Lens vs Paris Saint Germain preview

France flag 2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Stade Bollaert-Delelis Wed, 13 May - 7:00 PM
Ligue 1
LensLEN
Paris Saint GermainPSG
KICKOFF : Wed, 13 May - 7:00 PM
Round 29 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Lens host Paris Saint Germain in Ligue 1 (Regular Season) at Stade Bollaert-Delelis. Domestically, Lens sit 2th in the table while Paris Saint Germain are 1th. Power ranking favours Paris Saint Germain by 12.5 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Paris Saint Germain hold a 12.5-point power advantage with a 95.11 score over Lens' 82.6.
  • Form: Paris Saint Germain enter with a superior form score of 26.28 compared to Lens' 21.11.
  • Squad: Lens sit 2nd in Ligue 1 standings while Paris Saint Germain lead in 1st.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play data unavailable in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats show low confidence with proxy metrics and no xG available for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable, limiting advanced variable analysis.
  • Market: Lens 28% (Δ-0.2%) | Draw 23.8% (Δ+0.2%) | Paris Saint Germain 48.2% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Lens P. Sage
P. Sage
VS
Paris Saint Germain L. Martínez García
L. Martínez García
2.1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.3
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nantes Rank: 67 W
Nice Rank: 72 D
Brest Rank: 73 D
Toulouse Rank: 75 W
LOSC Lille Rank: 81 L
Angers SCO Rank: 67 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brest Rank: 73 W
Lorient Rank: 74 D
Angers SCO Rank: 67 W
Nantes Rank: 65 W
Olympique Lyonnais Rank: 81 L
Toulouse Rank: 75 W
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 7 - 12
12
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Lens
28.04%
Draw
23.78%
Away Paris Saint Germain
48.17%

Movement

Changes since opening
Lens
-0.2%
Draw
+0.16%
Paris Saint Germain
+0.03%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
82.6
95.11
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lens
Paris Saint Germain
Power Score
82.6
95.11
League Position
2
1
Global Rank
46
5

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Lens — Opponent-weighted form score
Paris Saint Germain — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lens Paris Saint Germain

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 23 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lens LEN Home
23 matches
Paris Saint Germain PSG Away
Match Record
4
Wins
12
7
Draws
7
12
Losses
4
Goals
23
Goals Scored
39
39
Goals Conceded
23
-16
Goal Difference
+16
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-12T00:05:57+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
R. Risser
France
40 R. Risser
P. Ganiou
France
25 P. Ganiou
S. Baidoo
Austria
6 S. Baidoo
M. Sarr
France
20 M. Sarr
A. Sima
Senegal
19 A. Sima
A. Bulatović
Montenegro
5 A. Bulatović
A. Haidara
Mali
21 A. Haidara
M. Udol
France
14 M. Udol
R. Fofana
France
38 R. Fofana
O. Édouard
France
11 O. Édouard
W. Saïd
France
22 W. Saïd

General Information

Date & Time
May 13, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France · Round 29 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Capacity
38223
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Lineup

Starting XI ▼

40
Robin Risser
Robin Risser Goalkeeper
6.88
6
Samson Baidoo
Samson Baidoo Defender
7.08
20
Malang Sarr
Malang Sarr Defender
7.16
25
Ismaëlo Ganiou
Ismaëlo Ganiou Defender
6.96
5
Andrija Bulatovic
Andrija Bulatovic Midfielder
6.83
14
Matthieu Udol
Matthieu Udol Midfielder
7.09
19
Abdallah Sima
Abdallah Sima Midfielder
6.75
21
Amadou Haidara
Amadou Haidara Midfielder
6.72
11
Odsonne Édouard
Odsonne Édouard Attacker
6.85
22
Wesley Saïd
Wesley Saïd Attacker
7.11
38
Rayan Fofana
Rayan Fofana Attacker
6.74

Starting XI ▼

89
Renato Marin
Renato Marin Goalkeeper
6.6
4
Lucas Beraldo
Lucas Beraldo Defender
7.19
21
Lucas Hernández
Lucas Hernández Defender
7
24
Senny Mayulu
Senny Mayulu Defender
7.1
51
Willian Pacho
Willian Pacho Defender
6.91
8
Fabián Ruiz
Fabián Ruiz Midfielder
7.04
19
Kang-in Lee
Kang-in Lee Midfielder
7.19
27
Pedro Fernández
Pedro Fernández Midfielder
6.86
14
Désiré Doué
Désiré Doué Attacker
7.22
29
Bradley Barcola
Bradley Barcola Attacker
7.11
49
Ibrahim Mbaye
Ibrahim Mbaye Attacker
6.82

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Paris Saint Germain holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Paris Saint Germain a 12.5-point edge. External projection is Lens 28.2%, draw 23.6%, and Paris Saint Germain 48.1%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.