Racing Santander vs Real Valladolid preview

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Campos de Sport de El Sardinero
La Liga 2
KICKOFF :
Round 40 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Racing Santander hosts Real Valladolid at Campos de Sport de El Sardinero in a key La Liga 2 regular season encounter during the 2025/2026 campaign. The league leaders, perched at 1st place with a formidable power score of 71.7, hold a substantial 14.8-point advantage over the 15th-placed visitors who score 56.87. This structural superiority underscores Racing Santander's dominance, bolstered by home advantage in a stadium alive with passionate fans. Form metrics further tilt the scales, as the hosts' 30.22 rating significantly outshines Valladolid's modest 14.44, signaling momentum in their favor. Absent detailed efficiency or set-piece data due to unavailable xG insights, the focus shifts to overall team strength and league standings. Racing Santander's position at the summit reflects squad depth and consistency, while Valladolid grapples with inconsistency lower down the table. Expect the hosts to dictate proceedings through superior power and venue familiarity.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Racing Santander leads La Liga 2 at 1st place with a 71.7 power score and 14.8-point edge over 15th-placed Real Valladolid's 56.87.
  • Form: Racing Santander's form score stands at 30.22, well ahead of Real Valladolid's 14.44.
  • Squad: Racing Santander's top-table squad outclasses Real Valladolid's mid-to-lower ranked lineup.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable as data add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Racing Santander 63.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 21.1% (Δ+0%) | Real Valladolid 15.5% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
1.96
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.04
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Leganés Rank: 64 W
Huesca Rank: 59 W
Ceuta Rank: 60 D
Real Sociedad II Rank: 61 W
Almería Rank: 71 W
FC Andorra Rank: 68 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Zaragoza Rank: 58 W
Las Palmas Rank: 71 L
Real Sociedad II Rank: 59 W
FC Andorra Rank: 64 L
SD Eibar Rank: 70 D
Cultural Leonesa Rank: 56 L
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 2 - 5
5
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Racing Santander
63.4%
Draw
21.08%
Away Real Valladolid
15.52%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
71.7
56.87
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Racing Santander
Real Valladolid
Power Score
71.7
56.87
League Position
1
15
Global Rank
173
444

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Racing Santander Opponent-weighted form score
Real Valladolid Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Racing Santander Real Valladolid

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Racing Santander RAC Home
11 matches
Real Valladolid REV Away
Match Record
4
Wins
5
2
Draws
2
5
Losses
4
Goals
15
Goals Scored
19
19
Goals Conceded
15
-4
Goal Difference
+4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-12T01:03:02+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 40 · Regular Season
Stadium
Campos de Sport de El Sardinero
Capacity
22308
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI

13
Simon Eriksson
Simon Eriksson Goalkeeper
6.61
7
Giorgi Guliashvili
Giorgi Guliashvili Centre Forward
6.88
2
Álvaro Mantilla
Álvaro Mantilla Right Back
6.61
10
Iñigo Vicente
Iñigo Vicente Left Wing
7.47
11
Andrés Martín
Andrés Martín Right Wing
7.32
14
Maguette Gueye
Maguette Gueye Defensive Midfield
6.71
18
Peio Canales
Peio Canales Attacking Midfield
7.07
21
Pablo Ramón
Pablo Ramón Left Back
6.68
32
Jorge Salinas
Jorge Salinas Left Back
6.74
4
Manu Hernando
Manu Hernando Right Back
6.77
19
Gustavo Puerta
Gustavo Puerta Defensive Midfield
6.94

Starting XI

1
Álvaro Aceves
Álvaro Aceves Goalkeeper
6.81
22
Peter Federico
Peter Federico Attacker
6.88
11
Amath Ndiaye
Amath Ndiaye Attacker
6.81
9
Juanmi Latasa
Juanmi Latasa Centre Forward
6.89
24
Stanko Juric
Stanko Juric Central Midfield
6.93
15
Pablo Tomeo
Pablo Tomeo Right Back
6.74
23
Mohamed Jaouab
Mohamed Jaouab Left Back
6.48
6
Mathis Lachuer
Mathis Lachuer Central Midfield
6.67
14
Iván Alejo
Iván Alejo Right Back
6.99
18
Carlos Clerc
Carlos Clerc Left Back
6.69
21
Julien Ponceau
Julien Ponceau Central Midfield
6.84

CONCLUSION

Racing Santander enters as clear favorites, leveraging their league-leading position, superior power score, and stronger form against a struggling Real Valladolid. The 14.8-point gap highlights structural advantages, particularly at home where crowd energy amplifies their edge. Without granular efficiency or set-piece insights, the analysis hinges on proven metrics favoring the hosts decisively. Valladolid faces an uphill battle to disrupt the leaders' rhythm, requiring flawless execution in transition and defense. This fixture shapes Racing Santander's promotion push while exposing Valladolid's vulnerabilities. Overall, expect a controlled display from the top side securing vital points.