La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge preview

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Stade du Tivoli Yesterday - 2:00 PM
Pro League
La Louvière RAAL
Cercle Brugge CBR
KICKOFF : Yesterday - 2:00 PM
Round 6 Relegation Round

CONTEXT

In the Pro League's tense Relegation Round of the 2025/2026 season, RAAL La Louvière welcomes Cercle Brugge to Stade du Tivoli for a crucial clash near the bottom of the table. La Louvière occupies 14th place, just ahead of 15th-placed Cercle Brugge, making every point vital in the fight against relegation. Cercle Brugge arrives as the clear favorite, boasting a power score of 69.26 compared to La Louvière's 54.6, translating to a substantial 14.7-point advantage. Recent form underlines this gap, with Cercle Brugge's impressive 22.89 rating towering over La Louvière's modest 2.61. Both squads rely on proxy data for set-piece analysis due to unavailable xG metrics, showing low confidence levels. La Louvière will lean on home support to disrupt Cercle Brugge's rhythm, but the visitors' structural superiority suggests control in possession and transitions. Midfield dominance could decide the outcome in this high-stakes encounter.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Cercle Brugge possesses a 14.7-point power advantage with a score of 69.26 over La Louvière's 54.6.
  • Form: Cercle Brugge's form score stands at 22.89, far exceeding La Louvière's 2.61.
  • Squad: La Louvière holds 14th in the league while Cercle Brugge sits 15th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided in available statistics.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece data uses low-confidence proxies for La Louvière and Cercle Brugge with no xG available.
  • xVariable: xG statistics are unavailable, leading to proxy usage for both squads.
  • Market: La Louvière 30.5% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.9% (Δ+0%) | Cercle Brugge 42.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
La Louvière F. Taquin
F. Taquin
VS
Cercle Brugge L. Friis
L. Friis
0.67
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.38
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dender Rank: 60 L
Zulte-Waregem Rank: 66 L
Zulte-Waregem Rank: 64 L
Cercle Brugge Rank: 69 L
Dender Rank: 61 L
Genk Rank: 76 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Zulte-Waregem Rank: 67 L
Dender Rank: 60 W
Dender Rank: 61 W
La Louvière Rank: 63 W
Zulte-Waregem Rank: 68 D
Anderlecht Rank: 73 W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home La Louvière
30.51%
Draw
26.92%
Away Cercle Brugge
42.57%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
54.6
69.26
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
La Louvière
Cercle Brugge
Power Score
54.6
69.26
League Position
14
15
Global Rank
390
229

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
La Louvière — Opponent-weighted form score
Cercle Brugge — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) La Louvière Cercle Brugge

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

La Louvière RAAL Home
5 matches
Cercle Brugge CBR Away
Match Record
2
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
2
Goals
5
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
5
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-08T00:06:56+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 3-5-2
Pitch
C. De Schrevel
1 C. De Schrevel
W. Faye
4 W. Faye
Y. Okou
99 Y. Okou
M. Maisonneuve
13 M. Maisonneuve
J. Liongola
11 J. Liongola
S. Joel Ito
23 S. Joel Ito
A. Beka Beka
6 A. Beka Beka
N. Gillot
3 N. Gillot
B. Soumaré
28 B. Soumaré
N. Nsingi
27 N. Nsingi
P. Fall
7 P. Fall
W. Stellion Lisboa Oliveira
1 W. Stellion Lisboa Oliveira
V. Konaté
12 V. Konaté
G. Kondo
24 G. Kondo
E. Kakou
5 E. Kakou
F. Jacinto Nazinho
20 F. Jacinto Nazinho
E. Diop
37 E. Diop
P. Gerkens
18 P. Gerkens
M. Diaby
19 M. Diaby
G. Magnée
15 G. Magnée
S. Ngoura
9 S. Ngoura
D. Vanzeir
13 D. Vanzeir

General Information

Date & Time
May 09, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 6 · Relegation Round
Stadium
Stade du Tivoli
Capacity
12500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Kevin Van Damme
Lennert Jans
J. Vermeire
Tim De Keyzer

Expected Lineup

Referee : Kevin Van Damme

Starting XI ▼

1
Célestin Eric De Schrevel
Célestin Eric De Schrevel Goalkeeper
5.99
3
Nolan Gillot
Nolan Gillot Midfielder
6.96
27
Nachon Nsingi
Nachon Nsingi Midfielder
6.38
28
Bryan Soumaré
Bryan Soumaré Midfielder
6.46
11
Jordi Liongola
Jordi Liongola Midfielder
6.83
7
Pape Moussa Fall
Pape Moussa Fall Centre Forward
7.01
13
Maxence Maisonneuve
Maxence Maisonneuve Left Back
6.72
4
Wagane Faye
Wagane Faye Right Back
6.87
23
Joël Ito
Joël Ito Central Midfield
6.63
99
Yllan Okou
Yllan Okou Centre Back
6.92
6
Alexis Beka Beka
Alexis Beka Beka Central Midfield
6.76
Referee : Kevin Van Damme

Starting XI ▼

1
Warleson
Warleson Goalkeeper
6.91
15
Gary Magnée
Gary Magnée Midfielder
7.15
20
Nazinho
Nazinho Midfielder
7.12
9
Steve Ngoura
Steve Ngoura Attacker
6.74
13
Dante Vanzeir
Dante Vanzeir Attacker
6.41
24
Geoffrey Kondo
Geoffrey Kondo Centre Back
6.99
37
Edan Diop
Edan Diop Central Midfield
7.02
5
Emmanuel Kakou
Emmanuel Kakou Right Back
6.84
12
Valy Konaté
Valy Konaté Left Back
7.04
18
Pieter Gerkens
Pieter Gerkens Central Midfield
6.9
19
Ibrahima Diaby
Ibrahima Diaby Central Midfield
6.71

CONCLUSION

Cercle Brugge's clear edge in power ratings and form positions them to edge out La Louvière in this Relegation Round battle at Stade du Tivoli. Despite close league standings at 14th and 15th, the 14.7-point gulf and superior 22.89 form score favor the visitors' structured approach. La Louvière must harness home advantage and crowd energy to counter Cercle Brugge's strengths, particularly without reliable advanced metrics like xG. Proxy set-piece data offers little clarity, so execution in open play will prove decisive. Expect Cercle Brugge to dictate tempo, though La Louvière's resilience could yield a gritty contest. Victory here bolsters Cercle Brugge's survival hopes significantly.