Pisa vs Napoli preview

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani Sun, 17 May - 10:00 AM
Serie A
PisaPIS
0 3
NapoliNAP
Full Time Sun, 17 May 10:00 AM
Round 37 Regular Season
|
Goal
Scott McTominay - 21'
Amir Rrahmani  - 27'
Rasmus Højlund - 90+2'

CONTEXT

Pisa faced Napoli in a match that concluded with a 0-3 scoreline after a halftime position of 0-2. Napoli controlled proceedings throughout with 76 percent possession against Pisa's 24 percent. The away side established a two-goal lead by the interval and added a third goal in the second half to secure the result. No red cards were shown to either team during the contest. Napoli as the stronger side delivered a performance consistent with their status while Pisa struggled to create meaningful opportunities. The significant deviation observed aligned with the final outcome and reflected Napoli's dominance in key areas of the pitch. This result underscores the disparity in team capabilities on the day.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Napoli showed significant structural deviation through 76 percent possession dominance over Pisa's 24 percent.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the stronger team's expected output throughout the match.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be evaluated due to the absence of expected goals data in the records.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment held true as the stronger team Napoli achieved the 0-3 victory.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations stayed undetermined given the null values for home and away expected goals.
  • Event impact: Event impact centered on Napoli's two first-half goals that set up the eventual 0-3 result.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion played no role since both teams finished with zero red cards.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
F. Fourneau
F. Fourneau
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
F. Preti
F. Preti
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
S. Biffi
S. Biffi
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
S. Galipò
S. Galipò
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Pisa O. Hiljemark
O. Hiljemark
VS
Napoli A. Conte
A. Conte
0.36
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.92
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cremonese Rank: 67 L
Lecce Rank: 68 L
Parma Rank: 72 L
Genoa Rank: 75 L
Roma Rank: 85 L
Torino Rank: 75 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Bologna Rank: 78 L
Como Rank: 83 D
Cremonese Rank: 67 W
Lazio Rank: 80 L
Parma Rank: 72 D
AC Milan Rank: 83 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Pisa
12.22%
Draw
22.04%
Away Napoli
65.74%

Movement

Changes since opening
Pisa
+11.98%
Draw
+20.12%
Napoli
-32.1%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
53.23
85.03
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Pisa
Napoli
Power Score
53.23
85.03
League Position
20
2
Global Rank
421
35

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Pisa — Opponent-weighted form score
Napoli — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Pisa Napoli

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Pisa

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Napoli

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Pisa ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Napoli
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Pisa Napoli
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Pisa Napoli
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Pisa
Napoli
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Pisa
vs
Napoli
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Pisa Napoli
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Pisa 0.00
Napoli 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Pisa Napoli
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Pisa 0.00
Napoli 0.00
Pisa
Napoli
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • NAP had peak pressure around 71'.
  • NAP started the game with stronger pressure.
PIS Pressure NAP Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: NAP reached the top pressure at 71' (70.90).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Pisa PIS Home
2 matches
Napoli NAP Away
Match Record
0
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
0
Goals
3
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
3
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-17T09:45:21+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
A. Šemper
Croatia
1 A. Šemper
A. Calabresi
Substitution
Italy
33 A. Calabresi
A. Caracciolo
Italy
4 (C) A. Caracciolo
S. Canestrelli
Italy
5 S. Canestrelli
M. Marcel Léris
Substitution
Algeria
7 M. Marcel Léris
M. Aebischer
Switzerland
20 M. Aebischer
M. Höjholt
Denmark
8 M. Höjholt
E. Akinsanmiro
Substitution
Nigeria
14 E. Akinsanmiro
S. Angori
Italy
3 S. Angori
F. Stojilkovic
Substitution
Switzerland
81 F. Stojilkovic
S. Moreo
Substitution
Italy
32 S. Moreo
A. Meret
Italy
1 A. Meret
A. Buongiorno
Substitution
Italy
4 A. Buongiorno
A. Rrahmani
Kosovo
13 A. Rrahmani
S. Beukema
Netherlands
31 S. Beukema
L. Spinazzola
Substitution
Italy
37 L. Spinazzola
S. Lobotka
Slovakia
68 S. Lobotka
S. McTominay
Scotland
8 S. McTominay
G. Di Lorenzo
Substitution
Italy
22 (C) G. Di Lorenzo
A. de Almeida Santos
Substitution
Brazil
27 A. de Almeida Santos
R. Højlund
Denmark
19 R. Højlund
E. Elmas
Substitution
Macedonia
20 E. Elmas

General Information

Date & Time
May 17, 2026, 10:00 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani
Capacity
10442
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Francesco Fourneau
Fabiano Preti
Simone Biffi
Simone Galipò

Statistics

Possession
PIS
29%
NAP
71%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 3
1 Big Chances Created 2
0 Shots 3
17 Dangerous attacks 47
24 Possession 76
1 Corners 6
8 Free kicks 13
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

7 Successful Headers 9
3 Dribble Attempts 10
2 Successful Dribbles 8
67 Successful Dribbles Percentage 80
13 Throwins 18
0 Assists 3
6 Goal Kicks 6
5 Substitutions 5
42 Ball Safe 40
1 Injuries 1
3 Goal Attempts 8

Attacking

49 Attacks 147
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

42 Long Passes 37
38 Successful Long Passes Percentage 62
171 Successful Passes 709
16 Successful Long Passes 23
3 Key Passes 10
72 Successful Passes Percentage 92
237 Passes 770

Defensive

15 Tackles 7
32 Duels Won 37
15 Interceptions 4
2 Saves 2

Build-up

3 Accurate Crosses 4
6 Total Crosses 17

Discipline

13 Fouls 8
0 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Francesco Fourneau

Starting XI ▼

1
Adrian Semper
Adrian Semper Goalkeeper
6.87
4
Antonio Caracciolo
Antonio Caracciolo (C) Defender
6.69
5
Simone Canestrelli
Simone Canestrelli Defender
6.63
33
Arturo Calabresi
Arturo Calabresi Defender
6.51
15
Idrissa Touré
Idrissa Touré
Midfielder70'
6.71
3
Samuele Angori
Samuele Angori Midfielder
6.76
7
Mehdi Léris
Mehdi Léris Midfielder
6.77
11
Juan Cuadrado
Juan Cuadrado
Midfielder70'
6.68
8
Malthe Højholt
Malthe Højholt Midfielder
6.42
14
Ebenezer Akinsanmiro
Ebenezer Akinsanmiro Midfielder
6.78
36
Gabriele Piccinini
Gabriele Piccinini
Midfielder61'
6.53
20
Michel Aebischer
Michel Aebischer Midfielder
6.85
32
Stefano Moreo
Stefano Moreo Attacker
6.9
21
İsak Vural
İsak Vural
Midfielder71'
6.61
81
Filip Stojilkovic
Filip Stojilkovic Attacker
6.4
9
Henrik Meister
Henrik Meister
Attacker60'
6.44
Referee : Francesco Fourneau

Starting XI ▼

1
Alex Meret
Alex Meret Goalkeeper
6.66
4
Alessandro Buongiorno
Alessandro Buongiorno Defender
6.75
17
Mathías Olivera
Mathías Olivera
Defender59'
6.73
13
Amir Rrahmani
Amir Rrahmani Defender
7.01
31
Sam Beukema
Sam Beukema Defender
6.84
8
Scott McTominay
Scott McTominay Midfielder
7.14
22
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
Giovanni Di Lorenzo (C) Midfielder
6.98
30
Pasquale Mazzocchi
Pasquale Mazzocchi
Defender88'
6.27
37
Leonardo Spinazzola
Leonardo Spinazzola Midfielder
6.75
3
Miguel Gutiérrez
Miguel Gutiérrez
Defender79'
6.79
68
Stanislav Lobotka
Stanislav Lobotka Midfielder
6.87
19
Rasmus Højlund
Rasmus Højlund Attacker
6.85
20
Eljif Elmas
Eljif Elmas Attacker
6.74
11
Kevin De Bruyne
Kevin De Bruyne
Midfielder59'
7.29
27
Alisson Santos
Alisson Santos Attacker
7.22
26
Antonio Vergara
Antonio Vergara
Midfielder80'
6.84

Events

2ND-HALF
90+2'
Event
Rasmus Højlund
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
88'
Event
Pasquale Mazzocchi  → Giovanni Di Lorenzo 
10th Substitution
80'
Event
Antonio Vergara → Alisson Santos
9th Substitution
79'
Event
Miguel Gutiérrez → Leonardo Spinazzola
8th Substitution
Event
Antonio Caracciolo
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
78'
78'
Event
Alisson Santos
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
İsak Vural → Stefano Moreo
7th Substitution
71'
Event
Juan Cuadrado → Mehdi Léris
5th Substitution
70'
Event
Idrissa Touré → Arturo Calabresi
6th Substitution
70'
Event
Gabriele Piccinini → Ebenezer Akinsanmiro
4th Substitution
61'
Event
Henrik Meister → Filip Stojilkovic
3rd Substitution
60'
59'
Event
Kevin De Bruyne  → Eljif Elmas
1st Substitution
59'
Event
Mathías Olivera → Alessandro Buongiorno
2nd Substitution
Event
Arturo Calabresi
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
53'
53'
Event
Eljif Elmas
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
27'
Event
Amir Rrahmani 
Header / 2nd Goal
21'
Event
Scott McTominay
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Rasmus Hojlund scores with a left-footed shot.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Rasmus Hojlund scores, making it 3-0.
78
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Antonio Caracciolo receives a yellow card.
78
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Alisson Santos receives a yellow card.
88
Update Update
Pasquale Mazzocchi is on, and Giovanni Di Lorenzo is off.
70
Update Update
Juan Guillermo Cuadrado Bello is on, and Mehdi Leris is off.
70
Update Update
Idrissa Toure is on, and Arturo Calabresi is off.
68
Attempt Attempt
Scott McTominay attempts a header but misses the shot.
61
Update Update
Gabriele Piccinini comes on for Ebenezer Akinsanmiro.
59
Update Update
Mathias Olivera replaces Alessandro Buongiorno.
71
Update Update
Isak Vural comes on for Stefano Moreo.
50
Attempt Attempt
Mehdi Leris attempts a header but misses the shot.
49
Attempt Attempt
Stefano Moreo takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
80
Update Update
Antonio Vergara replaces Alisson Santos.
79
Update Update
Miguel Ortega Gutierrez comes on for Leonardo Spinazzola.
38
Attempt Attempt
Elif Elmas takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Filip Stojilkovic takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
21
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Scott McTominay takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
36
Attempt Attempt
Filip Stojilkovic takes a left-footed shot but misses.
16
Attempt Attempt
Rasmus Hojlund attempted a header but missed the shot.
27
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Amir Rrahmani scores, making it 0-2.
14
Attempt Attempt
Sam Beukema takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
26
Attempt Attempt
Alisson Santos takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
9
Attempt Attempt
Amir Rrahmani's right-footed shot is blocked.
8
Attempt Attempt
Elif Elmas takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
21
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Scott McTominay scores, making it 1-0.
53
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Arturo Calabresi receives a yellow card.
60
Update Update
Henrik Meister replaces Filip Stojilkovic.
59
Update Update
Kevin De Bruyne comes on, and Elif Elmas goes off.
53
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Elif Elmas receives a yellow card.
27
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Amir Rrahmani scores with a header.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Pisa 0-3 Napoli. Structural assessment: Napoli exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.