Fatih Karagümrük vs Alanyaspor preview

Türkiye flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye
Vefa Stadı Sat, 16 May - 2:00 PM
Super Lig
Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük
AlanyasporANY
KICKOFF : Sat, 16 May - 2:00 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Fatih Karagümrük hosts Alanyaspor at Vefa Stadı in a crucial Super Lig regular season fixture during the 2025/2026 campaign. The home side occupies 17th place in the standings, facing an uphill battle for points, while Alanyaspor holds a more secure 10th position. Power ratings highlight Alanyaspor's edge, with a score of 69.31 surpassing Karagümrük's 56.19 by 13.1 points, marking them as the stronger outfit. Both teams lack recent form data, with scores at zero and no last outings recorded, setting up a match full of unknowns. League positions underscore Alanyaspor's domestic superiority. Absent metrics on efficiency, set pieces, and transitions leave analysis reliant on overall strength and home advantage. Karagümrük must harness Vefa Stadı's atmosphere to counter the visitors' quality. Expect a tightly contested affair where defensive solidity could prove decisive.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Alanyaspor possesses a 13.1-point power advantage with a 69.31 rating over Fatih Karagümrük's 56.19.
  • Form: Both teams register a form score of 0 without recent outing or record details.
  • Squad: Fatih Karagümrük ranks 17th domestically, trailing Alanyaspor in 10th place.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for this encounter.
  • Transition: Transition play statistics are not provided in available metrics.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance shows low confidence with no xG data and proxy usage for both sides.
  • xVariable: xG metrics unavailable due to add-on not enabled for either team.
  • Market: Fatih Karagümrük 35.4% (Δ+0.3%) | Draw 28.4% (Δ-0.2%) | Alanyaspor 36.2% (Δ-0.1%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Fatih Karagümrük A. Stanojević
A. Stanojević
VS
Alanyaspor J. da Silva Pereira
J. da Silva Pereira
0.95
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.05
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kocaelispor Rank: 65 W
Gençlerbirliği Rank: 66 W
Beşiktaş Rank: 77 D
Eyüpspor Rank: 61 L
Konyaspor Rank: 71 L
Rizespor Rank: 68 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kayserispor Rank: 63 W
Antalyaspor Rank: 60 D
Samsunspor Rank: 71 L
Kasımpaşa Rank: 65 L
Trabzonspor Rank: 80 D
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: 65 D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 3 - 5
5
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Fatih Karagümrük
35.38%
Draw
28.43%
Away Alanyaspor
36.19%

Movement

Changes since opening
Fatih Karagümrük
+0.29%
Draw
-0.23%
Alanyaspor
-0.05%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
56.19
69.31
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Fatih Karagümrük
Alanyaspor
Power Score
56.19
69.31
League Position
17
10
Global Rank
380
228

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Fatih Karagümrük — Opponent-weighted form score
Alanyaspor — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Fatih Karagümrük Alanyaspor

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
F. Bekleviç
99 F. Bekleviç
R. Sousa Esgaio
47 R. Sousa Esgaio
D. Biraschi
4 D. Biraschi
I. Lichnovsky Osorio
3 I. Lichnovsky Osorio
Ç. Kurukalıp
33 Ç. Kurukalıp
W. Shavy
80 W. Shavy
B. Elmaz
6 B. Elmaz
C. Kranevitter
5 C. Kranevitter
S. Da Luiz Junior
70 S. Da Luiz Junior
B. Özcan
8 B. Özcan
T. Cukur
21 T. Cukur
P. de Mileo Vidotti
48 P. de Mileo Vidotti
B. Willemen Da Silva
30 B. Willemen Da Silva
F. Aliti
5 F. Aliti
F. Aksoy
20 F. Aksoy
E. Keskin
8 E. Keskin
N. Janvier
17 N. Janvier
G. Makouta
42 G. Makouta
F. Hadërgjonaj
94 F. Hadërgjonaj
İ. Kaya
27 İ. Kaya
U. Hwang
16 U. Hwang
M. Elia
12 M. Elia

General Information

Date & Time
May 16, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium
Vefa Stadı
Capacity
6500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

99
Furkan Bekleviç
Furkan Bekleviç Goalkeeper
6.73
70
Serginho
Serginho Midfielder
6.82
80
Shavy Babicka
Shavy Babicka Midfielder
6.68
8
Berkay Özcan
Berkay Özcan Attacker
6.69
21
Tiago Çukur
Tiago Çukur Attacker
6.74
33
Çağtay Kurukalıp
Çağtay Kurukalıp Left Back
6.78
3
Igor Lichnovsky
Igor Lichnovsky Left Back
6.91
4
Davide Biraschi
Davide Biraschi Right Back
6.57
5
Matías Kranevitter
Matías Kranevitter Central Midfield
6.59
6
Bartuğ Elmaz
Bartuğ Elmaz Central Midfield
6.82
47
Ricardo Esgaio
Ricardo Esgaio Right Back
6.57

Starting XI ▼

48
Paulo Victor
Paulo Victor Goalkeeper
6.82
8
Enes Keskin
Enes Keskin Midfielder
6.69
94
Florent Hadergjonaj
Florent Hadergjonaj Midfielder
7.11
16
Ui-jo Hwang
Ui-jo Hwang Centre Forward
6.83
12
Meschack Elia
Meschack Elia Attacker
6.66
27
İbrahim Kaya
İbrahim Kaya Attacker
6.82
20
Fatih Aksoy
Fatih Aksoy Right Back
6.64
30
Bruno Viana
Bruno Viana Left Back
6.71
5
Fidan Aliti
Fidan Aliti Centre Back
6.92
17
Nicolas Janvier
Nicolas Janvier Central Midfield
6.89
42
Gaius Makouta
Gaius Makouta Central Midfield
6.73

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Alanyaspor holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Alanyaspor a 13.1-point edge. External projection is Fatih Karagümrük 34.7%, draw 27.9%, and Alanyaspor 37.4%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.