Fiorentina vs Genoa preview

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Stadio Artemio Franchi Sun, 10 May - 1:00 PM
Serie A
FiorentinaFIO
GenoaGEN
KICKOFF : Sun, 10 May - 1:00 PM
Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Fiorentina hosts Genoa at the Stadio Artemio Franchi in a Serie A regular season fixture for the 2025/2026 campaign, pitting two mid-table sides against each other early in the schedule. The Viola sit 16th, trailing Genoa in 14th, but boast a power score of 77.26 to Genoa's 74.8, translating to a 2.5-point advantage that identifies Fiorentina as the stronger team overall. Home advantage at Franchi could prove decisive in this evenly matched contest, especially with both teams registering form scores of zero amid a lack of recent outings. League positions underscore Genoa's slight edge domestically, yet Fiorentina's superior rating suggests potential to capitalize. Data gaps persist in efficiency, set pieces, and transitions, with low-confidence proxies limiting deeper insights into specialized phases. This matchup hinges on structural discipline and basic execution, as both squads seek early momentum without standout xG metrics available. Fans anticipate a tactical affair where small margins define the outcome.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Fiorentina enjoys a 2.5-point power advantage over Genoa, positioning them as the stronger team at home.
  • Form: Both teams have form scores of zero with no recent outings recorded.
  • Squad: No specific squad updates or injuries reported for either side.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics are not available due to data limitations.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data shows low confidence with proxies used and no xG available.
  • xVariable: xG data is unavailable, preventing variable analysis.
  • Market: Fiorentina 47.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.9% (Δ+0%) | Genoa 24.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Fiorentina P. Vanoli
P. Vanoli
VS
Genoa D. De Rossi
D. De Rossi
1.33
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.38
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Roma Rank: 85 L
Sassuolo Rank: 74 D
Lecce Rank: 67 D
Lazio Rank: 81 W
Hellas Verona Rank: 65 W
Inter Rank: 91 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Atalanta Rank: 84 D
Como Rank: 82 L
Pisa Rank: 64 W
Sassuolo Rank: 76 W
Juventus Rank: 86 L
Udinese Rank: 77 L
15
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
15 - 17 - 4
4
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Fiorentina
47.71%
Draw
27.91%
Away Genoa
24.38%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
77.26
74.8
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Fiorentina
Genoa
Power Score
77.26
74.8
League Position
16
14
Global Rank
86
119

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Fiorentina — Opponent-weighted form score
Genoa — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Fiorentina Genoa

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
J. Bijlow
Netherlands
16 J. Bijlow
J. Vásquez Ibarra
Mexico
22 J. Vásquez Ibarra
L. Skiri Oestigaard
Norway
5 L. Skiri Oestigaard
A. Marcandalli
Italy
27 A. Marcandalli
S. Sabelli
Italy
20 S. Sabelli
M. Frendrup
Denmark
32 M. Frendrup
A. Amorim de Freitas Filho
Brazil
4 A. Amorim de Freitas Filho
M. Ellertsson
Iceland
77 M. Ellertsson
J. Ekhator
Nigeria
21 J. Ekhator
L. Colombo
Italy
29 L. Colombo
V. Carvalho Oliveira
Portugal
9 V. Carvalho Oliveira

General Information

Date & Time
May 10, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Capacity
43147
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Luca Massimi
Gamal Mokhtar
Alex Cavallina
Andrea Calzavara

Lineup

Referee : Luca Massimi

Starting XI ▼

43
David de Gea
David de Gea Goalkeeper
6.8
2
Dodô
Dodô Defender
6.9
5
Marin Pongracic
Marin Pongracic Defender
6.73
6
Luca Ranieri
Luca Ranieri Defender
6.73
21
Robin Gosens
Robin Gosens Defender
6.83
4
Marco Brescianini
Marco Brescianini Midfielder
6.59
27
Cher Ndour
Cher Ndour Midfielder
6.67
44
Nicolò Fagioli
Nicolò Fagioli Midfielder
7.22
10
Albert Gudmundsson
Albert Gudmundsson Attacker
6.87
17
Jack Harrison
Jack Harrison Attacker
6.69
19
Manor Solomon
Manor Solomon Attacker
6.99
Referee : Luca Massimi

Starting XI ▼

16
Justin Bijlow
Justin Bijlow Goalkeeper
6.94
5
Leo Østigård
Leo Østigård Defender
7.12
22
Johan Vásquez
Johan Vásquez Defender
6.86
27
Alessandro Marcandalli
Alessandro Marcandalli Defender
6.58
4
Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho
Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho Midfielder
6.72
20
Stefano Sabelli
Stefano Sabelli Midfielder
6.63
32
Morten Frendrup
Morten Frendrup Midfielder
6.88
77
Mikael Egill Ellertsson
Mikael Egill Ellertsson Midfielder
6.58
9
Vitinha
Vitinha Attacker
6.77
21
Jeff Ekhator
Jeff Ekhator Attacker
6.62
29
Lorenzo Colombo
Lorenzo Colombo Attacker
6.7

CONCLUSION

Fiorentina's home strength and power edge make them favorites in this Serie A opener against Genoa, despite the visitors' marginally better league standing. With form data absent, the focus shifts to underlying ratings where the Viola lead, potentially exploiting Genoa's away challenges. Limited insights into set pieces and efficiency mean execution in open play will dominate, favoring Fiorentina's structure. A narrow home win seems likely, boosting their climb from 16th, while Genoa aims to defy projections. This encounter promises intensity, with the Stadio Artemio Franchi crowd tipping scales in a balanced battle.