Dundee vs Livingston preview

Scotland flag 2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park Yesterday - 2:00 PM
Premiership
Dundee DUD
Livingston LIV
KICKOFF : Yesterday - 2:00 PM
Round 36 2nd Phase

CONTEXT

Dundee host Livingston in Premiership (2nd Phase) at Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park. Domestically, Dundee sit 9th in the table while Livingston are 12th. Power ranking favours Dundee by 5.9 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Dundee possesses a 5.9-point power advantage over Livingston, rated at 58.88 versus 52.95.
  • Form: Livingston holds a higher form score of 13.61 compared to Dundee's 8.83.
  • Squad: Dundee sits 9th in the league, ahead of 12th-placed Livingston.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable in current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece performance data unavailable due to low confidence and proxy usage.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable for analysis.
  • Market: Dundee 53.8% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24.4% (Δ+0%) | Livingston 21.8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Dundee S. Pressley
S. Pressley
VS
Livingston M. Bartley
M. Bartley
1.13
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.52
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
St. Mirren Rank: 57 W
Dundee United Rank: 62 L
Kilmarnock Rank: 58 D
Celtic Rank: 78 L
Hearts Rank: 75 L
Dundee United Rank: 62 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Aberdeen Rank: 59 D
St. Mirren Rank: 58 W
Dundee United Rank: 62 L
Hearts Rank: 75 D
Kilmarnock Rank: 58 L
Hibernian Rank: 68 D
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 4 - 4
4
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Dundee
53.82%
Draw
24.36%
Away Livingston
21.83%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.88
52.95
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Dundee
Livingston
Power Score
58.88
52.95
League Position
9
12
Global Rank
527
646

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Dundee — Opponent-weighted form score
Livingston — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Dundee Livingston

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 14 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Dundee DUD Home
14 matches
Livingston LIV Away
Match Record
6
Wins
4
4
Draws
4
4
Losses
6
Goals
18
Goals Scored
20
20
Goals Conceded
18
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-08T00:07:14+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
J. McCracken
1 J. McCracken
B. Halliday
16 B. Halliday
R. Astley
4 R. Astley
L. Graham
22 L. Graham
D. Wright
7 D. Wright
Y. Dhanda
21 Y. Dhanda
E. Hamilton
48 E. Hamilton
C. Congreve
20 C. Congreve
J. Westley
19 J. Westley
T. Yogane
17 T. Yogane
S. Murray
15 S. Murray
J. Prior
28 J. Prior
R. McGowan
5 R. McGowan
D. Wilson
27 D. Wilson
B. Kabongolo
23 B. Kabongolo
C. Montaño Castillo
26 C. Montaño Castillo
M. Sylla
24 M. Sylla
S. Arfield
37 S. Arfield
D. Finlayson
19 D. Finlayson
S. May
17 S. May
L. Smith
15 L. Smith
J. Nouble
7 J. Nouble

General Information

Date & Time
May 09, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland · Round 36 · 2nd Phase
Stadium
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Capacity
11775
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Colin Steven
Jonathan Bell
Craig Ferguson
Greg Soutar

Expected Lineup

Referee : Colin Steven

Starting XI ▼

1
Jon McCracken
Jon McCracken Goalkeeper
6.89
15
Simon Murray
Simon Murray Centre Forward
6.65
17
Tony Yogane
Tony Yogane Left Wing
6.74
4
Ryan Astley
Ryan Astley Right Back
6.86
22
Luke Graham
Luke Graham Left Back
6.99
7
Drey Wright
Drey Wright Left Back
6.74
21
Yan Dhanda
Yan Dhanda Defensive Midfield
6.84
19
Joe Westley
Joe Westley Attacking Midfield
6.66
16
Brad Halliday
Brad Halliday Right Back
6.75
48
Ethan Hamilton
Ethan Hamilton Defensive Midfield
6.81
20
Cameron Congreve
Cameron Congreve Right Wing
6.75
Referee : Colin Steven

Starting XI ▼

28
Jérôme Prior
Jérôme Prior Goalkeeper
6.84
15
Lewis Smith
Lewis Smith Midfielder
6.83
26
Cristian Montano
Cristian Montano Midfielder
6.67
17
Stevie May
Stevie May Midfielder
6.81
19
Danny Finlayson
Danny Finlayson Midfielder
6.75
7
Joel Nouble
Joel Nouble Centre Forward
6.99
24
Mohamad Sylla
Mohamad Sylla Central Midfield
6.79
23
Brooklyn Kabongolo
Brooklyn Kabongolo Right Back
6.88
27
Danny Wilson
Danny Wilson Centre Back
6.56
5
Ryan McGowan
Ryan McGowan Left Back
6.62
37
Scott Arfield
Scott Arfield Central Midfield
6.58

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Dundee holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Dundee a 5.9-point edge. External projection is Dundee 52.5%, draw 25.3%, and Livingston 22.2%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.