Parma vs Roma preview

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Stadio Ennio Tardini Sun, 10 May - 4:00 PM
Serie A
ParmaPRM
RomaROM
KICKOFF : Sun, 10 May - 4:00 PM
Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Parma welcomes Roma to Stadio Ennio Tardini for a Serie A regular season clash in the 2025/2026 campaign. Sitting 13th in the standings, Parma faces a formidable Roma side entrenched at 5th, highlighting the visitors' stronger domestic form. Roma's power score of 85.42 dwarfs Parma's 72.6, translating to a clear 12.8-point advantage that underscores their overall superiority. Both teams enter with neutral form scores of zero and no recent outing details, leaving recent momentum unclear. This setup favors Roma's structural edge in a league where positions reflect sustained quality. Limited data on efficiency and set pieces, due to unavailable xG metrics and low-confidence proxies, tempers tactical breakdowns. Parma will rely on home advantage to disrupt Roma's rhythm, but the power gap points to visitor dominance. Expect Roma to impose their quality early, testing Parma's resolve in a matchup ripe for calculated execution.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Roma holds a 12.8-point power advantage over Parma with scores of 85.42 versus 72.6.
  • Form: Both Parma and Roma have neutral form scores of zero with no recent outing data.
  • Squad: Roma ranks 5th in Serie A compared to Parma's 13th position.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play analysis limited by absence of specific performance data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable as xG metrics are not enabled for either team.
  • xVariable: xG data absent, relying on low-confidence proxies for both squads.
  • Market: Parma 13.9% (Δ+0%) | Draw 23% (Δ+0%) | Roma 63.2% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Parma C. Antón Cuesta
C. Antón Cuesta
VS
Roma G. Gasperini
G. Gasperini
1.42
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.67
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Inter Rank: 91 L
Pisa Rank: 64 W
Udinese Rank: 75 W
Napoli Rank: 86 D
Lazio Rank: 81 D
Cremonese Rank: 67 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fiorentina Rank: 78 W
Bologna Rank: 78 W
Atalanta Rank: 85 D
Pisa Rank: 63 W
Inter Rank: 91 L
Lecce Rank: 69 W
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 4 - 23
23
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Parma
13.85%
Draw
22.97%
Away Roma
63.18%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
72.6
85.42
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Parma
Roma
Power Score
72.6
85.42
League Position
13
5
Global Rank
151
35

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Parma — Opponent-weighted form score
Roma — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Parma Roma

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
Z. Suzuki
Japan
31 Z. Suzuki
A. Circati
Australia
39 A. Circati
M. Troilo
Argentina
37 M. Troilo
N. Ndiaye
Senegal
3 N. Ndiaye
E. Del Prato
Italy
15 E. Del Prato
A. Bernabe Garcia
Spain
10 A. Bernabe Garcia
H. Nicolussi Caviglia
Italy
41 H. Nicolussi Caviglia
M. Keita
Belgium
16 M. Keita
E. Valeri
Italy
14 E. Valeri
G. Strefezza Rebelato
Brazil
7 G. Strefezza Rebelato
M. Pellegrino Casalanguila
Argentina
9 M. Pellegrino Casalanguila

General Information

Date & Time
May 10, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Capacity
27906
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Daniele Chiffi
Khaled Bahri
Valerio Vecchi
Fabio Maresca

Lineup

Referee : Daniele Chiffi

Starting XI ▼

31
Zion Suzuki
Zion Suzuki Goalkeeper
6.96
3
Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Abdoulaye Ndiaye Defender
6.59
37
Mariano Troilo
Mariano Troilo Defender
6.8
39
Alessandro Circati
Alessandro Circati Defender
6.89
7
Gabriel Strefezza
Gabriel Strefezza Midfielder
7.06
10
Adrián Bernabé
Adrián Bernabé Midfielder
7.08
14
Emanuele Valeri
Emanuele Valeri Midfielder
6.81
15
Enrico Delprato
Enrico Delprato Midfielder
6.7
16
Mandela Keita
Mandela Keita Midfielder
6.83
41
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia Midfielder
6.7
9
Mateo Pellegrino
Mateo Pellegrino Attacker
6.84
Referee : Daniele Chiffi

Starting XI ▼

99
Mile Svilar
Mile Svilar Goalkeeper
7.02
5
Evan Ndicka
Evan Ndicka Defender
6.97
19
Zeki Çelik
Zeki Çelik Defender
6.82
22
Mario Hermoso
Mario Hermoso Defender
6.96
23
Gianluca Mancini
Gianluca Mancini Defender
6.99
43
Wesley
Wesley Defender
6.94
4
Bryan Cristante
Bryan Cristante Midfielder
6.96
17
Manu Koné
Manu Koné Midfielder
6.98
18
Matías Soulé
Matías Soulé Midfielder
7.04
61
Niccolò Pisilli
Niccolò Pisilli Midfielder
6.72
14
Donyell Malen
Donyell Malen Attacker
7.18

CONCLUSION

Roma arrives as clear favorites, leveraging a substantial power edge and higher league standing to challenge Parma at home. Parma's mid-table position offers resilience, yet Roma's superior metrics suggest they control possession and chances effectively. Neutral form levels the recent narrative, but structural advantages tilt toward the visitors dictating tempo. Without detailed efficiency or set piece insights, focus shifts to Roma's ability to exploit Parma's vulnerabilities. Home support may spark Parma early, but sustained pressure from Roma likely yields a positive result. This encounter promises Roma's quality to shine through in Serie A progression.