Rennes vs Paris preview

France flag 2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Roazhon Park Sun, 10 May - 7:00 PM
Ligue 1
RennesREN
ParisPFC
KICKOFF : Sun, 10 May - 7:00 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Rennes welcomes Paris to Roazhon Park for a Ligue 1 regular season clash in the 2025/2026 campaign. Hosting as the stronger side with a power score of 79.31 against Paris's 60.93, Rennes holds an 18.4-point advantage. Sitting fifth in the standings compared to Paris's 11th, the home team boasts superior structural standing. Recent form tilts slightly toward Paris at 27 versus Rennes's 25.78, hinting at potential resilience from the visitors. At home, Rennes leverages venue familiarity in this mid-table encounter. Paris faces an uphill battle away, where Rennes's higher league position underscores their domestic edge. Both sides lack detailed last outings, focusing instead on overall metrics. This matchup promises intensity, with Rennes aiming to capitalize on power disparity while Paris seeks to defy the gap through form momentum. Key battles will define control in midfield and attack.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Rennes possesses a significant 18.4-point power advantage over Paris, rated at 79.31 versus 60.93.
  • Form: Paris edges recent form with a score of 27 compared to Rennes's 25.78.
  • Squad: Rennes sits 5th in Ligue 1 while Paris occupies 11th, reflecting squad depth differences.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics not provided in available analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data shows low confidence with no xG available for either side.
  • xVariable: xG data absent, relying on proxy metrics with low confidence.
  • Market: Rennes 61.2% (Δ-0.4%) | Draw 21% (Δ+-0%) | Paris 17.8% (Δ+0.4%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Rennes F. Haise
F. Haise
VS
Paris A. Kombouare
A. Kombouare
1.9
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.35
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Olympique Lyonnais Rank: 82 L
Nantes Rank: 64 W
Strasbourg Rank: 80 W
Angers SCO Rank: 67 W
Brest Rank: 73 W
Metz Rank: 62 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brest Rank: 74 W
LOSC Lille Rank: 80 L
Metz Rank: 62 W
Monaco Rank: 80 W
Lorient Rank: 75 D
Le Havre Rank: 68 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Rennes
61.22%
Draw
20.99%
Away Paris
17.79%

Movement

Changes since opening
Rennes
-0.43%
Draw
-0.01%
Paris
+0.44%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
79.31
60.93
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Rennes
Paris
Power Score
79.31
60.93
League Position
5
11
Global Rank
65
140

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Rennes — Opponent-weighted form score
Paris — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Rennes Paris

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Rennes REN Home
1 matches
Paris PFC Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
1
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
1
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-10T00:38:18+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
K. Trapp
Germany
35 K. Trapp
N. Sangui
France
19 N. Sangui
M. Mbow
Senegal
5 M. Mbow
D. Coppola
Italy
42 D. Coppola
H. Traoré
Mali
14 H. Traoré
R. Matondo
23 R. Matondo
M. Munetsi
Zimbabwe
18 M. Munetsi
M. Simon
Nigeria
27 M. Simon
I. Kebbal
Algeria
10 I. Kebbal
N. Ikoné
France
93 N. Ikoné
W. Geubbels
France
9 W. Geubbels

General Information

Date & Time
May 10, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Roazhon Park
Capacity
29778
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Cédric Favre
Thomas Léonard
Valentin Evrard
Willy Delajod

Lineup

Referee : Thomas Léonard

Starting XI ▼

30
Brice Samba
Brice Samba Goalkeeper
6.85
3
Lilian Brassier
Lilian Brassier Defender
6.81
26
Quentin Merlin
Quentin Merlin Defender
6.91
36
Alidu Seidu
Alidu Seidu Defender
6.77
48
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal Defender
6.71
11
Mousa Tamari
Mousa Tamari Midfielder
6.92
17
Sebastian Szymanski
Sebastian Szymanski Midfielder
6.9
21
Valentin Rongier
Valentin Rongier Midfielder
7.24
45
Mahdi Camara
Mahdi Camara Midfielder
6.85
7
Breel Embolo
Breel Embolo Attacker
6.81
9
Estéban Lepaul
Estéban Lepaul Attacker
6.86
Referee : Thomas Léonard

Starting XI ▼

35
Kevin Trapp
Kevin Trapp Goalkeeper
6.85
5
Moustapha Mbow
Moustapha Mbow Defender
6.92
14
Hamari Traoré
Hamari Traoré Defender
6.69
19
Nhoa Sangui
Nhoa Sangui Defender
6.65
42
Diego Coppola
Diego Coppola Defender
6.93
10
Ilan Kebbal
Ilan Kebbal Midfielder
7.42
18
Marshall Munetsi
Marshall Munetsi Midfielder
6.76
23
Rudy Matondo
Rudy Matondo Midfielder
6.76
9
Willem Geubbels
Willem Geubbels Attacker
6.67
27
Moses Simon
Moses Simon Attacker
6.79
93
Jonathan Ikoné
Jonathan Ikoné Attacker
6.81

CONCLUSION

Rennes enters as clear favorites at Roazhon Park, bolstered by superior power ratings and home advantage against a mid-table Paris. The 18.4-point edge and fifth-place standing position the hosts to dominate structurally. Paris's marginal form lead offers intrigue, potentially fueling counterattacks. Without detailed efficiency or set-piece insights, focus shifts to overall metrics favoring Rennes. Expect the home side to press early, exploiting Paris's away vulnerabilities. Midfield control and defensive solidity will prove decisive in this Ligue 1 fixture. Rennes's consistency should prevail, securing vital points in the 2025/2026 season.