Fulham vs AFC Bournemouth preview

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
Craven Cottage Sat, 9 May - 2:00 PM
Premier League
FulhamFUL
AFC BournemouthBOU
KICKOFF : Sat, 9 May - 2:00 PM
Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Fulham face AFC Bournemouth at Craven Cottage in a Premier League regular season fixture from the 2025/2026 campaign. The Cherries arrive with momentum, holding a higher power score of 73.52 against Fulham's 70.91, which equates to a 2.6-point advantage and marks them as the stronger team overall. Bournemouth also occupy 6th place in the standings, five spots ahead of the 11th-placed Cottagers. Form metrics reinforce this edge, with visitors scoring 32.94 compared to the hosts' modest 17.33. Detailed set piece and efficiency data remain unavailable due to low confidence proxies, leaving broader team strengths to guide expectations. Home advantage could inspire Fulham to challenge, but Bournemouth's superior ratings suggest they hold the upper hand in this mid-table battle.

TL;DR

  • Structural: AFC Bournemouth hold a structural edge with a 73.52 power score and 2.6-point advantage over Fulham's 70.91.
  • Form: Bournemouth's form score of 32.94 significantly surpasses Fulham's 17.33.
  • Squad: Bournemouth rank 6th in the league, ahead of Fulham in 11th, indicating stronger squad depth.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics are not provided.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable due to low confidence and proxy usage for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable as add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Fulham 34.8% (Δ+0.1%) | Draw 26.2% (Δ-0.1%) | AFC Bournemouth 39% (Δ+0.1%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Fulham M. Saraiva Da Silva
M. Saraiva Da Silva
VS
AFC Bournemouth A. Iraola
A. Iraola
1.54
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.36
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Arsenal Rank: 97 L
Aston Villa Rank: 91 W
Brentford Rank: 88 D
Liverpool Rank: 92 L
Burnley Rank: 77 W
Nottingham Forest Rank: 88 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Crystal Palace Rank: 86 W
Leeds United Rank: 87 D
Newcastle United Rank: 88 W
Arsenal Rank: 98 W
Manchester United Rank: 92 D
Burnley Rank: 77 D
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 4 - 7
7
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Fulham
34.8%
Draw
26.15%
Away AFC Bournemouth
39.04%

Movement

Changes since opening
Fulham
+0.06%
Draw
-0.13%
AFC Bournemouth
+0.07%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
70.91
73.52
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Fulham
AFC Bournemouth
Power Score
70.91
73.52
League Position
11
6
Global Rank
27
12

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Fulham — Opponent-weighted form score
AFC Bournemouth — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Fulham AFC Bournemouth

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Fulham FUL Home
13 matches
AFC Bournemouth BOU Away
Match Record
2
Wins
7
4
Draws
4
7
Losses
2
Goals
13
Goals Scored
26
26
Goals Conceded
13
-13
Goal Difference
+13
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-08T00:06:42+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
B. Leno
Germany
1 B. Leno
T. Castagne
Belgium
21 T. Castagne
J. Andersen
Denmark
5 J. Andersen
C. Bassey
Nigeria
3 C. Bassey
A. Robinson
United States
33 A. Robinson
H. Reed
England
6 H. Reed
S. Lukić
Serbia
20 S. Lukić
H. Wilson
Wales
8 H. Wilson
E. Smith Rowe
England
32 E. Smith Rowe
S. Chukwueze
Nigeria
19 S. Chukwueze
R. Jiménez Rodríguez
Mexico
7 R. Jiménez Rodríguez
Đ. Petrović
Serbia
1 Đ. Petrović
A. Truffert
France
3 A. Truffert
M. Senesi
Argentina
5 M. Senesi
J. Hill
England
23 J. Hill
A. Jiménez Sánchez
Spain
20 A. Jiménez Sánchez
T. Adams
United States
12 T. Adams
A. Scott
England
8 A. Scott
M. Tavernier
England
16 M. Tavernier
E. Kroupi
France
22 E. Kroupi
R. Rocha
Brazil
37 R. Rocha
F. de Lima Barbosa
Brazil
9 F. de Lima Barbosa

General Information

Date & Time
May 09, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium
Craven Cottage
Capacity
25700
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Andrew Madley
Nicholas Hopton
Craig Taylor
Paul Tierney

Lineup

Referee : Andrew Madley

Starting XI ▼

1
Bernd Leno
Bernd Leno Goalkeeper
6.79
3
Calvin Bassey
Calvin Bassey Defender
6.73
5
Joachim Andersen
Joachim Andersen Defender
6.91
21
Timothy Castagne
Timothy Castagne Defender
6.78
33
Antonee Robinson
Antonee Robinson Defender
6.79
6
Harrison Reed
Harrison Reed Midfielder
6.68
20
Saša Lukić
Saša Lukić Midfielder
6.85
32
Emile Smith Rowe
Emile Smith Rowe Midfielder
6.74
7
Raúl Jiménez
Raúl Jiménez Attacker
6.92
8
Harry Wilson
Harry Wilson Attacker
7.14
19
Samuel Chukwueze
Samuel Chukwueze Attacker
6.88
Referee : Andrew Madley

Starting XI ▼

1
Djordje Petrovic
Djordje Petrovic Goalkeeper
6.79
3
Adrien Truffert
Adrien Truffert Defender
6.82
5
Marcos Senesi
Marcos Senesi Defender
7.07
20
Álex Jiménez
Álex Jiménez Defender
6.72
23
James Hill
James Hill Defender
6.94
8
Alex Scott
Alex Scott Midfielder
7
12
Tyler Adams
Tyler Adams Midfielder
6.8
22
Eli Kroupi
Eli Kroupi Midfielder
6.87
9
Evanilson
Evanilson Attacker
6.8
16
Marcus Tavernier
Marcus Tavernier Attacker
6.92
37
Rayan
Rayan Attacker
7.01

CONCLUSION

AFC Bournemouth's power and form advantages position them favorably against Fulham at Craven Cottage, where the hosts will lean on home atmosphere to compete. The Cherries' 6th-place standing and 2.6-point edge highlight their quality, contrasting Fulham's 11th spot and weaker recent showings. Absent granular efficiency or set piece details, the matchup hinges on overall execution and momentum. Bournemouth appear equipped to extend their strong run, though Fulham's resolve could spark a resilient display. This encounter promises intensity, with visitors likely holding the decisive factors.