnes - 43'
Goal
|
Goal
Bilal Njie - 49'
|
Red Card Fredrik Berglie 30'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Brann 2–1 KFUM. The result saw Brann take the points. Brann showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. xG finished Brann 1.9 – 0.8 KFUM. Possession was 75%–25%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Brann 2-1 KFUM. Brann showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was consistent with expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Aligned with xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
  • Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Sinnes
S. Sinnes
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Rossland
A. Rossland
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
S. Brudvik
S. Brudvik
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. B. V. Schulz
M. B. V. Schulz
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Brann F. Alexandersson
F. Alexandersson
VS
KFUM J. Moesgaard
J. Moesgaard
1.3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.8
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fredrikstad Rank: 61 W
Tromsø Rank: 70 W
Rosenborg Rank: 61 D
Viking Rank: 79 L
Sandefjord Rank: 61 L
HamKam Rank: 59 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Viking Rank: 79 L
Vålerenga Rank: 59 D
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 60 W
HamKam Rank: 59 L
Aalesund Rank: 43 D
Sandefjord Rank: 61 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 2 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Brann
60.17%
Draw
22.47%
Away KFUM
17.36%

Movement

Changes since opening
Brann
-37.26%
Draw
+20.09%
KFUM
+17.17%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
69.33
55.59
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Brann
KFUM
Power Score
69.33
55.59
League Position
6
13
Global Rank
220
619

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Brann — Opponent-weighted form score
KFUM — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Brann KFUM

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Brann

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

KFUM

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Brann ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy KFUM
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
25.93
31.40
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
31.40
25.93
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Brann -0.55 Efficiency Index
vs
KFUM +0.55 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Brann
KFUM
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Brann
vs
KFUM
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Brann KFUM
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Brann KFUM
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Brann
KFUM
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Brann
vs
KFUM
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Brann KFUM
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Brann 0.13
KFUM 0.16
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Brann KFUM
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Brann 0.03
KFUM 0.02
Brann
KFUM
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SKB had peak pressure around 37'.
  • SKB started the game with stronger pressure.
SKB Pressure KFUM Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SKB reached the top pressure at 37' (83.64).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Brann SKB Home
4 matches
KFUM KFUM Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
2
Draws
2
1
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
3
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-18T08:55:24+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
S. Nilsen
Norway
12 S. Nilsen
V. Winger Dragsnes
Substitution
Norway
20 V. Winger Dragsnes
F. Pallesen Knudsen
Substitution
Norway
3 (C) F. Pallesen Knudsen
T. Pedersen
Norway
23 T. Pedersen
J. Soltvedt
Norway
17 J. Soltvedt
K. Ingason
Substitution
Iceland
10 K. Ingason
J. Sørensen
Substitution
Denmark
18 J. Sørensen
F. Horn Myhre
Norway
8 F. Horn Myhre
U. Mathisen
Substitution
Norway
14 U. Mathisen
N. Holm
Norway
29 N. Holm
J. Thorsteinsson
Iceland
7 J. Thorsteinsson
E. Ødegaard
Norway
1 E. Ødegaard
E. Franke Saunes
Norway
19 E. Franke Saunes
F. Berglie
Norway
5 F. Berglie
D. Schneider
Substitution
Norway
2 D. Schneider
S. Sjøkvist
Substitution
Norway
21 S. Sjøkvist
S. Hestnes
Norway
8 S. Hestnes
R. Rasch
Norway
7 (C) R. Rasch
H. Hoseth
Norway
14 H. Hoseth
B. Njie
Substitution
Norway
10 B. Njie
M. Wolff Eikrem
Substitution
Norway
23 M. Wolff Eikrem
M. Vinjor
Substitution
Norway
9 M. Vinjor

General Information

Date & Time
May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 9 · Regular Season
Stadium
Brann Stadion
Capacity
17686
Attendance
17500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Svein Tore Sinnes
Alf Olav Rossland
Sondre Brudvik
Marius Benkestok Vesterhus Schulz

Statistics

Possession
SKB
70%
KFUM
30%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 2
14 Shots 6
109 Dangerous attacks 37
75 Possession 25
6 Corners 0
15 Free kicks 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

17 Dribble Attempts 15
34 Throwins 25
47 Successful Dribbles Percentage 53
6 Goal Kicks 7
5 Substitutions 5
8 Successful Dribbles 8
1 Assists 1
2 Hit Woodwork 0
8 Goal Attempts 5
74 Ball Safe 70

Attacking

0 Big Chances Missed 1
138 Attacks 76
3 Counter Attacks 1

Possession

48 Successful Long Passes 12
9 Key Passes 5
70 Successful Long Passes Percentage 19
558 Successful Passes 124
69 Long Passes 63
662 Passes 225
84 Successful Passes Percentage 55

Defensive

65 Duels Won 36
7 Interceptions 10
2 Saves 7
11 Tackles 13

Build-up

6 Accurate Crosses 3
25 Total Crosses 5

Discipline

2 Offsides 2
5 Fouls 15

Lineup

Referee : Svein Tore Sinnes

Starting XI ▼

12
S. Nilsen
S. Nilsen Goalkeeper
7.07
3
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen (C) Defender
6.46
43
Rasmus Holten
Rasmus Holten
Defender20'
7.06
17
Joachim Soltvedt
Joachim Soltvedt Defender
7.24
20
V. Dragsnes
V. Dragsnes Defender
7.92
15
Jonas Torsvik
Jonas Torsvik
Defender82'
6.44
23
Thore Pedersen
Thore Pedersen Defender
7.51
8
Felix Horn Myhre
Felix Horn Myhre Midfielder
6.89
10
K. Ingason
K. Ingason Midfielder
6.5
25
Niklas Jensen Wassberg
Niklas Jensen Wassberg
Midfielder65'
6.41
18
Jacob Lungi Sørensen
Jacob Lungi Sørensen Midfielder
7.58
16
Kristian Eriksen
Kristian Eriksen
Midfielder82'
6.47
7
Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson
Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson Attacker
7.44
14
Ulrik Mathisen
Ulrik Mathisen Attacker
7.09
11
Bård Finne
Bård Finne
Attacker65'
6.92
29
Noah Holm
Noah Holm Attacker
7.57
Referee : Svein Tore Sinnes

Starting XI ▼

1
Emil Ødegaard
Emil Ødegaard Goalkeeper
7.21
2
Daniel Schneider
Daniel Schneider Defender
7.04
22
Bjørn Martin Kristensen
Bjørn Martin Kristensen
Attacker79'
6.34
5
Fredrik Berglie
Fredrik Berglie Defender
5.19
19
Eirik Saunes
Eirik Saunes Defender
6.31
7
Robin Rasch
Robin Rasch (C) Midfielder
6.55
8
Simen Hestnes
Simen Hestnes Midfielder
7.5
14
Håkon Helland Hoseth
Håkon Helland Hoseth Midfielder
6.4
21
S. Sjøkvist
S. Sjøkvist Midfielder
6.31
42
David Hickson
David Hickson
Attacker46'
6.64
9
Martin Tangen Vinjor
Martin Tangen Vinjor Attacker
6.26
17
Teodor Berg Haltvik
Teodor Berg Haltvik
Midfielder63'
6.7
10
Bilal Njie
Bilal Njie Attacker
7.1
18
Rasmus Eggen Vinge
Rasmus Eggen Vinge
Attacker79'
6.56
23
Magnus Wolff Eikrem
Magnus Wolff Eikrem Attacker
6.41
13
Brage Skaret
Brage Skaret
Defender33'
6.36

Events

2ND-HALF
90+4'
Event
Robin Rasch
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
86'
Event
Eirik Saunes
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Kristian Eriksen → Jacob Lungi Sørensen
9th Substitution
82'
Event
Jonas Torsvik → V. Dragsnes
10th Substitution
82'
79'
Event
Rasmus Eggen Vinge → Bilal Njie
8th Substitution
79'
Event
Bjørn Martin Kristensen → Daniel Schneider
7th Substitution
Event
Bård Finne → Ulrik Mathisen
5th Substitution
65'
Event
Niklas Jensen Wassberg → K. Ingason
6th Substitution
65'
63'
Event
Teodor Berg Haltvik → Martin Tangen Vinjor
4th Substitution
54'
Event
David Hickson
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
49'
Event
Bilal Njie
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
46'
Event
David Hickson → S. Sjøkvist
3rd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
V. Dragsnes
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
43'
Event
Noah Holm
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
36'
33'
Event
Brage Skaret → Magnus Wolff Eikrem
2nd Substitution
30'
Event
Fredrik Berglie
Professional foul last man / 1st Redcard
29'
Event
Fredrik Berglie
Card adjusted
Event
V. Dragsnes
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
21'
Event
Rasmus Holten → Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen
1st Substitution
20'

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Brann 2-1 KFUM. Structural assessment: Brann exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.