Degerfors vs Mjällby preview

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Stora Valla Yesterday - 1:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Degerfors Degerfors
Mjällby Mjällby
KICKOFF : Yesterday - 1:00 PM
Round 7 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Degerfors welcomes Mjällby to Stora Valla for an Allsvenskan regular season matchup in 2026, pitting the 9th-placed hosts against the 7th-placed visitors. Mjällby arrives as the stronger side, holding a commanding 69.82 power score compared to Degerfors' 48.6, translating to a 21.2-point advantage. Recent form also tilts toward the away team, with Mjällby's 20.06 score outpacing Degerfors' 13.89. Despite Degerfors' home-ground familiarity, Mjällby's superior metrics suggest they control the structural edge in this mid-table contest. League positions reflect a tight battle, but power disparities highlight Mjällby's quality. Set piece data remains elusive with low-confidence proxies for both, lacking detailed xG insights. No recent outings provide further context, keeping focus on underlying strengths. Expect a tactical affair where Mjällby's efficiency could shine through.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Mjällby possesses a 21.2-point power advantage over Degerfors with scores of 69.82 versus 48.6.
  • Form: Mjällby holds a superior form score of 20.06 compared to Degerfors' 13.89.
  • Squad: Degerfors occupies 9th place while Mjällby sits 7th in the Allsvenskan standings.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both Degerfors and Mjällby.
  • Transition: Transition play data is not available in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats for both teams use low-confidence proxy data with no xG available.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables are unavailable due to add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Degerfors 25.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28.1% (Δ+0%) | Mjällby 46.8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Degerfors H. Goitom
H. Goitom
VS
Mjällby Karl Marius Aksum
Karl Marius Aksum
1.57
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.86
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Häcken Rank: 59 D
Örgryte Rank: 42 D
AIK Rank: 58 W
Elfsborg Rank: 55 L
Halmstad Rank: 46 W
Sirius Rank: 63 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Malmö FF Rank: 64 W
Halmstad Rank: 47 W
GAIS Rank: 57 D
Brommapojkarna Rank: 48 W
Örgryte Rank: 42 L
Hammarby Rank: 69 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 7
7
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Degerfors
25.11%
Draw
28.13%
Away Mjällby
46.76%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
48.6
69.82
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Degerfors
Mjällby
Power Score
48.6
69.82
League Position
9
7
Global Rank
828
213

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Degerfors — Opponent-weighted form score
Mjällby — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Degerfors Mjällby

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 8 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Degerfors Degerfors Home
8 matches
Mjällby Mjällby Away
Match Record
0
Wins
7
1
Draws
1
7
Losses
0
Goals
3
Goals Scored
14
14
Goals Conceded
3
-11
Goal Difference
+11
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-08T00:06:10+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
M. Igonen
38 M. Igonen
D. Sundgren
6 D. Sundgren
N. Moro
15 N. Moro
S. Ohlsson
16 S. Ohlsson
S. Diatara
18 S. Diatara
E. Barsoum
20 E. Barsoum
K. Karlsson
4 K. Karlsson
G. Yaw Yiriyon
13 G. Yaw Yiriyon
L. Fritzson
14 L. Fritzson
M. Rafferty
10 M. Rafferty
A. Taranis
17 A. Taranis
R. Wallinder
13 R. Wallinder
A. Iqbal
5 A. Iqbal
A. Norén
4 A. Norén
T. Miettinen
33 T. Miettinen
E. Stroud
17 E. Stroud
L. Malachowski Thorell
6 L. Malachowski Thorell
J. Gustavsson
22 J. Gustavsson
W. Granath
14 W. Granath
A. Manneh
19 A. Manneh
J. Bergström
18 J. Bergström
V. Gustafsson
7 V. Gustafsson

General Information

Date & Time
May 09, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 7 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stora Valla
Capacity
7500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Fredrik Klitte

Expected Lineup

Referee : Fredrik Klitte

Starting XI ▼

38
Matvei Igonen
Matvei Igonen Goalkeeper
6.71
17
Arman Taranis
Arman Taranis Centre Forward
6.87
13
Gideon Yaw
Gideon Yaw Right Wing
6.77
4
Kazper Karlsson
Kazper Karlsson Defensive Midfield
6.68
18
Samba Diatara
Samba Diatara Left Back
6.62
14
Ludvig Fritzson
Ludvig Fritzson Attacking Midfield
6.68
10
Marcus Rafferty
Marcus Rafferty Left Wing
6.8
6
Daniel Sundgren
Daniel Sundgren Right Back
7.02
15
Nasiru Moro
Nasiru Moro Right Back
6.33
16
Sebastian Ohlsson
Sebastian Ohlsson Left Back
6.96
20
Elias Barsoum
Elias Barsoum Defensive Midfield
6.6
Referee : Fredrik Klitte

Starting XI ▼

13
Robin Wallinder
Robin Wallinder Goalkeeper
7.06
17
Elliot Stroud
Elliot Stroud Midfielder
7.42
14
Villiam Granath
Villiam Granath Midfielder
6.9
19
Abdoulie Manneh
Abdoulie Manneh Attacker
7.34
7
Viktor Gustafson
Viktor Gustafson Attacker
6.77
18
Jacob Bergström
Jacob Bergström Centre Forward
7.39
4
Axel Norén
Axel Norén Centre Back
7.13
5
Abdullah Iqbal
Abdullah Iqbal Left Back
6.87
22
Jesper Gustavsson
Jesper Gustavsson Central Midfield
6.75
6
Ludwig Malachowski Thorell
Ludwig Malachowski Thorell Central Midfield
7.15
33
Tony Miettinen
Tony Miettinen Right Back
6.84

CONCLUSION

Mjällby's clear power and form edges position them favorably against Degerfors at Stora Valla, despite the hosts' mid-table resilience and home support. The 21.2-point gap underscores visitor dominance, amplified by better recent metrics, though league standings show proximity at 9th and 7th. Limited set piece and efficiency data leaves room for surprises, but structural superiority points to Mjällby dictating tempo. Degerfors must leverage Stora Valla's atmosphere to counter the disparity. This encounter blends competitiveness with predictable favoritism, likely hinging on execution in open play.