Elche vs Deportivo Alavés preview

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero Today - 12:00 PM
La Liga
Elche ELC
Deportivo Alavés ALA
KICKOFF : Today - 12:00 PM
Round 35 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Elche welcomes Deportivo Alavés to Estadio Martínez Valero for a crucial La Liga regular season clash in the 2025/2026 campaign. Sitting 14th in the standings, Elche holds a domestic edge over 18th-placed Alavés, buoyed by a stronger recent form score of 27.44 against the visitors' 18.5. However, Alavés boasts superior overall power at 76.02 to Elche's 62.48, translating to a clear 13.5-point advantage that marks them as the structurally stronger side. Home advantage could help Elche bridge this gap, especially as they seek to solidify mid-table security while Alavés battles relegation pressures. With limited insights into set pieces, efficiency, and transitions due to unavailable xG data, the contest may turn on raw execution and squad cohesion. Elche's higher league position reflects resilience, but Alavés' power edge demands respect in this evenly poised encounter.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Deportivo Alavés possesses a 13.5-point power advantage over Elche with scores of 76.02 versus 62.48.
  • Form: Elche shows better recent form at 27.44 compared to Deportivo Alavés' 18.5.
  • Squad: Elche ranks 14th and Deportivo Alavés 18th in domestic La Liga positions.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play data is not available.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG with low confidence proxy used.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable for both teams in set piece analysis.
  • Market: Elche 42% (Δ+0.3%) | Draw 29.8% (Δ+-0%) | Deportivo Alavés 28.2% (Δ-0.2%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Elche E. Sarabia Armesto
E. Sarabia Armesto
VS
Deportivo Alavés E. Sánchez Flores
E. Sánchez Flores
1.05
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.95
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Celta de Vigo Rank: 79 L
Real Oviedo Rank: 71 W
Atlético Madrid Rank: 89 W
Valencia Rank: 77 W
Rayo Vallecano Rank: 79 L
Mallorca Rank: 77 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Athletic Club Rank: 77 L
Mallorca Rank: 76 W
Real Madrid Rank: 92 L
Real Sociedad Rank: 80 D
Osasuna Rank: 78 D
Celta de Vigo Rank: 80 W
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 3 - 5
5
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Elche
41.96%
Draw
29.82%
Away Deportivo Alavés
28.21%

Movement

Changes since opening
Elche
+0.25%
Draw
-0.02%
Deportivo Alavés
-0.24%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
62.48
76.02
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Elche
Deportivo Alavés
Power Score
62.48
76.02
League Position
14
18
Global Rank
126
101

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Elche — Opponent-weighted form score
Deportivo Alavés — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Elche Deportivo Alavés

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 14 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Elche ELC Home
14 matches
Deportivo Alavés ALA Away
Match Record
6
Wins
5
3
Draws
3
5
Losses
6
Goals
16
Goals Scored
13
13
Goals Conceded
16
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-08T00:05:10+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 3-5-2
Pitch
M. Dituro
Argentina
1 M. Dituro
J. Donald
Spain
18 J. Donald
D. Affengruber
Austria
22 D. Affengruber
P. Bigas Rigo
Spain
6 P. Bigas Rigo
J. Morente Oliva
Spain
15 J. Morente Oliva
A. Giner Pedrosa
Spain
3 A. Giner Pedrosa
M. Aguado Pallares
Spain
8 M. Aguado Pallares
A. Febas Pérez
Spain
14 A. Febas Pérez
G. Villar del Fraile
Spain
12 G. Villar del Fraile
?. Rodríguez Muñoz
Uruguay
20 ?. Rodríguez Muñoz
A. Valente Silva
Portugal
9 A. Valente Silva
A. Sivera Salvá
Spain
1 A. Sivera Salvá
A. Rebbach
Algeria
21 A. Rebbach
A. Pérez Hidalgo
Spain
7 A. Pérez Hidalgo
V. Parada González
Spain
24 V. Parada González
N. Tenaglia
Argentina
14 N. Tenaglia
J. Castro Otto
Spain
17 J. Castro Otto
D. Suárez Fernández
Spain
4 D. Suárez Fernández
A. Blanco Conde
Spain
8 A. Blanco Conde
P. Ibáñez Lumbreras
Spain
19 P. Ibáñez Lumbreras
I. Diabate
Ivory Coast
22 I. Diabate
A. Martínez López
Spain
11 A. Martínez López

General Information

Date & Time
May 09, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 35 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Capacity
31388
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Matías Dituro
Matías Dituro Goalkeeper
7.11
3
Adrià Pedrosa
Adrià Pedrosa Defender
6.8
6
Pedro Bigas
Pedro Bigas Defender
6.85
15
Tete Morente
Tete Morente Defender
6.75
18
John Donald
John Donald Defender
6.46
22
David Affengruber
David Affengruber Defender
6.88
8
Marc Aguado
Marc Aguado Midfielder
6.82
12
Gonzalo Villar
Gonzalo Villar Midfielder
6.75
14
Aleix Febas
Aleix Febas Midfielder
7.08
9
André Silva
André Silva Attacker
6.9
20
Álvaro Rodríguez
Álvaro Rodríguez Attacker
6.88

Starting XI ▼

1
Antonio Sivera
Antonio Sivera Goalkeeper
6.7
7
Ángel Pérez
Ángel Pérez Defender
6.68
14
Nahuel Tenaglia
Nahuel Tenaglia Defender
6.87
17
Jonny Otto
Jonny Otto Defender
6.69
21
Abde Rebbach
Abde Rebbach Defender
6.74
24
Victor Parada
Victor Parada Defender
6.5
4
Denis Suárez
Denis Suárez Midfielder
6.65
8
Antonio Blanco
Antonio Blanco Midfielder
6.97
19
Pablo Ibáñez
Pablo Ibáñez Midfielder
6.76
11
Toni Martínez
Toni Martínez Attacker
7.15
22
Ibrahim Diabaté
Ibrahim Diabaté Attacker
6.69

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Deportivo Alavés holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Deportivo Alavés a 13.5-point edge. External projection is Elche 42.7%, draw 28.7%, and Deportivo Alavés 28.7%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.