Famalicão vs Alverca preview

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho Sun, 17 May - 12:00 AM
Liga Portugal
KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 12:00 AM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Famalicão hosts Alverca at Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho in a Liga Portugal regular season encounter during the 2025/2026 campaign. Positioned 5th in the standings, the home team enjoys a clear edge with a power score of 74.28 against the visitors' 57.6, translating to a 16.7-point advantage that highlights their stronger overall structure. Form metrics tilt slightly toward Famalicão at 22.89 compared to Alverca's 19.5, suggesting better recent momentum despite lacking specific last outing details. League positions reinforce this, with Alverca languishing in 10th. Set piece analysis carries low confidence due to proxy data and absent xG figures for both sides' attacks and defenses. Efficiency and transition stats remain unavailable, shifting emphasis to raw power disparities. Famalicão's domestic standing positions them as favorites to dominate proceedings and secure vital points in their push up the table.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Famalicão possesses a 74.28 power score and 16.7-point advantage over Alverca's 57.6.
  • Form: Famalicão's form score stands at 22.89, surpassing Alverca's 19.5.
  • Squad: Famalicão occupies 5th place while Alverca sits 10th in the Liga Portugal table.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data provided for either team.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics unavailable in current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats show low confidence with proxy usage and no xG data for Famalicão or Alverca.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables absent due to unavailable advanced metrics.
  • Market: Famalicão 57.9% (Δ+0.2%) | Draw 23.8% (Δ-0.1%) | Alverca 18.3% (Δ-0.1%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Famalicão H. Carvalho Oliveira
H. Carvalho Oliveira
VS
Alverca C. Dias de Castro
C. Dias de Castro
1.55
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.27
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Estrela Amadora Rank: 58 D
Benfica Rank: 87 D
Estoril Rank: 67 W
Sporting Braga Rank: 82 D
Moreirense Rank: 67 D
Porto Rank: 86 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Estoril Rank: 68 D
Porto Rank: 87 L
Arouca Rank: 65 W
Nacional Rank: 63 L
Casa Pia Rank: 63 W
Rio Ave Rank: 64 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Famalicão
57.87%
Draw
23.81%
Away Alverca
18.32%

Movement

Changes since opening
Famalicão
+0.22%
Draw
-0.13%
Alverca
-0.08%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
74.28
57.6
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Famalicão
Alverca
Power Score
74.28
57.6
League Position
5
10
Global Rank
130
291

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Famalicão Opponent-weighted form score
Alverca Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Famalicão Alverca

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Famalicão FCF Home
1 matches
Alverca ALV Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
0
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-12T01:03:54+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
May 17, 2026, 12:00 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho
Capacity
5307
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

25
Lazar Carević
Lazar Carević Goalkeeper
1
Ivan Zlobin
Ivan Zlobin Goalkeeper
16
Justin de Haas
Justin de Haas Defender
28
P. Bondo Francisco
30
Vojin Serafimović
13
Renan Cunha Macêdo Santana
Renan Cunha Macêdo Santana Defender
55
Ibrahima Ba
Ibrahima Ba Defender
6
Tom van de Looi
Tom van de Looi Midfielder
15
Otar Mamageishvili
Otar Mamageishvili Midfielder
14
Mathias De Amorim
Mathias De Amorim Midfielder
8
Marcos Peña Ocaña
Marcos Peña Ocaña Midfielder
23
Gil Bastião Dias
12
Simon Elisor
Simon Elisor Attacker
11
Óscar Aranda Subiela
77
Antoine Joujou
Antoine Joujou Attacker
18
Roméo Beney
Roméo Beney Attacker
9
Umar Abubakar
Umar Abubakar Attacker

Squad

13
André Nogueira Gomes
1
Mateus Oliveira Mende
Mateus Oliveira Mende Goalkeeper
5
Sergi Gómez Solà
4
Kaiky Marques Naves
Kaiky Marques Naves Defender
14
Steven Baseya
Steven Baseya Defender
12
Isaac James
Isaac James Defender
3
Jose Julian Martinez Crisanto
Jose Julian Martinez Crisanto Defender
55
Francisco Rodrigues
18
Lincoln Henrique Oliveira dos Santos
Lincoln Henrique Oliveira dos Santos Midfielder
2
Nabil Zoubdi Touaizi
26
Rhaldney Norberto Simião Gomes
Rhaldney Norberto Simião Gomes Midfielder
21
Sabit Abdulai
Sabit Abdulai Midfielder
17
Vasco Silva Moreira
Vasco Silva Moreira Midfielder
16
Tomás Alage Mendes Mendes
Tomás Alage Mendes Mendes Midfielder
Zakaria Kessary
Zakaria Kessary Midfielder
25
Stéphane Diarra
Stéphane Diarra Attacker
19
Mathis Clairicia
Mathis Clairicia Attacker
9
Marko Milovanović
Marko Milovanović Attacker
11
Cédric Nuozzi
Cédric Nuozzi Attacker
77
Felipe de Almeida Lima
Felipe de Almeida Lima Attacker

CONCLUSION

Famalicão enters this matchup with substantial advantages in power rating, league position, and form, positioning them to dictate the game's tempo at home. Alverca faces an uphill battle from 10th spot, relying on disciplined defending amid limited set piece insights. Without granular efficiency or transition data, the hosts' superior metrics suggest control and higher chance creation. Expect Famalicão to leverage their 16.7-point edge for a convincing display, potentially extending their top-five stay. Alverca must disrupt early to salvage anything, but structural gaps favor the hosts decisively in this regular season test.