Sporting Charleroi vs Westerlo preview

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Stade du Pays de Charleroi
Pro League
Sporting CharleroiSPC
WesterloKVC
KICKOFF :
Round 8 Conference League Play-off Group

CONTEXT

Sporting Charleroi host Westerlo in Pro League (Conference League Play-off Group) at Stade du Pays de Charleroi. Power ranking favours Sporting Charleroi by 2.1 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Sporting Charleroi holds a 2.1-point power advantage over Westerlo with scores of 72.4 to 70.29.
  • Form: Charleroi's form score of 29.67 significantly outpaces Westerlo's 15.78.
  • Squad: No specific squad composition or injury updates available for either team.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition play data unavailable due to lack of detailed statistics.
  • Set pieces: Set piece xG data unavailable as xG add-on not enabled for either team.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable for both teams.
  • Market: Projection split: Sporting Charleroi 46.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.8% (Δ+0%) | Westerlo 27.8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Sporting Charleroi M. Kohnen
M. Kohnen
VS
Westerlo I. Charai
I. Charai
1.26
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.48
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Antwerp Rank: 70 W
Genk Rank: 77 W
OH Leuven Rank: 65 W
Genk Rank: 77 D
Standard Liège Rank: 68 L
Antwerp Rank: 70 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Genk Rank: 76 L
OH Leuven Rank: 64 D
Antwerp Rank: 70 L
OH Leuven Rank: 66 W
Genk Rank: 76 L
Standard Liège Rank: 72 W
13
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
13 - 7 - 11
11
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sporting Charleroi
46.36%
Draw
25.83%
Away Westerlo
27.81%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
72.4
70.29
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sporting Charleroi
Westerlo
Power Score
72.4
70.29
League Position
11
9
Global Rank
155
206

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sporting Charleroi — Opponent-weighted form score
Westerlo — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sporting Charleroi Westerlo

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 31 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sporting Charleroi SPC Home
31 matches
Westerlo KVC Away
Match Record
13
Wins
11
7
Draws
7
11
Losses
13
Goals
44
Goals Scored
42
42
Goals Conceded
44
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-12T01:01:29+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 8 · Conference League Play-off Group
Stadium
Stade du Pays de Charleroi
Capacity
15000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

30
Mohamed Koné
Mohamed Koné Goalkeeper
6.99
21
Aurélien Scheidler
Aurélien Scheidler Centre Forward
6.5
5
Étienne Camara
Étienne Camara Defensive Midfield
6.89
3
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof Right Wing
6.85
4
Aiham Ousou
Aiham Ousou Right Back
6.89
10
Parfait Guiagon
Parfait Guiagon Attacking Midfield
7.2
22
Yassine Titraoui
Yassine Titraoui Defensive Midfield
7.12
95
Check Keita
Check Keita Left Back
6.72
17
Antoine Bernier
Antoine Bernier Left Wing
6.81
24
Mardochée Nzita
Mardochée Nzita Left Back
6.73
27
Lewin Blum
Lewin Blum Right Back
6.67

Starting XI ▼

99
Andreas Jungdal
Andreas Jungdal Goalkeeper
6.83
90
Nacho Ferri
Nacho Ferri Centre Forward
7.07
23
Lucas Mbamba
Lucas Mbamba Left Back
6.6
40
Emin Bayram
Emin Bayram Right Back
7.08
5
Seiji Kimura
Seiji Kimura Left Back
6.72
7
Allahyar Sayyadmanesh
Allahyar Sayyadmanesh Right Wing
6.98
13
Isa Sakamoto
Isa Sakamoto Attacking Midfield
6.8
22
Bryan Reynolds
Bryan Reynolds Right Back
6.73
34
Doğucan Haspolat
Doğucan Haspolat Defensive Midfield
7.24
46
Arthur Piedfort
Arthur Piedfort Defensive Midfield
7.02
77
Josimar Alcócer
Josimar Alcócer Left Wing
6.67

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Sporting Charleroi holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Sporting Charleroi a 2.1-point edge. External projection is Sporting Charleroi 46.4%, draw 25.8%, and Westerlo 27.8%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.