Brighton & Hove Albion vs Wolverhampton Wanderers preview

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
The American Express Community Stadium Today - 2:00 PM
Premier League
Brighton & Hove Albion BHA
Wolverhampton Wanderers WOL
KICKOFF : Today - 2:00 PM
Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Brighton & Hove Albion host Wolverhampton Wanderers at The American Express Community Stadium in a Premier League regular season clash during the 2025/2026 campaign. The Seagulls sit comfortably in 8th place, eyeing a push for European qualification, while Wolves languish in 20th, deep in relegation peril. Brighton's power score of 73.36 outstrips Wolves' 66.05 by 7.3 points, signaling a clear structural edge for the home side. Form metrics reinforce this, with Brighton's 29.39 rating more than doubling Wolves' lowly 14.44, indicating sharper recent momentum. Absent detailed squad updates or last outings, the focus shifts to overarching advantages. Set-piece and efficiency data remain unavailable due to missing xG stats, but Brighton's home strength and Wolves' struggles suggest a controlled performance from the hosts, potentially exploiting defensive frailties in transition.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Brighton hold a 7.3-point power score advantage at 73.36 over Wolves' 66.05 and occupy 8th place compared to Wolves' 20th.
  • Form: Brighton's form score stands at 29.39, well ahead of Wolves' 14.44.
  • Squad: No specific squad news or changes reported for either team.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play data is not available in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable as xG information is absent for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables not accessible due to data limitations.
  • Market: Brighton & Hove Albion 74.7% (Δ-0.1%) | Draw 16.2% (Δ+0.1%) | Wolverhampton Wanderers 9.1% (Δ+-0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Brighton & Hove Albion F. Hürzeler
F. Hürzeler
VS
Wolverhampton Wanderers R. Edwards
R. Edwards
1.4
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.67
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Newcastle United Rank: 88 L
Chelsea Rank: 89 W
Tottenham Hotspur Rank: 82 D
Burnley Rank: 77 W
Liverpool Rank: 92 W
Sunderland Rank: 81 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sunderland Rank: 81 D
Tottenham Hotspur Rank: 82 L
Leeds United Rank: 86 L
West Ham United Rank: 84 L
Brentford Rank: 89 D
Liverpool Rank: 92 W
10
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
10 - 12 - 5
5
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Brighton & Hove Albion
74.71%
Draw
16.24%
Away Wolverhampton Wanderers
9.06%

Movement

Changes since opening
Brighton & Hove Albion
-0.12%
Draw
+0.13%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
-0.01%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
73.36
66.05
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Brighton & Hove Albion
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Power Score
73.36
66.05
League Position
8
20
Global Rank
13
64

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Brighton & Hove Albion — Opponent-weighted form score
Wolverhampton Wanderers — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Brighton & Hove Albion Wolverhampton Wanderers

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 27 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Brighton & Hove Albion BHA Home
27 matches
Wolverhampton Wanderers WOL Away
Match Record
10
Wins
5
12
Draws
12
5
Losses
10
Goals
42
Goals Scored
25
25
Goals Conceded
42
+17
Goal Difference
-17
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-08T00:06:38+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
B. Verbruggen
Netherlands
1 B. Verbruggen
Y. Ayari
Sweden
26 Y. Ayari
J. van Hecke
Netherlands
6 J. van Hecke
O. Boscagli
France
21 O. Boscagli
F. Kadıoğlu
Türkiye
24 F. Kadıoğlu
C. Noom Quomah
Cameroon
17 C. Noom Quomah
P. Groß
Germany
30 P. Groß
Y. Minteh
Gambia
11 Y. Minteh
J. Hinshelwood
England
13 J. Hinshelwood
K. Mitoma
Japan
22 K. Mitoma
D. Tackie Mensah Welbeck
England
18 D. Tackie Mensah Welbeck
D. Bentley
England
25 D. Bentley
T. Gomes
Portugal
24 T. Gomes
S. Bueno Sciutto
Uruguay
4 S. Bueno Sciutto
Y. Mosquera
Colombia
15 Y. Mosquera
H. Bueno
Spain
3 H. Bueno
Gomes
Brazil
8 Gomes
A. Trindade da Costa Neto
Brazil
7 A. Trindade da Costa Neto
P. Cardoso de Lima
Brazil
17 P. Cardoso de Lima
A. Armstrong
England
9 A. Armstrong
M. Mané
England
36 M. Mané
T. Arokodare
Nigeria
14 T. Arokodare

General Information

Date & Time
May 09, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium
The American Express Community Stadium
Capacity
31876
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
John Brooks
Natalie Aspinall
Simon Bennett
Thomas Bramall

Lineup

Referee : John Brooks

Starting XI ▼

1
Bart Verbruggen
Bart Verbruggen Goalkeeper
6.84
6
Jan Paul van Hecke
Jan Paul van Hecke Defender
7.06
21
Olivier Boscagli
Olivier Boscagli Defender
6.89
24
Ferdi Kadıoğlu
Ferdi Kadıoğlu Defender
6.84
26
Yasin Ayari
Yasin Ayari Defender
6.89
13
Jack Hinshelwood
Jack Hinshelwood Midfielder
6.71
17
Carlos Baleba
Carlos Baleba Midfielder
6.62
30
Pascal Groß
Pascal Groß Midfielder
7.21
11
Yankuba Minteh
Yankuba Minteh Attacker
6.91
18
Danny Welbeck
Danny Welbeck Attacker
6.83
22
Kaoru Mitoma
Kaoru Mitoma Attacker
6.75
Referee : John Brooks

Starting XI ▼

25
Daniel Bentley
Daniel Bentley Goalkeeper
6.54
3
Hugo Bueno
Hugo Bueno Defender
6.76
4
Santiago Bueno
Santiago Bueno Defender
6.79
15
Yerson Mosquera
Yerson Mosquera Defender
6.78
17
Pedro Lima
Pedro Lima Defender
6.41
24
Toti
Toti Defender
6.6
7
André
André Midfielder
6.75
8
João Gomes
João Gomes Midfielder
6.8
9
Adam Armstrong
Adam Armstrong Midfielder
6.7
36
Mateus Mané
Mateus Mané Midfielder
6.74
14
Tolu Arokodare
Tolu Arokodare Attacker
6.69

CONCLUSION

Brighton & Hove Albion enter this matchup as clear favorites, leveraging their superior power rating, higher league position, and stronger form against a Wolves side mired at the bottom. The 7.3-point edge in power scores highlights structural dominance, while form disparities suggest Brighton will dictate tempo at home. Lacking granular set-piece or efficiency insights, the broader picture points to Seagulls control, potentially punishing Wolves' vulnerabilities. Expect a professional home display that widens the gap in standings aspirations.