Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg preview

Germany flag 2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
Volksparkstadion Sun, 10 May - 1:30 PM
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV HSV
SC Freiburg SCF
KICKOFF : Sun, 10 May - 1:30 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Hamburger SV host SC Freiburg in Bundesliga (Regular Season) at Volksparkstadion. Domestically, Hamburger SV sit 12th in the table while SC Freiburg are 7th. Power ranking favours SC Freiburg by 19.5 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: SC Freiburg holds a 19.5-point power advantage over Hamburger SV, positioning them as the structurally superior team.
  • Form: Both Hamburger SV and SC Freiburg enter with form scores of zero and no recent outing records.
  • Squad: Hamburger SV rank 12th and SC Freiburg 7th in the domestic Bundesliga standings.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams in this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics are not available for analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece xG data unavailable due to low confidence and proxy usage for both teams.
  • xVariable: Advanced xG variables unavailable as xG add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Hamburger SV 35.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.2% (Δ+0%) | SC Freiburg 38.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Hamburger SV M. Polzin
M. Polzin
VS
SC Freiburg J. Schuster
J. Schuster
1.14
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.41
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Eintracht Frankfurt Rank: 80 W
TSG Hoffenheim Rank: 83 L
Werder Bremen Rank: 74 L
VfB Stuttgart Rank: 86 L
FC Augsburg Rank: 78 D
Borussia Dortmund Rank: 90 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
VfL Wolfsburg Rank: 74 D
Borussia Dortmund Rank: 89 L
Heidenheim Rank: 71 W
FSV Mainz 05 Rank: 81 W
FC Bayern München Rank: 100 L
St. Pauli Rank: 72 W
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 7 - 6
6
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Hamburger SV
35.41%
Draw
26.16%
Away SC Freiburg
38.44%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
63.5
82.95
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Hamburger SV
SC Freiburg
Power Score
63.5
82.95
League Position
12
7
Global Rank
95
46

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Hamburger SV — Opponent-weighted form score
SC Freiburg — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Hamburger SV SC Freiburg

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Hamburger SV HSV Home
0 matches
SC Freiburg SCF Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-10T00:25:18+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
D. Heuer Fernandes
Portugal
1 D. Heuer Fernandes
N. Capaldo
Argentina
24 N. Capaldo
L. Vušković
Croatia
44 L. Vušković
W. Omari
France
17 W. Omari
G. Gocholeishvili
Georgia
16 G. Gocholeishvili
N. Remberg
Germany
21 N. Remberg
A. Sambi Lokonga
Belgium
6 A. Sambi Lokonga
B. Jatta
Gambia
18 B. Jatta
F. Ferreira Vieira
Portugal
20 F. Ferreira Vieira
R. Glatzel
Germany
9 R. Glatzel
R. Königsdörffer
Ghana
11 R. Königsdörffer
N. Atubolu
Germany
1 N. Atubolu
C. Günter
Germany
30 C. Günter
B. Ogbus
Switzerland
43 B. Ogbus
M. Ginter
Germany
28 M. Ginter
P. Treu
Germany
29 P. Treu
J. Manzambi
Switzerland
44 J. Manzambi
M. Eggestein
Germany
8 M. Eggestein
V. Grifo
Italy
32 V. Grifo
L. Höler
Germany
9 L. Höler
J. Beste
Germany
19 J. Beste
I. Matanovic
Croatia
31 I. Matanovic

General Information

Date & Time
May 10, 2026, 01:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Volksparkstadion
Capacity
57000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Robert Kempter
Christian Dietz
Frank Willenborg
Felix Zwayer

Lineup

Referee : Felix Zwayer

Starting XI ▼

1
Daniel Heuer Fernandes
Daniel Heuer Fernandes Goalkeeper
6.88
17
Warmed Omari
Warmed Omari Defender
6.66
24
Nicolás Capaldo
Nicolás Capaldo Defender
6.8
44
Luka Vuskovic
Luka Vuskovic Defender
7.19
6
Albert Sambi Lokonga
Albert Sambi Lokonga Midfielder
6.89
16
Giorgi Gocholeishvili
Giorgi Gocholeishvili Midfielder
6.5
18
Bakery Jatta
Bakery Jatta Midfielder
6.58
21
Nicolai Remberg
Nicolai Remberg Midfielder
6.87
9
Robert Glatzel
Robert Glatzel Attacker
6.69
11
Ransford Königsdörffer
Ransford Königsdörffer Attacker
6.72
20
Fábio Vieira
Fábio Vieira Attacker
7.14
Referee : Felix Zwayer

Starting XI ▼

1
Noah Atubolu
Noah Atubolu Goalkeeper
6.89
28
Matthias Ginter
Matthias Ginter Defender
6.96
29
Philipp Treu
Philipp Treu Defender
6.64
30
Christian Günter
Christian Günter Defender
6.54
43
Bruno Ogbus
Bruno Ogbus Defender
6.66
8
Maximilian Eggestein
Maximilian Eggestein Midfielder
6.92
9
Lucas Höler
Lucas Höler Midfielder
6.72
44
Johan Manzambi
Johan Manzambi Midfielder
7.03
19
Niklas Beste
Niklas Beste Attacker
6.83
31
Igor Matanovic
Igor Matanovic Attacker
6.83
32
Vincenzo Grifo
Vincenzo Grifo Attacker
6.96

CONCLUSION

SC Freiburg's 19.5-point power edge and higher league position make them favorites at Volksparkstadion, despite Hamburger SV's home advantage. With form neutral across the board and key metrics like efficiency and set pieces unavailable, the focus falls on Freiburg's structural superiority. HSV must maximize crowd energy to counter the visitors' strength, but the baseline split hints at a competitive affair leaning Freiburg's way. Expect a tactical battle where power ratings could prove decisive in separating the sides.