Arouca vs Marítimo preview

Portugal flag 2026/2027 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Liga Portugal
AroucaFCA
MarítimoCSM
KICKOFF :
Round 4 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Arouca welcomes Marítimo to the Estádio Municipal de Arouca for a Liga Portugal regular season encounter in the 2026/2027 campaign. The hosts command a clear power advantage and sit fifth in the domestic standings while the visitors occupy third place. Arouca's superior power rating underscores their overall edge in this matchup. Both sides approach the fixture with contrasting recent trajectories that shape expectations for the contest. The home side's stronger metrics suggest they will look to control proceedings from the outset. Marítimo will need to find ways to disrupt Arouca's rhythm and exploit any openings that arise. This league fixture promises a competitive battle between two sides with distinct profiles.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Arouca holds a 33-point power advantage over Marítimo.
  • Form: Arouca posts a form score of 16.67 against Marítimo's 6.11.
  • Squad: Arouca is identified as the stronger team by power metrics.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis carries low confidence with proxy data.
  • xVariable: xG metrics are unavailable for this fixture.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Arouca V. Freire De Seabra
V. Freire De Seabra
VS
Marítimo M. van der Gaag
M. van der Gaag
1.69
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.33
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Porto Rank: 87 L
Moreirense Rank: 69 W
Vitória Guimarães Rank: 72 W
Tondela Rank: 64 W
Gil Vicente Rank: 72 W
Santa Clara Rank: 70 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Academico Viseu Rank: 64 D
Famalicão Rank: 76 W
Casa Pia Rank: 66 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
70.72
37.76
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Arouca
Marítimo
Power Score
70.72
37.76
League Position
5
3
Global Rank
228
378

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Arouca — Opponent-weighted form score
Marítimo — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Arouca Marítimo

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 4 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Capacity
5600
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

12
Ignacio de Arruabarrena
Ignacio de Arruabarrena Goalkeeper
7.35
17
Iván Barbero
Iván Barbero Centre Forward
6.97
6
Espen van Ee
Espen van Ee Defensive Midfield
6.61
8
Taichi Fukui
Taichi Fukui Defensive Midfield
7.16
7
Naïs Djouahra
Naïs Djouahra Left Wing
7.28
15
Javi Sánchez
Javi Sánchez Right Back
7.07
3
José Fontán
José Fontán Left Back
7.42
18
Orest Lebedenko
Orest Lebedenko Left Back
6.52
19
Alfonso Trezza
Alfonso Trezza Right Wing
6.66
14
Hyun-ju Lee
Hyun-ju Lee Attacking Midfield
6.54
28
Tiago Esgaio
Tiago Esgaio Right Back
6.91

Starting XI ▼

13
Alfonso Pastor
Alfonso Pastor Goalkeeper
6.9
17
Adrián Butzke Benavides
Adrián Butzke Benavides Centre Forward
7.19
18
Vladan Danilović
Vladan Danilović Defensive Midfield
6.77
14
Raphael Guzzo
Raphael Guzzo Attacking Midfield
7.02
4
Rafael Fernandes
Rafael Fernandes Right Back
6.64
6
Rodri Andrade
Rodri Andrade Defensive Midfield
11
Simo
Simo Right Wing
6.66
2
Igor Julião
Igor Julião Right Back
6.51
44
Romain Correia
Romain Correia Left Back
6.85
23
Paulo Henrique
Paulo Henrique Left Back
6.85
10
Martín Tejón
Martín Tejón Left Wing
7.1

CONCLUSION

Arouca enters this Liga Portugal clash as the clear frontrunner given their substantial power edge and home setting. Their ability to dictate tempo could prove decisive against a Marítimo side that has shown less consistent form. The visitors occupy a higher league position yet face a stern test on the road where Arouca's strengths are amplified. Expect the hosts to press for control through structured play while Marítimo seeks counter opportunities. The absence of detailed efficiency and set piece insights leaves some tactical nuances open. Overall the match favors Arouca but Marítimo's domestic standing ensures they remain a threat if they can impose their game plan early.