Estoril vs Benfica preview

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota Sun, 17 May - 12:00 AM
Liga Portugal
Estoril EPF
Benfica SLB
KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 12:00 AM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Estoril host Benfica at the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota in a Liga Portugal regular season fixture for the 2025/2026 campaign. The visitors arrive with overwhelming credentials, holding a power score of 87.39 to Estoril's 68.03, translating to a 19.4-point advantage. Benfica sit comfortably in 3rd place, while Estoril languish in 9th, highlighting the chasm in quality. Form scores further tilt the scales, with Benfica's 33.44 eclipsing Estoril's meager 5.44, suggesting sustained momentum for the Eagles. Home support may fuel Estoril's defiance, but Benfica's pedigree demands respect. Limited data on set pieces, efficiency, and transitions leaves room for surprises, yet Benfica's structural dominance positions them to dictate terms. Projections reflect this imbalance, underscoring the challenge for the hosts.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Benfica holds a 19.4-point power advantage with a score of 87.39 over Estoril's 68.03 and sits 3rd versus 9th in the league.
  • Form: Benfica's form score of 33.44 vastly superior to Estoril's 5.44.
  • Squad: No squad news or last outing details available for either team.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play data not provided.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats unavailable as xG data disabled with low confidence proxy.
  • xVariable: xG variables absent for attack and defense in set pieces.
  • Market: Estoril 9.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 17.6% (Δ+0%) | Benfica 72.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Estoril I. Cathro
I. Cathro
VS
Benfica José Mourinho
José Mourinho
1.18
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.36
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Alverca Rank: 67 D
Sporting Braga Rank: 82 D
Famalicão Rank: 73 L
Moreirense Rank: 66 L
Porto Rank: 86 L
Arouca Rank: 67 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sporting Braga Rank: 81 D
Famalicão Rank: 74 D
Moreirense Rank: 67 W
Sporting CP Rank: 89 W
Nacional Rank: 64 W
Casa Pia Rank: 63 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 2 - 19
19
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Estoril
9.43%
Draw
17.63%
Away Benfica
72.94%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
68.03
87.39
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Estoril
Benfica
Power Score
68.03
87.39
League Position
9
3
Global Rank
256
22

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Estoril — Opponent-weighted form score
Benfica — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Estoril Benfica

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 21 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Estoril EPF Home
21 matches
Benfica SLB Away
Match Record
0
Wins
19
2
Draws
2
19
Losses
0
Goals
15
Goals Scored
52
52
Goals Conceded
15
-37
Goal Difference
+37
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-12T01:04:03+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
May 17, 2026, 12:00 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Capacity
8000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

1
Joel Robles Blázquez
Joel Robles Blázquez Goalkeeper
16
Martin Turk
Martin Turk Goalkeeper
31
Diogo Alexandre Aranha Dias
Diogo Alexandre Aranha Dias Goalkeeper
4
Francisco Reis Ferreira
Francisco Reis Ferreira Defender
24
Pedro Miguel Gaspar Amaral
Pedro Miguel Gaspar Amaral Defender
20
Gonçalo Faria Costa
Gonçalo Faria Costa Defender
25
Felix Bacher
Felix Bacher Defender
2
Ricard Sánchez Sendra
Ricard Sánchez Sendra Defender
5
Antef Tsoungui
Antef Tsoungui Defender
44
Kevin Boma
Kevin Boma Defender
18
Or Alon Israelov
Or Alon Israelov Defender
22
Pedro Maria Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho
Pedro Maria Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho Defender
8
Miguel Ângelo da Silva Rocha
Miguel Ângelo da Silva Rocha Midfielder
21
Luís Miguel Afonso Fernandes
Luís Miguel Afonso Fernandes Midfielder
12
João António Antunes Carvalho
João António Antunes Carvalho Midfielder
10
Jordan Holsgrove
Jordan Holsgrove Midfielder
6
Alejandro Orellana Gómez
Alejandro Orellana Gómez Midfielder
7
Nodar Lominadze
Nodar Lominadze Midfielder
99
Rafik Guitane
Rafik Guitane Attacker
9
Alejandro José Marqués Méndez
Alejandro José Marqués Méndez Attacker
14
Yanis Begraoui
Yanis Begraoui Attacker
11
Khayon Edwards
Khayon Edwards Attacker
19
André Filipe Ferreira Lacximicant
André Filipe Ferreira Lacximicant Attacker

Squad ▼

1
Anatolii Trubin
Anatolii Trubin Goalkeeper
24
Samuel Jumpe Soares
Samuel Jumpe Soares Goalkeeper
30
Nicolás Hernán Otamendi
Nicolás Hernán Otamendi Defender
6
Alexander Hartmann Bah
Alexander Hartmann Bah Defender
17
Amar Dedić
Amar Dedić Defender
44
Tomás Lemos Araújo
Tomás Lemos Araújo Defender
26
Samuel Dahl
Samuel Dahl Defender
4
António João Pereira Albuquerque Tavares Silva
António João Pereira Albuquerque Tavares Silva Defender
15
Sidny Lopes Cabral
Sidny Lopes Cabral Defender
58
Daniel Armando Fonseca da Silva Banjaqui
Daniel Armando Fonseca da Silva Banjaqui Defender
62
José Pedro Formoso Neto
José Pedro Formoso Neto Defender
8
Fredrik Aursnes
Fredrik Aursnes Midfielder
18
Leandro Barreiro Martins
Leandro Barreiro Martins Midfielder
10
Heorhii Sudakov
Heorhii Sudakov Midfielder
5
Enzo Barrenechea
Enzo Barrenechea Midfielder
20
Richard Rios Montoya
Richard Rios Montoya Midfielder
16
Manuel Jorge Silva
Manuel Jorge Silva Midfielder
68
João Miguel Fins Veloso
João Miguel Fins Veloso Midfielder
84
João Pedro Seno Luis Rêgo
João Pedro Seno Luis Rêgo Midfielder
14
Vangelis Pavlidis
Vangelis Pavlidis Attacker
11
Dodi Lukebakio
Dodi Lukebakio Attacker
27
Rafael Alexandre Fernandes Ferreira da Silva
Rafael Alexandre Fernandes Ferreira da Silva Attacker
7
Armindo Tué Na Bangna
Armindo Tué Na Bangna Attacker
39
Henrique Pereira Araújo
Henrique Pereira Araújo Attacker
9
Franjo Ivanović
Franjo Ivanović Attacker
21
Andreas Schjelderup
Andreas Schjelderup Attacker
25
Gianluca Prestianni Gross
Gianluca Prestianni Gross Attacker
72
Anísio Cláudio Fernandes Reis Cabral
Anísio Cláudio Fernandes Reis Cabral Attacker

CONCLUSION

Benfica's commanding power edge and superior form score position them to overpower Estoril in this Liga Portugal encounter. The 19.4-point gap and 3rd-place standing versus 9th emphasize Benfica's class. Estoril's home venue provides slim optimism, but matching Benfica's 33.44 form against 5.44 seems improbable. Without detailed efficiency or set piece insights, Benfica's overall strength should prevail through controlled possession and clinical finishing. Midfield supremacy will be pivotal, with Estoril needing heroic defending. Projections heavily back the visitors at 71.3%, anticipating a professional display that extends their strong run.