Boca Juniors vs Lanús preview

Argentina flag 2026 Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina
Estadio Alberto José Armando
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Boca JuniorsBOC
1 0
LanúsLAN
Full Time
Round 7 Clausura
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Boca Juniors secured a narrow victory over Lanús in a tightly contested match that ended 1-0. The game remained goalless at halftime with both teams level at 0-0. Despite Lanús holding 42 percent possession, Boca controlled the game with 58 percent and created slightly more expected goals at 1.3 to 1.24. The single goal in the second half proved decisive for the home side. The stronger team Boca Juniors emerged victorious in line with their xG projections. This result highlighted their ability to grind out wins in low-scoring affairs. The match featured no red cards and maintained a balanced structure throughout. The deviation was significant for Boca Juniors as they managed to secure the win despite close xG values. Efficiency stayed in line without notable changes from either side. The alignment with expected outcomes was clear from start to finish.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Boca Juniors 1-0 Lanús. Boca Juniors showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the expected team performances.
  • xG alignment: The final result stayed consistent with the xG differential of 0.06.
  • Market alignment: The outcome proved aligned with pre-match assessments for the stronger side.
  • xG expectations: Boca Juniors posted 1.3 expected goals against 1.24 for Lanús.
  • Event impact: The single second-half goal served as the decisive event in the contest.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so the match structure faced no distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
P. Dóvalo
P. Dóvalo
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
C. Navarro
C. Navarro
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
H. Páez
H. Páez
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
L. Comesaña
L. Comesaña
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Boca Juniors R. Arruabarrena
R. Arruabarrena
VS
Lanús M. Pellegrino
M. Pellegrino
1.75
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.28
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Racing Club Rank: 67 D
Platense Rank: 59 D
Vélez Sarsfield Rank: 69 D
Estudiantes Rank: 71 W
Newell's Old Boys Rank: 59 D
Deportivo Riestra Rank: 60 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Argentinos Juniors Rank: 70 D
Independiente Rank: 65 L
Talleres Córdoba Rank: 63 W
Unión Santa Fe Rank: 63 L
Instituto Rank: 64 L
San Lorenzo Rank: 62 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 1
1

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
70.6
62.09
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Boca Juniors
Lanús
Power Score
70.6
62.09
League Position
11
10
Global Rank
234
485

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Boca Juniors — Opponent-weighted form score
Lanús — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Boca Juniors Lanús

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Boca Juniors

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Lanús

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Boca Juniors
vs
Lanús
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Boca Juniors Lanús
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
12%
2%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.15 vs -0.02
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Boca Juniors Lanús
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
2%
12%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.02 vs -0.15
Boca Juniors
Lanús
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Boca Juniors
vs
Lanús
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Boca Juniors Lanús
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Boca Juniors 0.00
Lanús 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Boca Juniors Lanús
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Boca Juniors 0.00
Lanús 0.00
Boca Juniors
Lanús
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • BOC had peak pressure around 29'.
  • LAN started the game with stronger pressure.
BOC Pressure LAN Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: BOC reached the top pressure at 29' (91.77).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Boca Juniors BOC Home
3 matches
Lanús LAN Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
3
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-29T00:11:08+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina · Round 7 · Clausura
Stadium
Estadio Alberto José Armando
Capacity
54000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Pablo Dóvalo
Cristian Navarro
Hugo Páez
Lucas Comesaña

Statistics

Possession
BOC
55%
LAN
45%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
1 Big Chances Created 3
7 Shots 5
42 Dangerous attacks 44
58 Possession 42
11 Corners 3
15 Free kicks 8
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

103 Ball Safe 101
9 Goal Kicks 8
11 Goal Attempts 7
5 Substitutions 6
25 Throwins 24
0 Hit Woodwork 2
21 Dribble Attempts 26
6 Successful Dribbles 15
29 Successful Dribbles Percentage 58

Attacking

127 Attacks 103
0 Big Chances Missed 3

Possession

56 Long Passes 55
535 Passes 384
448 Successful Passes 299
84 Successful Passes Percentage 78
13 Key Passes 10
26 Successful Long Passes 23
46 Successful Long Passes Percentage 42

Defensive

2 Saves 3
19 Tackles 28
13 Interceptions 12
51 Duels Won 65

Build-up

26 Total Crosses 13
8 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

8 Fouls 15

Lineup

Referee : Pablo Dóvalo

Starting XI ▼

1
Álvaro Montero
Álvaro Montero Goalkeeper
6.98
2
Lautaro Di Lollo
Lautaro Di Lollo Defender
7.05
3
Lautaro Blanco
Lautaro Blanco Defender
7.06
24
Dylan Gorosito
Dylan Gorosito Defender
6.6
42
Facundo Ezequiel Herrera
Facundo Ezequiel Herrera Defender
6.89
18
Milton Delgado
Milton Delgado Midfielder
6.88
30
Tomás Belmonte
Tomás Belmonte
Midfielder79'
6.85
23
Camilo Rey Domenech
Camilo Rey Domenech Midfielder
6.65
5
Leandro Paredes
Leandro Paredes
Midfielder61'
7.59
25
Santiago Ascacíbar
Santiago Ascacíbar Midfielder
7.03
16
Miguel Merentiel
Miguel Merentiel (C) Attacker
6.88
13
Enner Valencia
Enner Valencia
Attacker61'
6.32
19
Leonel Flores
Leonel Flores Attacker
6.96
21
Kevin Zenón
Kevin Zenón
Midfielder79'
6.77
20
Alan Velasco
Alan Velasco Attacker
7.07
22
Sebastián Villa
Sebastián Villa
Attacker60'
6.73
Referee : Pablo Dóvalo

Starting XI ▼

26
Nahuel Losada
Nahuel Losada Goalkeeper
7.02
6
Sasha Marcich
Sasha Marcich Defender
6.86
13
José Canale
José Canale Defender
6.89
24
Carlos Izquierdoz
Carlos Izquierdoz (C) Defender
7.11
33
Tomás Guidara
Tomás Guidara Defender
6.71
5
Felipe Peña Biafore
Felipe Peña Biafore Midfielder
6.82
17
Agustín Medina
Agustín Medina
Midfielder90'
6.69
8
Franco Watson
Franco Watson Midfielder
6.66
38
Benjamín Acosta
Benjamín Acosta
Attacker80'
6.39
11
Eduardo Salvio
Eduardo Salvio Midfielder
6.73
77
Lucas Besozzi
Lucas Besozzi
Attacker69'
6.62
25
Dylan Aquino
Dylan Aquino Midfielder
6.92
16
Matías Sepúlveda
Matías Sepúlveda
Midfielder69'
6.74
30
Agustín Cardozo
Agustín Cardozo Midfielder
7.01
19
Yoshan Valois
Yoshan Valois Attacker
6.84
20
Allan Wlk
Allan Wlk
Attacker46'
6.97

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Tomás Belmonte 
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
90+3'
90'
Event
Agustín Medina → Felipe Peña Biafore
10th Substitution
80'
Event
Benjamín Acosta → Franco Watson
9th Substitution
Event
Tomás Belmonte  → Milton Delgado
7th Substitution
79'
Event
Kevin Zenón → Leonel Flores
8th Substitution
79'
Event
Milton Delgado
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
76'
69'
Event
Lucas Besozzi → Eduardo Salvio
5th Substitution
69'
Event
Matías Sepúlveda → Dylan Aquino
6th Substitution
Event
Leandro Paredes  → Camilo Rey Domenech
3rd Substitution
61'
Event
Enner Valencia → Miguel Merentiel
4th Substitution
61'
Event
Sebastián Villa → Alan Velasco
2nd Substitution
60'
46'
Event
Allan Wlk → Yoshan Valois
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
44'
Event
Carlos Izquierdoz 
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Leonel Flores
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
13'

Match Commentary

90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Tomas Belmonte takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
90
Attempt Attempt
Allan Wlk's right-footed shot is saved.
90
Update Update
Agustín Medina comes on for Felipe Pena Biafore.
80
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Benjamin Acosta comes on for Franco Watson.
79
Substitution Substitution
Kevin Zenon is substituted for Leonel Flores.
79
Update Update
Tomas Belmonte is on, and Milton Delgado is off.
76
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Milton Delgado receives a yellow card.
75
Attempt Attempt
Felipe Pena Biafore takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
74
Attempt Attempt
Leandro Daniel Paredes takes a right-footed shot but misses.
74
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
73
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
71
Attempt Attempt
Dylan Gorosito takes a shot with his head but misses.
70
Attempt Attempt
Felipe Pena Biafore takes a header shot, but it misses the target.
69
Update Update
Matias Sepulveda comes on for Dylan Aquino.
69
Update Update
Lucas Besozzi is on, and Eduardo Salvio is off.
68
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
67
Update Update
Santiago Ascacibar's header is blocked.
67
Attempt Attempt
Sebastian Villa Cano takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
67
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
66
Attempt Attempt
Enner Valencia attempts a header but misses the shot.
65
Attempt Attempt
Lautaro Blanco takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
63
Attempt Attempt
Eduardo Salvio takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
63
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
61
Update Update
Leandro Daniel Paredes is on, and Camilo Rey Domenech is off.
61
Update Update
Enner Valencia comes on for Miguel Merentiel.
60
Update Update
On Sebastian Villa Cano, off Sebastian Villa Cano.
59
Attempt Attempt
Felipe Pena Biafore's left-footed shot is saved.
51
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
50
Attempt Attempt
Sebastian Villa Cano takes a shot with his right foot, but it's saved.
46
Substitution Substitution
Allan Wlk is substituted on for Y. Valois.
45
Attempt Attempt
Franco Watson takes a right-footed shot, but it hits the post.
45
Attempt Attempt
Franco Watson takes a right-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Sebastian Villa Cano takes a shot with his right foot, but it misses the target.
44
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Carlos Roberto Izquierdoz.
43
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
42
Attempt Attempt
Dylan Gorosito takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
40
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
39
Attempt Attempt
Sebastian Villa Cano takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
31
Attempt Attempt
Leonel Flores takes a right-footed shot but misses.
30
Attempt Attempt
Dylan Aquino takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
26
Attempt Attempt
Camilo Rey Domenech takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
26
Attempt Attempt
Leonel Flores attempts a header but misses the shot.
26
Attempt Attempt
Sebastian Villa Cano takes a shot with his right foot, but it is blocked.
26
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
26
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
24
Attempt Attempt
Sebastian Villa Cano takes a shot with his head, but it misses the target.
21
Attempt Attempt
Santiago Ascacibar takes a right-footed shot but misses.
20
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
20
Attempt Attempt
Sebastian Villa Cano takes a shot with his right foot, but it is blocked.
20
Attempt Attempt
Santiago Ascacibar takes a shot with his head, but it is blocked.
20
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
20
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
19
Attempt Attempt
Leonel Flores takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
17
Attempt Attempt
Dylan Aquino takes a right-footed shot but misses.
15
Attempt Attempt
Dylan Aquino takes a right-footed shot but misses.
13
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Leonel Flores receives a yellow card.
2
Attempt Attempt
Felipe Pena Biafore takes a shot with his head, but it hits the post.
2
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Pablo Dovalo.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Boca Juniors 1-0 Lanús. Structural assessment: Boca Juniors exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.