FC Union Berlin vs FC Augsburg preview

Germany flag 2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
Stadion An der Alten Försterei Sat, 16 May - 1:30 PM
Bundesliga
FC Union BerlinFCU
FC AugsburgFCA
KICKOFF : Sat, 16 May - 1:30 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

FC Union Berlin host FC Augsburg in Bundesliga (Regular Season) at Stadion An der Alten Försterei. Domestically, FC Union Berlin sit 12th in the table while FC Augsburg are 9th. Power ranking favours FC Augsburg by 4.1 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: FC Augsburg holds a 4.1 power point advantage over FC Union Berlin.
  • Form: Both teams have form scores of 0 with no recent outings recorded.
  • Squad: FC Union Berlin occupy 12th place while FC Augsburg sit 9th in the Bundesliga.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece xG data unavailable with low confidence for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG variables inaccessible due to data limitations.
  • Market: FC Union Berlin 36.5% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25% (Δ+0%) | FC Augsburg 38.5% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
FC Union Berlin M. Eta
M. Eta
VS
FC Augsburg M. Baum
M. Baum
1.04
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.57
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
FSV Mainz 05 Rank: 81 W
FC Köln Rank: 75 D
RB Leipzig Rank: 87 L
VfL Wolfsburg Rank: 73 L
Heidenheim Rank: 74 L
St. Pauli Rank: 72 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Borussia Mönchengladbach Rank: 77 W
Werder Bremen Rank: 76 W
Eintracht Frankfurt Rank: 80 D
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Rank: 90 W
TSG Hoffenheim Rank: 85 D
Hamburger SV Rank: 77 D
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 5 - 6
6
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home FC Union Berlin
36.53%
Draw
24.99%
Away FC Augsburg
38.48%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
74.98
79.05
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
FC Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
Power Score
74.98
79.05
League Position
12
9
Global Rank
116
71

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
FC Union Berlin — Opponent-weighted form score
FC Augsburg — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FC Union Berlin FC Augsburg

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
C. Klaus
25 C. Klaus
C. Trimmel
28 C. Trimmel
D. Monteiro Pinto Leite
4 D. Monteiro Pinto Leite
D. Doekhi
5 D. Doekhi
T. Rothe
15 T. Rothe
R. Khedira
8 R. Khedira
A. Kemlein
6 A. Kemlein
O. Burke
7 O. Burke
I. Ansah
10 I. Ansah
L. Burcu
9 L. Burcu
A. Ilić
23 A. Ilić
F. Dahmen
1 F. Dahmen
C. Zesiger
16 C. Zesiger
J. Gouweleeuw
6 J. Gouweleeuw
C. Matsima
5 C. Matsima
R. Fellhauer
19 R. Fellhauer
F. Rieder
32 F. Rieder
H. Massengo
4 H. Massengo
M. Wolf
27 M. Wolf
M. Kömür
36 M. Kömür
A. Kade
30 A. Kade
M. Gregoritsch
38 M. Gregoritsch

General Information

Date & Time
May 16, 2026, 01:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Capacity
22012
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

25
Carl Klaus
Carl Klaus Goalkeeper
6.83
23
Andrej Ilic
Andrej Ilic Centre Forward
6.91
28
Christopher Trimmel
Christopher Trimmel Right Back
6.83
15
Tom Rothe
Tom Rothe Left Back
6.56
4
Diogo Leite
Diogo Leite Right Back
6.79
7
Oliver Burke
Oliver Burke Right Wing
6.76
9
Livan Burcu
Livan Burcu Left Wing
6.63
8
Rani Khedira
Rani Khedira Defensive Midfield
6.7
10
Ilyas Ansah
Ilyas Ansah Attacking Midfield
6.59
6
Aljoscha Kemlein
Aljoscha Kemlein Defensive Midfield
6.69
5
Danilho Doekhi
Danilho Doekhi Left Back
6.89

Starting XI ▼

1
Finn Dahmen
Finn Dahmen Goalkeeper
6.79
27
Marius Wolf
Marius Wolf Midfielder
6.61
36
Mert Kömür
Mert Kömür Midfielder
6.78
30
Anton Kade
Anton Kade Midfielder
6.9
19
Robin Fellhauer
Robin Fellhauer Midfielder
6.81
38
Michael Gregoritsch
Michael Gregoritsch Centre Forward
6.98
32
Fabian Rieder
Fabian Rieder Central Midfield
6.96
5
Chrislain Matsima
Chrislain Matsima Right Back
6.81
4
Han-Noah Massengo
Han-Noah Massengo Central Midfield
6.77
16
Cédric Zesiger
Cédric Zesiger Left Back
6.66
6
Jeffrey Gouweleeuw
Jeffrey Gouweleeuw Centre Back
6.6

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward FC Augsburg holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give FC Augsburg a 4.1-point edge. External projection is FC Union Berlin 37.4%, draw 24.8%, and FC Augsburg 37.8%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.