Zulte-Waregem vs Dender preview

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Elindus Arena Yesterday - 2:00 PM
Pro League
Zulte-Waregem ZUL
Dender DEN
KICKOFF : Yesterday - 2:00 PM
Round 6 Relegation Round

CONTEXT

In the high-stakes Pro League relegation round, Zulte-Waregem host Dender at Elindus Arena during the 2025/2026 season. The hosts occupy 13th place, three spots ahead of struggling Dender in 16th, with both teams battling to escape the drop zone. Zulte-Waregem enter on the back of superior recent form, boasting a 28.83 score compared to Dender's dismal 11.44, hinting at better momentum heading into this fixture. However, underlying power ratings favour the visitors slightly at 61.14 against 58.14, a narrow 3-point edge that underscores Dender's latent threat. No specific details on last outings or form records are available, shifting emphasis to table positions and raw metrics. Set piece contributions remain unclear due to absent xG data, potentially levelling the tactical field. Home advantage at Elindus Arena could prove pivotal in this gritty relegation scrap.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Dender hold a slight power rating advantage of 3 points over Zulte-Waregem at 61.14 versus 58.14.
  • Form: Zulte-Waregem demonstrate stronger recent form with a 28.83 score compared to Dender's 11.44.
  • Squad: No squad news or availability updates provided for either Zulte-Waregem or Dender.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for this Pro League relegation round matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play data not detailed in available statistics for both teams.
  • Set pieces: Set piece xG data unavailable with low confidence and proxy metrics used.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables absent due to data limitations for Zulte-Waregem and Dender.
  • Market: Zulte-Waregem 59.9% (Δ+0%) | Draw 23.5% (Δ+0%) | Dender 16.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Zulte-Waregem S. Colpaert
S. Colpaert
VS
Dender A. Abdul Raouf
A. Abdul Raouf
1.24
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.95
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cercle Brugge Rank: 70 W
La Louvière Rank: 64 W
La Louvière Rank: 65 W
Dender Rank: 61 W
Cercle Brugge Rank: 69 D
Sporting Charleroi Rank: 72 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
La Louvière Rank: 64 W
Cercle Brugge Rank: 69 L
Cercle Brugge Rank: 68 L
Zulte-Waregem Rank: 68 L
La Louvière Rank: 63 W
Gent Rank: 71 L
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 1 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Zulte-Waregem
59.86%
Draw
23.48%
Away Dender
16.65%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.14
61.14
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Zulte-Waregem
Dender
Power Score
58.14
61.14
League Position
13
16
Global Rank
248
456

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Zulte-Waregem Opponent-weighted form score
Dender Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Zulte-Waregem Dender

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Zulte-Waregem ZUL Home
7 matches
Dender DEN Away
Match Record
3
Wins
3
1
Draws
1
3
Losses
3
Goals
8
Goals Scored
9
9
Goals Conceded
8
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-08T00:07:00+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
B. Gabriel
13 B. Gabriel
L. Lemoine
4 L. Lemoine
J. Kiilerich
5 J. Kiilerich
B. De Jaegere
45 B. De Jaegere
W. Paugain
12 W. Paugain
D. Asare
40 D. Asare
E. Lofolomo
6 E. Lofolomo
M. Ake
39 M. Ake
J. Erenbjerg
10 J. Erenbjerg
A. Ementa
18 A. Ementa
J. Amankwaah Opoku
22 J. Amankwaah Opoku
G. Dietsch
30 G. Dietsch
B. Goncalves
7 B. Goncalves
L. De Fougerolles
44 L. De Fougerolles
J. Sambu Mansoni
70 J. Sambu Mansoni
K. Koton
15 K. Koton
M. Viltard
24 M. Viltard
N. Rodes
18 N. Rodes
L. Marijnissen
5 L. Marijnissen
A. Jahanbakhsh
27 A. Jahanbakhsh
M. Berte
90 M. Berte
D. Acquah
23 D. Acquah

General Information

Date & Time
May 09, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 6 · Relegation Round
Stadium
Elindus Arena
Capacity
12500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Bryan Bijnens
Bert Put
Michiel De Cuyper
Tom Stevens

Expected Lineup

Referee : Bert Put

Starting XI

13
Brent Gabriel
Brent Gabriel Goalkeeper
6.93
12
Wilguens Paugain
Wilguens Paugain Midfielder
6.77
39
Marley Ake
Marley Ake Midfielder
6.82
18
Anosike Ementa
Anosike Ementa Attacker
7.24
22
Joseph Okopu
Joseph Okopu Attacker
6.97
5
Jakob Kiilerich
Jakob Kiilerich Centre Back
6.74
6
Enrique Lofolomo
Enrique Lofolomo Central Midfield
6.66
10
Jeppe Erenbjerg
Jeppe Erenbjerg Attacking Midfield
7.12
40
Dirk Asare
Dirk Asare Central Midfield
6.87
45
Benoit De Jaegere
Benoit De Jaegere Left Back
6.52
4
Laurent Lemoine
Laurent Lemoine Right Back
6.89
Referee : Bert Put

Starting XI

30
Guillaume Dietsch
Guillaume Dietsch Goalkeeper
6.74
5
Luc Marijnissen
Luc Marijnissen Midfielder
6.73
15
Krzysztof Koton
Krzysztof Koton Midfielder
6.53
27
Alireza Jahanbakhsh
Alireza Jahanbakhsh Attacker
6.67
23
Desmond Acquah
Desmond Acquah Attacker
6.57
90
Mohamed Berte
Mohamed Berte Centre Forward
6.63
7
Bryan Goncalves
Bryan Goncalves Left Back
6.89
18
Nathan Rôdes
Nathan Rôdes Central Midfield
6.59
24
Malcolm Viltard
Malcolm Viltard Central Midfield
6.78
70
Marsoni Sambu
Marsoni Sambu Right Back
6.61
44
Luc De Fougerolles
Luc De Fougerolles Centre Back
6.67

CONCLUSION

Zulte-Waregem's edge in form and league position makes them favourites in this relegation round showdown at Elindus Arena, yet Dender's superior power rating introduces upset potential. The hosts' momentum from a higher form score could harness home support effectively, while visitors must capitalise on their underlying strength to close the three-place gap. Without set piece or efficiency insights, expect a tactical battle defined by execution in open play. Zulte-Waregem appear poised to claim vital points in their survival bid.