Leganés vs Racing Santander preview

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
La Liga 2
KICKOFF :
Round 39 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Leganés host league leaders Racing Santander at Estadio Municipal de Butarque in a pivotal La Liga 2 regular season match of the 2025/2026 campaign. Sitting 16th in the table, the home side battles to distance themselves from relegation peril, confronting a Racing team that dominates with a power score of 71.19 versus Leganés' 58.48—a clear 12.7-point superiority. Form metrics amplify the challenge, Racing's robust 31.56 contrasting sharply against Leganés' faltering 9.22. As Santander pursue promotion momentum, Leganés rely on home support and tactical discipline to counter the visitors' structural edge. Limited insights into set pieces and efficiency leave emphasis on raw power and recent performances. This fixture tests whether Leganés can disrupt Racing's charge or if the Cantabrians extend their reign atop the standings.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Racing Santander holds a 12.7-point power advantage with 71.19 score over Leganés' 58.48.
  • Form: Racing Santander's form score reaches 31.56, surpassing Leganés' 9.22 by a wide margin.
  • Squad: Racing Santander tops La Liga 2 in 1st place while Leganés languishes in 16th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable for both teams in this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play data is absent from current analytics for either side.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats carry low confidence due to proxy usage and unavailable xG for both clubs.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable as add-on not enabled for the fixture.
  • Market: Leganés 32.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.3% (Δ+0%) | Racing Santander 42% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Leganés I. Oca Pulido
I. Oca Pulido
VS
1.08
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.88
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: 68 L
FC Andorra Rank: 65 L
Las Palmas Rank: 69 L
Albacete Rank: 67 W
Almería Rank: 71 L
Real Zaragoza Rank: 57 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Huesca Rank: 59 W
Ceuta Rank: 60 D
Real Sociedad II Rank: 60 W
Almería Rank: 71 W
FC Andorra Rank: 66 L
Sporting Gijón Rank: 63 W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 4 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Leganés
32.72%
Draw
25.31%
Away Racing Santander
41.97%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.48
71.19
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Leganés
Racing Santander
Power Score
58.48
71.19
League Position
16
1
Global Rank
372
182

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Leganés Opponent-weighted form score
Racing Santander Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Leganés Racing Santander

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 8 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Leganés LEG Home
8 matches
Racing Santander RAC Away
Match Record
2
Wins
2
4
Draws
4
2
Losses
2
Goals
10
Goals Scored
10
10
Goals Conceded
10
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-10T00:37:04+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 39 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Capacity
12454
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Álvaro Yeray Carreño Cabrera
Marta Huerta de Aza
José Unai García Urbaneja
Pol Gòdia Solé

Expected Lineup

Referee : Marta Huerta de Aza

Starting XI

1
Juan Soriano
Juan Soriano Goalkeeper
6.97
11
Duk
Duk Midfielder
6.82
17
Naim García
Naim García Midfielder
6.77
9
Dani Rodríguez
Dani Rodríguez Midfielder
7.07
10
Juan Cruz
Juan Cruz Midfielder
7.01
23
Álex Millán
Álex Millán Centre Forward
6.73
6
Lalo Aguilar
Lalo Aguilar Centre Back
6.82
22
Sebastián Figueredo
6.42
24
Amadou Diawara
Amadou Diawara Central Midfield
6.85
2
Marvelous Antolín Garzón
6.81
8
Seydouba Cissé
Seydouba Cissé Central Midfield
6.92
Referee : Marta Huerta de Aza

Starting XI

35
Laro Gómez
Laro Gómez Goalkeeper
6.18
7
Giorgi Guliashvili
Giorgi Guliashvili Centre Forward
6.87
2
Álvaro Mantilla
Álvaro Mantilla Right Back
6.61
5
Javi Castro
Javi Castro Right Back
6.8
10
Iñigo Vicente
Iñigo Vicente Left Wing
7.5
11
Andrés Martín
Andrés Martín Right Wing
7.34
18
Peio Canales
Peio Canales Attacking Midfield
7.07
19
Gustavo Puerta
Gustavo Puerta Defensive Midfield
6.94
21
Pablo Ramón
Pablo Ramón Left Back
6.67
32
Jorge Salinas
Jorge Salinas Left Back
6.72
14
Maguette Gueye
Maguette Gueye Defensive Midfield
6.7

CONCLUSION

Racing Santander arrives with overwhelming credentials, leading the league and wielding superior power alongside stellar form that positions them to dominate proceedings. Leganés face an uphill struggle at Butarque, needing a flawless defensive display and opportunistic strikes to compete. The visitors' 12.7-point edge suggests control in key areas, though home advantage might fuel resistance. Without granular set-piece or efficiency details, broader metrics favor Santander's execution. Midfield supremacy and momentum will prove decisive, likely tilting the balance toward the table-toppers in this uneven contest.