Radomiak Radom VS Lech Poznań

2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland

Stadion MOSiR ul. Narutowicza Sat, 16 May - 6:15 PM

Ekstraklasa

Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom

Lech Poznań Lech Poznań

KICKOFF : Sat, 16 May - 6:15 PM

Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the Ekstraklasa regular season clash at Stadion MOSiR ul. Narutowicza, eighth-placed Radomiak Radom host league leaders Lech Poznań. Lech enter as clear favorites, boasting a power score of 71.4 against Radomiak's 61.96, translating to a 9.4-point advantage. The visitors top the domestic standings, while Radomiak sit mid-table, reflecting their respective ambitions this 2025/2026 campaign. Recent form tilts slightly towards Lech with a 29.67 score compared to Radomiak's 26, though both sides lack detailed last outing data. No advanced metrics like efficiency or set-piece xG are available, limiting deeper tactical insights. Lech's superior overall strength positions them to control proceedings, but Radomiak's home ground could spark resilience. Expect a competitive encounter where Lech's quality shines through.

TL;DR

Structural: Lech Poznań holds a 9.4-point power advantage over Radomiak Radom.
Form: Lech Poznań leads in form score at 29.67 versus Radomiak Radom's 26.
Squad: No detailed squad or injury information available for either team.
Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for this matchup.
Transition: Transition play data not provided in current analysis.
Set pieces: Set-piece xG data unavailable with low confidence proxy used.
xVariable: xG statistics not enabled for either team.
Market: Radomiak Radom 27.8% (Δ-1.8%) | Draw 24.9% (Δ+0.3%) | Lech Poznań 47.3% (Δ+1.5%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

B. Nunes Baltazar

N. Frederiksen

1.29

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.94

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

1 - 4 - 4

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Radomiak Radom

27.83%

Draw

24.86%

Lech Poznań

47.32%

Movement

Changes since opening

Radomiak Radom

-1.82%

Draw

+0.28%

Lech Poznań

+1.54%

Team Power Ranking

61.96

71.4

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Radomiak Radom

Lech Poznań

Power Score

61.96

71.4

League Position

Global Rank

434

179

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Radomiak Radom — Opponent-weighted form score

Lech Poznań — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Radomiak Radom Lech Poznań

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom Home

9 matches

Lech Poznań Lech Poznań Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-6

Goal Difference

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-05-12T01:03:24+00:00

General Information

Date & Time

May 16, 2026, 06:15 PM

Competition

2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 33 · Regular Season

Stadium

Stadion MOSiR ul. Narutowicza

Capacity

5000

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Manager ▼

B. Nunes Baltazar Coach

Squad ▼

Filip Majchrowicz Goalkeeper

Wiktor Koptas Goalkeeper

Michał Jerke Goalkeeper

Mateusz Cichocki Defender

Jan Grzesik Defender

Adrián Diéguez Grande Defender

Jérémy Damien Blasco Defender

Steve Kingue Defender

Zie Mohamed Ouattara Defender

Josh Wilson-Esbrand Defender

João Pedro Reginaldo Defender

Rafał Wolski Midfielder

Christos Donis Midfielder

Roberto Alves Midfielder

Romário Manuel Silva Baró Midfielder

Michał Kaput Midfielder

Ibrahima Camará Midfielder

Mikołaj Molendowski Midfielder

Adam Żabicki Midfielder

Maurides Roque Junior Attacker

Elves Umar Baldé Attacker

Lucas Lima Linhares Attacker

Leândro Rossi Pereira Attacker

Vasco Rafael Fortes Lopes Attacker

Abdoul Fessal Tapsoba Attacker

Salifou Soumah Attacker

Manager ▼

N. Frederiksen Coach

Squad ▼

Bartosz Mrozek Goalkeeper

Plamen Andreev Goalkeeper

Mateusz Pruchniewski Goalkeeper

Antonio Milić Defender

Robert Gumny Defender

Joel Vieira Pereira Defender

Alex Douglas Defender

João Gervásio Bragança Moutinho Defender

Mateusz Skrzypczak Defender

Michał Gurgul Defender

Wojciech Mońka Defender

Hubert Janyszka Defender

Radosław Murawski Midfielder

Filip Jagiełło Midfielder

Leo Bengtsson Midfielder

Pablo Rodríguez Delgado Midfielder

Patrik Wålemark Midfielder

Antoni Kozubal Midfielder

Timothy Ouma Midfielder

Gísli Gottskalk Thórdarson Midfielder

Sammy Dudek Midfielder

Mikael Ishak Attacker

Ali Gholizadeh Attacker

Luis Enrique Palma Oseguera Attacker

Daniel Håkans Attacker

Taofeek Ismaheel Attacker

Mel Yannick Joel Agnero Attacker

Kornel Lisman Attacker

Kamil Jakóbczyk Attacker

Wojciech Szymczak Attacker

CONCLUSION

Lech Poznań's superior power rating and top-table position make them the team to beat against mid-table Radomiak Radom. While home advantage might fuel an early push from the hosts, Lech's edge in form and overall strength should prevail in this Ekstraklasa fixture. Without advanced data on set pieces or efficiency, the focus remains on Lech's ability to dominate possession and convert chances. Radomiak will need defensive solidity and counter threats to compete, but the visitors' quality likely secures a positive result on the road.

STANDINGS

CONTEXT