Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund preview

Germany flag 2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
Wohninvest Weserstadion Sat, 16 May - 1:30 PM
Bundesliga
Werder BremenSVW
Borussia DortmundBVB
KICKOFF : Sat, 16 May - 1:30 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Werder Bremen host Borussia Dortmund in Bundesliga (Regular Season) at Wohninvest Weserstadion. Domestically, Werder Bremen sit 15th in the table while Borussia Dortmund are 2th. Power ranking favours Borussia Dortmund by 14.3 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Borussia Dortmund enjoy a 14.3-point power advantage over Werder Bremen, who rank 15th to Dortmund's 2nd in the Bundesliga.
  • Form: Both teams register neutral form scores of zero with no recent outings or records available.
  • Squad: Dortmund's squad power rates at 89.88, surpassing Bremen's 75.63.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable as data not enabled.
  • Market: Werder Bremen 27.6% (Δ-0.2%) | Draw 24% (Δ+0.3%) | Borussia Dortmund 48.4% (Δ-0.1%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Werder Bremen D. Thioune
D. Thioune
VS
Borussia Dortmund N. Kovač
N. Kovač
0.74
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.13
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
TSG Hoffenheim Rank: 85 L
FC Augsburg Rank: 77 L
VfB Stuttgart Rank: 85 D
Hamburger SV Rank: 76 W
FC Köln Rank: 75 L
RB Leipzig Rank: 87 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Eintracht Frankfurt Rank: 80 W
Borussia Mönchengladbach Rank: 76 L
SC Freiburg Rank: 83 W
TSG Hoffenheim Rank: 83 L
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Rank: 89 L
VfB Stuttgart Rank: 87 W
8
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
8 - 7 - 24
24
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Werder Bremen
27.56%
Draw
24.02%
Away Borussia Dortmund
48.42%

Movement

Changes since opening
Werder Bremen
-0.23%
Draw
+0.27%
Borussia Dortmund
-0.05%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
75.63
89.88
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund
Power Score
75.63
89.88
League Position
15
2
Global Rank
106
13

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Werder Bremen — Opponent-weighted form score
Borussia Dortmund — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Werder Bremen Borussia Dortmund

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
M. Backhaus
30 M. Backhaus
I. Schmidt
23 I. Schmidt
A. Pieper
5 A. Pieper
M. Friedl
32 M. Friedl
O. Deman
2 O. Deman
C. Puertas
18 C. Puertas
S. Lynen
14 S. Lynen
J. Stage
6 J. Stage
J. Njinmah
11 J. Njinmah
S. Musah
29 S. Musah
R. Schmid
20 R. Schmid

General Information

Date & Time
May 16, 2026, 01:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium
Wohninvest Weserstadion
Capacity
42100
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

30
Mio Backhaus
Mio Backhaus Goalkeeper
6.94
11
Justin Njinmah
Justin Njinmah Attacker
6.73
29
Salim Musah
Salim Musah Centre Forward
6.61
20
Romano Schmid
Romano Schmid Attacker
7.09
6
Jens Stage
Jens Stage Central Midfield
7.12
14
Senne Lynen
Senne Lynen Central Midfield
6.83
23
Isaac Schmidt
Isaac Schmidt Right Back
6.57
2
Olivier Deman
Olivier Deman Left Back
6.96
5
Amos Pieper
Amos Pieper Right Back
6.95
18
Cameron Puertas
Cameron Puertas Central Midfield
6.91
32
Marco Friedl
Marco Friedl Left Back
6.84

Starting XI ▼

1
Gregor Kobel
Gregor Kobel Goalkeeper
6.85
26
Julian Ryerson
Julian Ryerson Midfielder
7.01
10
Julian Brandt
Julian Brandt Midfielder
7.07
14
Maximilian Beier
Maximilian Beier Midfielder
6.91
40
Samuele Inácio
Samuele Inácio Midfielder
6.82
9
Serhou Guirassy
Serhou Guirassy Centre Forward
7
3
Waldemar Anton
Waldemar Anton Centre Back
7.07
49
Luca Reggiani
Luca Reggiani Right Back
6.72
20
Marcel Sabitzer
Marcel Sabitzer Central Midfield
6.89
4
Nico Schlotterbeck
Nico Schlotterbeck Left Back
7.32
7
Jobe Bellingham
Jobe Bellingham Central Midfield
6.76

CONCLUSION

Borussia Dortmund's superior power rating and league position make them heavy favorites against a struggling Werder Bremen side. The 14.3-point edge highlights Dortmund's structural dominance, likely translating to control in possession and chance creation. Bremen's home venue provides motivation, but their 15th-place standing signals defensive frailties. Neutral form leaves the outcome hinging on execution, with Dortmund's quality poised to prevail in this Bundesliga showdown. Expect the visitors to capitalize on their advantages for a convincing result.