Randers FC vs Odense BK preview

Denmark flag 2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark
Cepheus Park Randers Mon, 11 May - 5:00 PM
Superliga
Randers FCRDF
Odense BKODE
KICKOFF : Mon, 11 May - 5:00 PM
Round 9 Relegation Round

CONTEXT

In the Superliga's Relegation Round at Cepheus Park Randers, hosts Randers FC face Odense BK in a crucial battle to climb away from danger. Randers hold a clear edge with a power score of 58.56 compared to Odense's 48.87, translating to a 9.7-point advantage that underscores their structural superiority. Sitting 9th and 8th in the domestic standings, both teams are neck-and-neck in the fight for survival, but Randers' home venue tips the scales. Form scores of zero for each side signal recent inconsistencies, with no standout last outings to report. Limited data hampers deeper analysis into efficiency, transitions, or set pieces, as xG metrics remain unavailable. Randers will aim to capitalize on their overall strength in this mid-table scrap, while Odense seeks to exploit any complacency. Expect a gritty encounter defined by tactical discipline.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Randers FC possess a 9.7-point power advantage over Odense BK, with scores of 58.56 to 48.87.
  • Form: Both teams enter with form scores of zero and no recent outing details available.
  • Squad: Randers FC sit 9th and Odense BK 8th in domestic league positions.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data is available for either team.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are unavailable due to lack of xG data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data shows low confidence with proxies used and no xG available.
  • xVariable: xG data is unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Market: Randers FC 42.9% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.1% (Δ+0%) | Odense BK 31.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Randers FC R. Bertelsen
R. Bertelsen
VS
Odense BK A. Zorniger
A. Zorniger
1.13
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.4
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vejle Boldklub Rank: 49 W
Silkeborg IF Rank: 58 L
Fredericia Rank: 52 D
Odense BK Rank: 56 L
FC København Rank: 70 L
Vejle Boldklub Rank: 49 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Silkeborg IF Rank: 60 L
Fredericia Rank: 53 W
FC København Rank: 69 L
Randers FC Rank: 60 W
Silkeborg IF Rank: 61 L
Fredericia Rank: 53 W
16
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
16 - 19 - 21
21
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Randers FC
42.86%
Draw
26.07%
Away Odense BK
31.07%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.56
48.87
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Randers FC
Odense BK
Power Score
58.56
48.87
League Position
9
8
Global Rank
544
549

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Randers FC — Opponent-weighted form score
Odense BK — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Randers FC Odense BK

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
May 11, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark · Round 9 · Relegation Round
Stadium
Cepheus Park Randers
Capacity
12000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jakob A. Sundberg
Victor Skytte
Danny Kolding
Frederik Svendsen

Expected Lineup

Referee : Jakob A. Sundberg

Starting XI ▼

1
Paul Izzo
Paul Izzo Goalkeeper
6.99
10
Warren Caddy
Warren Caddy Attacker
6.75
30
Thibault Klidjé
Thibault Klidjé Attacker
6.63
2
Lucas Lissens
Lucas Lissens Right Back
6.73
3
Daniel Høegh
Daniel Høegh Right Back
7.06
4
Wessel Dammers
Wessel Dammers Left Back
7.13
6
John Björkengren
John Björkengren Central Midfield
6.99
8
Laurits Pedersen
Laurits Pedersen Central Midfield
6.66
11
Elies Mahmoud
Elies Mahmoud Central Midfield
7.12
17
Mathias Greve
Mathias Greve Attacking Midfield
7.12
44
Nikolas Dyhr
Nikolas Dyhr Left Back
6.66
Referee : Jakob A. Sundberg

Starting XI ▼

16
Viljar Myhra
Viljar Myhra Goalkeeper
6.97
11
Jona Niemiec
Jona Niemiec Attacker
6.73
17
Noah Ganaus
Noah Ganaus Attacker
6.96
3
Adam Sørensen
Adam Sørensen Right Back
6.62
8
Rasmus Falk
Rasmus Falk Central Midfield
7.01
7
Fiete Arp
Fiete Arp Attacking Midfield
7.18
13
Julius Berthel Askou
Julius Berthel Askou Left Back
6.91
15
Marcus McCoy
Marcus McCoy Left Back
6.85
18
Max Ejdum
Max Ejdum Central Midfield
7.02
20
Leeroy Owusu
Leeroy Owusu Right Back
6.88
22
Ismahila Ouédraogo
Ismahila Ouédraogo Central Midfield
6.88

CONCLUSION

Randers FC enter as the stronger side on paper, bolstered by their home advantage and superior power rating in this Superliga Relegation Round showdown. Odense BK, just one place above in the table, pose a threat through resilience but lack the metrics to suggest dominance. With form dipping for both, the match hinges on execution at Cepheus Park Randers. Randers' structural edge should shine in a contest low on flair but high on stakes, potentially securing vital points in the survival scrap. Odense must disrupt early to counter the hosts' favoritism.