West Ham United vs Arsenal preview

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
London Stadium Today - 3:30 PM
Premier League
West Ham United WHU
Arsenal ARS
KICKOFF : Today - 3:30 PM
Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

West Ham United face Arsenal at the London Stadium in a Premier League regular season encounter laden with contrasting fortunes. The Hammers, mired in 18th place, confront a relegation scrap head-on, desperate for points to climb the table. Arsenal, perched atop the standings with a commanding power score of 98.27 against West Ham's 83.53, hold a clear 14.7-point edge, marking them as the stronger side. Recent form amplifies this disparity, with the Gunners registering 30.33 compared to West Ham's modest 16.61. The visitors' dominance is projected strongly, reflecting their league-leading position and superior metrics. West Ham will lean on home advantage and crowd support, but Arsenal's quality across the pitch poses a formidable challenge. Key battles in midfield and attack could define the outcome in this 2025/2026 season fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Arsenal possess a 14.7-point power advantage over West Ham, with scores of 98.27 versus 83.53.
  • Form: Arsenal's form score stands at 30.33, surpassing West Ham's 16.61.
  • Squad: West Ham occupy 18th in the league table, while Arsenal lead in 1st position.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics are not provided for either team.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG information.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables not accessible for this fixture.
  • Market: West Ham United 17.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 23.4% (Δ+0%) | Arsenal 59.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
West Ham United N. Simões Espírito Santo
N. Simões Espírito Santo
VS
Arsenal M. Arteta
M. Arteta
1.08
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.08
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brentford Rank: 88 L
Everton Rank: 87 W
Crystal Palace Rank: 86 D
Wolverhampton Wanderers Rank: 79 W
Aston Villa Rank: 91 L
Manchester City Rank: 98 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fulham Rank: 86 W
Newcastle United Rank: 88 W
Manchester City Rank: 97 L
AFC Bournemouth Rank: 90 L
Everton Rank: 88 W
Brighton & Hove Albion Rank: 90 W
8
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
8 - 9 - 31
31
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home West Ham United
17.43%
Draw
23.43%
Away Arsenal
59.14%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
83.53
98.27
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
West Ham United
Arsenal
Power Score
83.53
98.27
League Position
18
1
Global Rank
43
3

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
West Ham United — Opponent-weighted form score
Arsenal — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) West Ham United Arsenal

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 48 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

West Ham United WHU Home
48 matches
Arsenal ARS Away
Match Record
8
Wins
31
9
Draws
9
31
Losses
8
Goals
44
Goals Scored
100
100
Goals Conceded
44
-56
Goal Difference
+56
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-10T01:37:07+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
M. Hermansen
Denmark
1 M. Hermansen
K. Walker-Peters
England
2 K. Walker-Peters
K. Mavropanos
Greece
15 K. Mavropanos
A. Disasi
France
4 A. Disasi
E. Diouf
Senegal
12 E. Diouf
J. Bowen
England
20 J. Bowen
T. Souček
Czech Republic
28 T. Souček
M. Espanha Fernandes
Portugal
18 M. Espanha Fernandes
C. Summerville
Netherlands
7 C. Summerville
P. Pereira de Jesus
Portugal
19 P. Pereira de Jesus
V. Castellanos Giménez
Argentina
11 V. Castellanos Giménez
D. Raya Martin
Spain
1 D. Raya Martin
R. Calafiori
Italy
33 R. Calafiori
G. dos Santos Magalhães
Brazil
6 G. dos Santos Magalhães
W. Saliba
France
2 W. Saliba
B. White
England
4 B. White
M. Lewis-Skelly
England
49 M. Lewis-Skelly
D. Rice
England
41 D. Rice
L. Trossard
Belgium
19 L. Trossard
E. Eze
England
10 E. Eze
B. Saka
England
7 B. Saka
V. Gyökeres
Sweden
14 V. Gyökeres

General Information

Date & Time
May 10, 2026, 03:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium
London Stadium
Capacity
59623
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Chris Kavanagh
Daniel Cook
James Bell
Ian Hussin

Lineup

Referee : Chris Kavanagh

Starting XI ▼

1
Mads Hermansen
Mads Hermansen Goalkeeper
6.82
2
Kyle Walker-Peters
Kyle Walker-Peters Defender
6.7
4
Axel Disasi
Axel Disasi Defender
6.77
12
El Hadji Malick Diouf
El Hadji Malick Diouf Defender
6.71
15
Konstantinos Mavropanos
Konstantinos Mavropanos Defender
6.95
7
Crysencio Summerville
Crysencio Summerville Midfielder
6.86
18
Mateus Fernandes
Mateus Fernandes Midfielder
7.03
19
Pablo
Pablo Midfielder
6.77
20
Jarrod Bowen
Jarrod Bowen Midfielder
7
28
Tomáš Souček
Tomáš Souček Midfielder
6.77
11
Taty Castellanos
Taty Castellanos Attacker
6.81
Referee : Chris Kavanagh

Starting XI ▼

1
David Raya
David Raya Goalkeeper
6.77
2
William Saliba
William Saliba Defender
6.91
4
Ben White
Ben White Defender
6.9
6
Gabriel Magalhães
Gabriel Magalhães Defender
7.21
33
Riccardo Calafiori
Riccardo Calafiori Defender
6.9
10
Eberechi Eze
Eberechi Eze Midfielder
7.43
41
Declan Rice
Declan Rice Midfielder
7.33
49
Myles Lewis-Skelly
Myles Lewis-Skelly Midfielder
6.56
7
Bukayo Saka
Bukayo Saka Attacker
7.24
14
Viktor Gyökeres
Viktor Gyökeres Attacker
6.8
19
Leandro Trossard
Leandro Trossard Attacker
6.97

CONCLUSION

Arsenal arrive as overwhelming favorites, their top-table position and superior power and form metrics positioning them to extend dominance over struggling West Ham. The Hammers' home venue offers faint hope, but overcoming a 14.7-point deficit in underlying strength demands a flawless display. Watch for Arsenal's clinical edge to exploit West Ham's vulnerabilities, potentially turning this into a routine away win. West Ham must summon defensive resilience and counter threats to have any chance of an upset in this pivotal Premier League clash.