Bari 1908 vs Südtirol preview
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Aug 12
CONTEXT
Bari 1908 host Südtirol in Serie B (Relegation Play-offs - Final) at Stadio Comunale San Nicola. Domestically, Bari 1908 sit 17th in the table while Südtirol are 16th. Power ranking favours Südtirol by 0.1 points heading into this fixture.
TL;DR
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Structural: Südtirol holds a slight power score advantage of 51.71 to Bari's 51.6 in this Serie B relegation play-off first leg.
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Form: Bari boasts a superior form score of 22.83 against Südtirol's 7.39 entering the match.
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Squad: Bari finished 17th and Südtirol 16th in the domestic league standings.
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Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
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Transition: No specific transition play metrics are provided for either side.
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Set pieces: Set piece stats use low-confidence proxy data with no xG available for Bari or Südtirol.
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xVariable: Advanced xG-based variables are not accessible due to add-on limitations.
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Market: Bari 1908 40% (Δ+0%) | Draw 30.6% (Δ+0%) | Südtirol 29.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25
vs Team A
Feb 1
vs Team B
Feb 8
vs Team C
M. Longo
VS
F. Castori
1
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.12
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Catanzaro
Rank: 61
W
Virtus Entella
Rank: 49
W
Avellino
Rank: 52
L
Venezia
Rank: 69
L
Monza
Rank: 66
L
Modena
Rank: 57
W
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Juve Stabia
Rank: 57
D
Sampdoria
Rank: 53
L
Mantova
Rank: 52
L
Spezia
Rank: 49
L
Modena
Rank: 57
D
Cesena
Rank: 52
D
3
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 3 - 4
4
No sidelined player data available.
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Bari 1908
40.02%
Draw
30.57%
Südtirol
29.4%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
51.6
51.71
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Bari 1908
Südtirol
Power Score
51.6
51.71
League Position
17
16
Global Rank
750
746
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Bari 1908
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Südtirol
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Bari 1908 Südtirol
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 10 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Bari 1908
BAR
Home
10
matches
Südtirol
SUD
Away
Match Record
3
Wins
4
3
Draws
3
4
Losses
3
Goals
7
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
7
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-05-12T00:06:49+00:00
STARTING XI - EXPECTED
Match Formation
3-5-2
Match Formation
3-5-2
31 M. Cerofolini
13 V. Mantovani
26 C. Odenthal
43 D. Nikolaou
28 K. Piscopo
19 T. Pontes Esteves
18 G. Maggiore
8 R. Pagano
93 E. Dorval
11 G. Moncini
17 E. Rao
31 M. Adamonis
34 F. Veseli
19 N. Pietrangeli
94 H. El Kaouakibi
24 S. Davì
17 D. Casiraghi
18 S. Tronchin
21 F. Tait
79 S. Molina
9 E. Pecorino
33 S. Merkaj
General Information
Date & Time
May 15, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Final · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Stadio Comunale San Nicola
Capacity
58300
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Next Match
Bari 1908
vs
Südtirol
League: Serie B
Kickoff: Fri, 22 May - 6:00 PM
Venue: Stadio Marco Druso
Südtirol
vs
Bari 1908
League: Serie B
Kickoff: Fri, 22 May - 6:00 PM
Venue: Stadio Marco Druso
Expected Lineup
Manager ▼
M. Longo
Coach
Starting XI ▼
31
Michele Cerofolini
Goalkeeper
7.06 93
Mehdi Dorval
Midfielder
6.81 28
Kevin Piscopo
Midfielder
6.89 17
Emanuele Rao
Attacker
6.84 26
Cas Odenthal
Centre Back
6.79 13
Valerio Mantovani
Right Back
6.57 8
Riccardo Pagano
Central Midfield
6.63 18
Giulio Maggiore
Central Midfield
6.83 19
Tomás Esteves
Central Midfield
6.57 43
Dimitrios Nikolaou
Left Back
6.62 Substitutes ▼
90
Marvin Cuni
6.66 24
Lorenzo Dickmann
6.66 1
Marco Pissardo
7.22 9
Christian Gytkjaer
6.61 10
Nicola Bellomo
6.59 66
Daouda Traore
6.5 30
Moussa Mané
6.56 80
Federico Artioli
7.28 20
Nicolò Cavuoti
6.58 25
Raffaele Pucino
6.84 49
Giacomo De Pieri
6.62 37
Giacomo Stabile
6.63 Manager ▼
F. Castori
Coach
Starting XI ▼
31
Marius Adamonis
Goalkeeper
6.71 24
Simone Davi
Midfielder
6.63 79
Salvatore Molina
Midfielder
6.94 9
Emanuele Pecorino
Attacker
6.95 33
Silvio Merkaj
Attacker
6.65 34
Frédéric Veseli
Left Back
6.55 21
Fabian Tait
Central Midfield
6.63 17
Daniele Casiraghi
Central Midfield
7.04 18
Simone Tronchin
Central Midfield
6.76 19
Nicola Pietrangeli
Centre Back
6.59 94
Hamza El Kaouakibi
Right Back
6.9 Substitutes ▼
26
Marco Frigerio
6.56 1
Daniele Borra
7.12 5
Andrea Masiello
6.49 4
Davide Mancini
6.34 7
Karim Zedadka
6.65 6
Jacopo Martini
6.66 11
Riccardo Tonin
6.65 90
Raphael Odogwu
6.77 46
Dhirar Brik
6.45 23
Federico Davi
6.51 89
Domen Črnigoj
6.59 
CONCLUSION
Overall, the structural indicators point toward Südtirol holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Südtirol a 0.1-point edge. External projection is Bari 1908 39.3%, draw 30.5%, and Südtirol 30.2%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.
