Leeds United vs Brighton & Hove Albion preview

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
Elland Road Sun, 17 May - 2:00 PM
Premier League
KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 2:00 PM
Round 37 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Leeds United host Brighton & Hove Albion in Premier League (Regular Season) at Elland Road. Domestically, Leeds United sit 14th in the table while Brighton & Hove Albion are 7th. Power ranking favours Leeds United by 13.7 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Leeds United command a 13.7-point power advantage over Brighton & Hove Albion.
  • Form: Brighton & Hove Albion edge form scores at 24.61 compared to Leeds United's 23.44.
  • Squad: Leeds United's squad power rates 87.29, surpassing Brighton's 73.64.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not available in the provided dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set piece xG data unavailable due to low confidence and proxy usage.
  • xVariable: xVariable statistics absent owing to missing xG information.
  • Market: Leeds United 30.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.9% (Δ+0%) | Brighton & Hove Albion 43.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Leeds United D. Farke
D. Farke
VS
Brighton & Hove Albion F. Hürzeler
F. Hürzeler
1.32
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.48
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Tottenham Hotspur Rank: 85 D
Burnley Rank: 77 W
AFC Bournemouth Rank: 89 D
Wolverhampton Wanderers Rank: 79 W
Manchester United Rank: 92 W
Brentford Rank: 88 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Wolverhampton Wanderers Rank: 79 W
Newcastle United Rank: 88 L
Chelsea Rank: 89 W
Tottenham Hotspur Rank: 82 D
Burnley Rank: 78 W
Liverpool Rank: 92 W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 6 - 13
13
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Leeds United
30.56%
Draw
25.88%
Away Brighton & Hove Albion
43.56%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
87.29
73.64
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Leeds United
Brighton & Hove Albion
Power Score
87.29
73.64
League Position
14
7
Global Rank
23
12

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Leeds United Opponent-weighted form score
Brighton & Hove Albion Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Leeds United Brighton & Hove Albion

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 21 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Leeds United LEE Home
21 matches
Brighton & Hove Albion BHA Away
Match Record
2
Wins
13
6
Draws
6
13
Losses
2
Goals
19
Goals Scored
38
38
Goals Conceded
19
-19
Goal Difference
+19
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-12T01:05:19+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
May 17, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium
Elland Road
Capacity
40242
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

26
Karl Darlow
Karl Darlow Goalkeeper
21
Alex Cairns
Alex Cairns Goalkeeper
16
Illan Meslier
Illan Meslier Goalkeeper
1
Lucas Estella Perri
Lucas Estella Perri Goalkeeper
25
Sam Byram
Sam Byram Defender
24
James Justin
James Justin Defender
5
Pascal Struijk
Pascal Struijk Defender
3
Gabriel Gudmundsson
6
Joe Rodon
Joe Rodon Defender
2
Jayden Bogle
Jayden Bogle Defender
15
Jaka Bijol
Jaka Bijol Defender
23
Sebastiaan Bornauw
4
Ethan Ampadu
Ethan Ampadu Midfielder
8
Sean Longstaff
Sean Longstaff Midfielder
22
Ao Tanaka
Ao Tanaka Midfielder
18
Anton Stach
Anton Stach Midfielder
44
Ilia Gruev
Ilia Gruev Midfielder
11
Brenden Aaronson
Brenden Aaronson Midfielder
40
Facundo Valentín Buonanotte
Facundo Valentín Buonanotte Midfielder
50
Charlie Crew
Charlie Crew Midfielder
7
Daniel James
Daniel James Attacker
10
Joël Piroe
Joël Piroe Attacker
14
Lukas Nmecha
Lukas Nmecha Attacker
19
Noah Okafor
Noah Okafor Attacker

Squad

23
Jason Steele
Jason Steele Goalkeeper
38
Thomas McGill
Thomas McGill Goalkeeper
1
Bart Verbruggen
Bart Verbruggen Goalkeeper
5
Lewis Dunk
Lewis Dunk Defender
4
Adam Webster
Adam Webster Defender
34
Joël Veltman
Joël Veltman Defender
3
Igor Julio dos Santos de Paulo
Igor Julio dos Santos de Paulo Defender
21
Olivier Boscagli
Olivier Boscagli Defender
29
Maxim De Cuyper
Maxim De Cuyper Defender
27
Mats Wieffer
Mats Wieffer Defender
6
Jan Paul van Hecke
20
James Philip Milner
James Philip Milner Midfielder
30
Pascal Groß
Pascal Groß Midfielder
33
Matthew O'Riley
Matthew O'Riley Midfielder
26
Yasin Abbas Ayari
Yasin Abbas Ayari Midfielder
13
Jack Hinshelwood
Jack Hinshelwood Midfielder
17
Carlos Balepa Noom Quomah
Carlos Balepa Noom Quomah Midfielder
7
Solomon March
Solomon March Attacker
22
Kaoru Mitoma
Kaoru Mitoma Attacker
10
Georginio Rutter
Georginio Rutter Attacker
9
Stefanos Tzimas
Stefanos Tzimas Attacker
11
Yankuba Minteh
Yankuba Minteh Attacker
19
Charalampos Kostoulas

CONCLUSION

Leeds United's pronounced power superiority of 13.7 points positions them as favorites despite 14th place, challenging Brighton's 7th standing and form lead. Elland Road's atmosphere may amplify Leeds' 87.29 rating against Brighton's 73.64. Lacking specifics on efficiency, transitions, or set pieces heightens unpredictability in this 2025/2026 Premier League clash. Brighton's table edge demands respect, yet Leeds' designation as stronger team hints at home triumph potential. Projections reflect tight margins, underscoring a contest balancing raw strength with consistency. Victory here could propel Leeds upward, while Brighton aim to extend superiority.