Brest vs Strasbourg preview

France flag 2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Stade Francis-Le Ble Wed, 13 May - 5:00 PM
Ligue 1
KICKOFF : Wed, 13 May - 5:00 PM
Round 29 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Brest host Strasbourg at Stade Francis-Le Ble in a pivotal Ligue 1 regular season clash during the 2025/2026 campaign. Sitting 12th in the table, Brest face a Strasbourg side in 8th place, with the visitors holding a clear edge in power ratings at 77.36 compared to Brest's 72.97, translating to a 4.4-point advantage. Form tells a stark story too, as Strasbourg's 18.61 score dwarfs Brest's modest 5.17, suggesting momentum lies firmly with the away team. At home, Brest will lean on their familiar surroundings to counter Strasbourg's structural superiority and recent sharpness. Both teams lack detailed efficiency or set-piece metrics due to unavailable xG data, leveling some analytical ground. This matchup pits Brest's resilience against Strasbourg's upward trajectory in the standings.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Strasbourg possess a structural advantage with a 77.36 power score over Brest's 72.97 and a higher league position at 8th versus 12th.
  • Form: Strasbourg lead in form with an 18.61 score compared to Brest's 5.17.
  • Squad: Squad power ratings favor Strasbourg by 4.4 points overall.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition play data is not available for this fixture.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG information.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables not available for analysis.
  • Market: Brest 35.9% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.1% (Δ+0%) | Strasbourg 38% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Brest E. Roy
E. Roy
VS
Strasbourg G. O'Neil
G. O'Neil
1.4
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.25
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Paris Saint Germain Rank: 95 L
Paris Rank: 72 L
Lens Rank: 82 D
Nantes Rank: 64 D
Rennes Rank: 80 L
Auxerre Rank: 71 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Angers SCO Rank: 67 D
Toulouse Rank: 73 L
Lorient Rank: 74 W
Rennes Rank: 78 L
Nice Rank: 72 W
Nantes Rank: 67 W
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 4 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Brest
35.89%
Draw
26.12%
Away Strasbourg
37.99%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
72.97
77.36
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Brest
Strasbourg
Power Score
72.97
77.36
League Position
12
8
Global Rank
144
85

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Brest Opponent-weighted form score
Strasbourg Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Brest Strasbourg

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 12 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Brest B29 Home
12 matches
Strasbourg STR Away
Match Record
5
Wins
3
4
Draws
4
3
Losses
5
Goals
19
Goals Scored
13
13
Goals Conceded
19
+6
Goal Difference
-6
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-12T00:05:53+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
G. Coudert
France
30 G. Coudert
T. Zogbe
Ivory Coast
12 T. Zogbe
B. Chardonnet
France
5 B. Chardonnet
R. Le Guen
71 R. Le Guen
D. Guindo
Mali
27 D. Guindo
J. Chotard
France
13 J. Chotard
R. Del Castillo
France
10 R. Del Castillo
L. Tousart
France
24 L. Tousart
H. Magnetti
France
8 H. Magnetti
R. Labeau Lascary
France
14 R. Labeau Lascary
L. Ajorque
France
19 L. Ajorque
G. Ouattara
France
42 G. Ouattara
L. Høgsberg
Denmark
24 L. Høgsberg
I. Doukoure
France
6 I. Doukoure
M. Oyedele
Poland
8 M. Oyedele
M. Amougou
France
17 M. Amougou
R. Gonçalves Soares Luís
Portugal
83 R. Gonçalves Soares Luís
S. Amo-Ameyaw
England
27 S. Amo-Ameyaw
S. Nanasi
Sweden
11 S. Nanasi
Y. Diémé
Senegal
34 Y. Diémé

General Information

Date & Time
May 13, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France · Round 29 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Capacity
15097
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Lineup

Starting XI

30
Grégoire Coudert
Grégoire Coudert Goalkeeper
6.88
5
Brendan Chardonnet
Brendan Chardonnet Defender
7.01
12
Luck Zogbé
Luck Zogbé Defender
6.56
27
Daouda Guindo
Daouda Guindo Defender
6.62
71
R. Le Guen
R. Le Guen Defender
6.66
8
Hugo Magnetti
Hugo Magnetti Midfielder
6.79
13
Joris Chotard
Joris Chotard Midfielder
6.89
24
Lucas Tousart
Lucas Tousart Midfielder
6.58
10
Romain Del Castillo
Romain Del Castillo Attacker
6.95
14
Rémy Labeau Lascary
Rémy Labeau Lascary Attacker
6.65
19
Ludovic Ajorque
Ludovic Ajorque Attacker
7.15

Starting XI

39
Mike Penders
Mike Penders Goalkeeper
6.97
6
Ismaël Doukouré
Ismaël Doukouré Defender
6.69
8
Maxi Oyedele
Maxi Oyedele Defender
6.7
24
Lucas Høgsberg
Lucas Høgsberg Defender
6.65
42
Abdoul Ouattara
Abdoul Ouattara Defender
6.7
11
Sebastian Nanasi
Sebastian Nanasi Midfielder
6.82
17
Mathis Amougou
Mathis Amougou Midfielder
6.65
27
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw Midfielder
6.71
80
Gessime Yassine
Gessime Yassine Midfielder
6.81
83
Rafael Filipe Gonçalves Soares Luís
Rafael Filipe Gonçalves Soares Luís Midfielder
6.58
34
Yaya Diémé
Yaya Diémé Attacker
6.59

CONCLUSION

Strasbourg enter this Ligue 1 encounter with the upper hand, bolstered by superior power metrics, better league standing, and significantly stronger form. Brest, despite home advantage at Stade Francis-Le Ble, face an uphill battle against a side scoring higher across key indicators. Without granular efficiency or set-piece insights, the focus sharpens on Strasbourg's momentum potentially overwhelming Brest's position. Expect a competitive affair where the visitors' edge could prove decisive in securing points on the road.