Benfica vs Sporting Braga preview

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Liga Portugal
BenficaSLB
Sporting BragaSCB
KICKOFF :
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Benfica host Sporting Braga in Liga Portugal (Regular Season) at Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica. Domestically, Benfica sit 3th in the table while Sporting Braga are 4th. Power ranking favours Benfica by 6.6 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Benfica possesses a structural advantage with a 6.6-point power score lead and home venue at Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica.
  • Form: Both teams register form scores of 0 with no last outings recorded.
  • Squad: Squad composition details unavailable in provided data.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics not available for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play statistics absent from current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable as add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Benfica 66.5% (Δ+-0%) | Draw 20.9% (Δ+0.4%) | Sporting Braga 12.6% (Δ-0.3%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Benfica José Mourinho
José Mourinho
VS
Sporting Braga C. Vicens
C. Vicens
2.43
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.95
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Famalicão Rank: 74 D
Moreirense Rank: 67 W
Sporting CP Rank: 89 W
Nacional Rank: 65 W
Casa Pia Rank: 62 D
Vitória Guimarães Rank: 72 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Estoril Rank: 67 D
Santa Clara Rank: 65 L
Casa Pia Rank: 63 W
Famalicão Rank: 72 D
Arouca Rank: 65 W
Moreirense Rank: 68 W
25
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
25 - 7 - 11
11
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Benfica
66.47%
Draw
20.92%
Away Sporting Braga
12.61%

Movement

Changes since opening
Benfica
-0.02%
Draw
+0.35%
Sporting Braga
-0.33%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
87.5
80.92
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Benfica
Sporting Braga
Power Score
87.5
80.92
League Position
3
4
Global Rank
22
56

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Benfica — Opponent-weighted form score
Sporting Braga — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Benfica Sporting Braga

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Capacity
68100
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Bruno Miguel Alves Jesus
Fábio Oliveira Melo
Luciano António Gomes Maia
Joao Pedro Pinheiro

Expected Lineup

Referee : Joao Pedro Pinheiro

Starting XI ▼

1
Anatoliy Trubin
Anatoliy Trubin Goalkeeper
6.83
9
Franjo Ivanović
Franjo Ivanović Centre Forward
6.89
4
António Silva
António Silva Right Back
7.07
5
Enzo Barrenechea
Enzo Barrenechea Defensive Midfield
7.05
8
Fredrik Aursnes
Fredrik Aursnes Defensive Midfield
7.25
17
Amar Dedić
Amar Dedić Right Back
6.7
18
Leandro Barreiro
Leandro Barreiro Attacking Midfield
6.91
26
Samuel Dahl
Samuel Dahl Left Back
6.95
6
Alexander Bah
Alexander Bah Left Back
6.77
21
Andreas Schjelderup
Andreas Schjelderup Left Wing
7.02
25
Gianluca Prestianni
Gianluca Prestianni Right Wing
6.95
Referee : Joao Pedro Pinheiro

Starting XI ▼

1
Lukas Hornicek
Lukas Hornicek Goalkeeper
6.8
10
Rodrigo Zalazar
Rodrigo Zalazar Midfielder
7.42
18
Pau Víctor
Pau Víctor Midfielder
6.98
20
Mario Dorgeles
Mario Dorgeles Midfielder
6.9
5
Leonardo Lelo
Leonardo Lelo Midfielder
6.93
9
Amine El Ouazzani
Amine El Ouazzani Centre Forward
6.72
8
João Moutinho
João Moutinho Central Midfield
7.01
14
Gustaf Lagerbielke
Gustaf Lagerbielke Right Back
6.94
17
Gabriel Moscardo
Gabriel Moscardo Left Back
6.6
34
Demir Ege Tıknaz
Demir Ege Tıknaz Central Midfield
6.9
6
Vítor Carvalho
Vítor Carvalho Centre Back
7.01

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Benfica holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Benfica a 6.6-point edge. External projection is Benfica 65.9%, draw 20.9%, and Sporting Braga 13.2%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.