Samsunspor vs Göztepe preview
2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye
Stadyum Samsun
Sat, 16 May - 5:00 PM
Round 34 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Aug 12
CONTEXT
Samsunspor host Göztepe at Stadyum Samsun in a pivotal Super Lig regular season fixture for the 2025/2026 campaign. The 7th-placed Black Sea outfit seek to close the gap on their 5th-placed opponents, who arrive with a narrow power advantage of 1.1 points and a superior score of 74.25 to Samsunspor's 73.12. Recent form favors the hosts markedly, with a 34.5 rating dwarfing Göztepe's 18.83, hinting at building momentum ahead of this mid-table showdown. Both sides sit comfortably in the top half, making points here vital for European aspirations. Samsunspor's home fortress could prove decisive against a resilient Göztepe unit known for grinding out results. Expect a tactical battle where control of possession and clinical finishing separate the teams in what shapes as a closely contested affair.
TL;DR
-
Structural: Göztepe possesses a slight structural edge with a 74.25 power score over Samsunspor's 73.12.
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Form: Samsunspor shows stronger recent form at 34.5 compared to Göztepe's 18.83.
-
Squad: No major squad disruptions reported for either team entering the match.
-
Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for this fixture.
-
Transition: Transition metrics not available in current analysis.
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Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG information.
-
xVariable: xG-related variables not accessible for either side.
-
Market: Samsunspor 41.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.8% (Δ+0%) | Göztepe 31.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25
vs Team A
Feb 1
vs Team B
Feb 8
vs Team C
T. Fink
VS
S. Stoilov
1.19
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.57
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
İstanbul Başakşehir
Rank: 76
L
Galatasaray
Rank: 87
W
Alanyaspor
Rank: 68
W
Beşiktaş
Rank: 77
W
Eyüpspor
Rank: 66
W
Rizespor
Rank: 68
L
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Gaziantep F.K.
Rank: 66
W
Trabzonspor
Rank: 79
D
Antalyaspor
Rank: 60
W
Kocaelispor
Rank: 64
D
Kasımpaşa
Rank: 65
D
Galatasaray
Rank: 87
L
1
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Samsunspor
41.05%
Draw
27.81%
Göztepe
31.14%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
73.12
74.25
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Samsunspor
Göztepe
Power Score
73.12
74.25
League Position
7
5
Global Rank
143
131
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Samsunspor
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Göztepe
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Samsunspor Göztepe
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Samsunspor
Samsunspor
Home
3
matches
Göztepe
GOZ
Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
1
Goals
6
Goals Scored
7
7
Goals Conceded
6
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-05-12T01:03:12+00:00
STARTING XI - EXPECTED
General Information
Date & Time
May 16, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadyum Samsun
Capacity
33919
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Expected Lineup
Manager ▼
T. Fink
Coach
Starting XI ▼
1
Okan Kocuk
Goalkeeper
6.71 7
Elayis Tavsan
Left Wing
6.86 9
Marius Mouandilmadji
Right Wing
6.8 17
Logi Tómasson
Left Back
6.81 18
Zeki Yavru
Right Back
6.81 55
Yunus Emre Çift
Attacking Midfield
6.66 21
Carlo Holse
Defensive Midfield
7.11 24
Toni Borevković
Right Back
6.63 29
Antoine Makoumbou
Defensive Midfield
6.86 Substitutes ▼
77
Afonso Sousa
6.81 48
Efe Berat Törüz
15
Ali Badra Diabaté
7.36 23
Enes Albak
4.94 33
Efe Yiğit Üstün
Manager ▼
S. Stoilov
Coach
Starting XI ▼
2
Arda Okan Kurtulan
Midfielder
6.86 15
Amin Cherni
Midfielder
6.8 9
Juan
Attacker
6.99 3
Allan Godói
Right Back
6.89 5
Héliton
Centre Back
6.91 8
Alexis Antunes
Attacking Midfield
6.85 20
Novatus Miroshi
Central Midfield
6.79 26
Malcom Bokele
Left Back
6.73 30
Anthony Dennis
Central Midfield
6.75 Substitutes ▼
4
Taha Altıkardeş
6.76 22
Uğur Kaan Yıldız
6.63 33
Şamil Öztürk
6.12 45
Ege Yildirim
6.56 12
İsmail Köybaşı
6.26 77
Ogün Bayrak
6.65 6
M. Mohammed
6.5 
CONCLUSION
This Super Lig encounter pits Samsunspor's home form and momentum against Göztepe's subtle power superiority and higher league standing. The hosts' superior form score suggests they can exploit Stadyum Samsun's atmosphere, but visitors' resilience could force a stalemate. Mid-table implications loom large, with both needing points to sustain top-half pushes. Tactical discipline and key individual duels will define the outcome in a match low on data but high on intensity. Samsunspor edge it narrowly on current trends.
