TBC vs Monza preview

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Sat, 16 May - 6:00 PM
Serie B
TBC TBC
Monza MON
KICKOFF : Sat, 16 May - 6:00 PM
Semi Finals Leg 1 of 2

CONTEXT

The Serie B Promotion Play-offs Semi-finals kick off with Leg 1 between TBC and Monza in a high-stakes clash for promotion hopes. Monza, who secured 3rd place in the league standings, enters as the stronger side with a power score of 60.19 against TBC's 46.17, translating to a clear 14-point advantage. Form metrics further tilt the scales, as Monza boasts a 25.22 score while TBC lags at 0, highlighting the visitors' momentum heading into this neutral-venue encounter. With no recent outings detailed and limited advanced stats available, the focus falls on overall team strength and play-off intensity. Set piece data relies on low-confidence proxies without xG insights, underscoring Monza's edge in structure and recent performance. Both sides will prioritize a solid foundation in this first leg, setting the tone for the return fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Monza holds a 14-point power advantage with a score of 60.19 over TBC's 46.17.
  • Form: Monza's form score stands at 25.22, superior to TBC's 0.
  • Squad: Monza finished 3rd in the league, with no specific squad changes noted for TBC.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided in the available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats use low-confidence proxies with no xG data for either team.
  • xVariable: xG variables unavailable as the add-on is not enabled.
  • Market: Baseline split: TBC 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Monza 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
TBC TBC
TBC
VS
Monza Monza
Monza
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.92
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Empoli Rank: 55 D
Mantova Rank: 54 L
Modena Rank: 57 W
Sampdoria Rank: 53 W
Bari 1908 Rank: 52 W
Catanzaro Rank: 60 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home TBC
0%
Draw
0%
Away Monza
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
46.17
60.19
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
TBC
Monza
Power Score
46.17
60.19
League Position
-
3
Global Rank
1014
303

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
TBC — Opponent-weighted form score
Monza — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) TBC Monza

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

TBC TBC Home
0 matches
Monza MON Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-12T01:03:20+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
May 16, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Semi Finals · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
,
Capacity
N/A
Pitch Surface
N/A
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

No data available

Squad ▼

20
Demba Thiam
Demba Thiam Goalkeeper
1
Semuel Pizzignacco
Semuel Pizzignacco Goalkeeper
43
Aljaž Strajnar
Aljaž Strajnar Goalkeeper
19
Samuele Birindelli
Samuele Birindelli Defender
13
Luca Ravanelli
Luca Ravanelli Defender
15
Filippo Delli Carri
Filippo Delli Carri Defender
2
Arvid Brorsson
Arvid Brorsson Defender
6
Valentin Ivaylov Antov
Valentin Ivaylov Antov Defender
44
Andrea Carboni
Andrea Carboni Defender
3
Lorenzo Lucchesi
Lorenzo Lucchesi Defender
24
Adam Bakoune
Adam Bakoune Defender
27
Samuele Capolupo
Samuele Capolupo Defender
14
Pedro Mba Obiang Avomo
Pedro Mba Obiang Avomo Midfielder
26
Patrick Ciurria
Patrick Ciurria Midfielder
7
Paulo Daniel Dentello Azzi
Paulo Daniel Dentello Azzi Midfielder
8
Hernani Azevedo Júnior
Hernani Azevedo Júnior Midfielder
32
Matteo Pessina
Matteo Pessina Midfielder
28
Andrea Colpani
Andrea Colpani Midfielder
30
Giuseppe Caso
Giuseppe Caso Midfielder
23
Nicolas Galazzi
Nicolas Galazzi Midfielder
21
Leonardo Colombo
Leonardo Colombo Midfielder
9
Mirko Marić
Mirko Marić Attacker
17
Keita Baldé Diao
Keita Baldé Diao Attacker
37
Andrea Petagna
Andrea Petagna Attacker
47
Dany Mota Carvalho
Dany Mota Carvalho Attacker
10
Patrick Cutrone
Patrick Cutrone Attacker
11
Omari Forson
Omari Forson Attacker
25
Agustín Álvarez Martínez
Agustín Álvarez Martínez Attacker

CONCLUSION

Monza arrives as the clear frontrunner in this Serie B play-off semi-final first leg, leveraging their higher league position, superior power score, and positive form to challenge TBC effectively. TBC must overcome a statistical deficit and find rhythm quickly on a neutral ground to stay in contention. Without detailed efficiency or set piece edges, the match hinges on execution under pressure, with Monza likely dictating tempo through better structure. A narrow advantage for the visitors seems probable, but play-off unpredictability could spark surprises if TBC disrupts transitions early. This opener sets critical momentum for Leg 2.