Falkirk vs Hibernian preview

Scotland flag 2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland
Falkirk Community Stadium Yesterday - 2:00 PM
Premiership
Falkirk Falkirk
Hibernian HIB
KICKOFF : Yesterday - 2:00 PM
Round 36 2nd Phase

CONTEXT

Falkirk hosts Hibernian at Falkirk Community Stadium in this Premiership 2nd Phase encounter of the 2025/2026 season. Hibernian arrives as the stronger team with a power score of 67.56 compared to Falkirk's 60.24, translating to a 7.3-point advantage that underscores their overall quality edge. Despite this, Falkirk holds a superior form score of 20.06 against Hibernian's 8.67, indicating recent performances favor the home side. League standings reflect their closeness, with Falkirk in 6th and Hibernian in 5th place domestically. Advanced metrics like efficiency and set pieces are unavailable due to missing xG data and low-confidence proxies, shifting emphasis to core strengths. Hibernian's power could dominate possession, while Falkirk leverages home advantage and momentum for counter opportunities. This matchup promises intensity as both vie for crucial points in the phase.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Hibernian holds a 7.3-point power advantage over Falkirk with scores of 67.56 to 60.24.
  • Form: Falkirk boasts a higher form score of 20.06 compared to Hibernian's 8.67.
  • Squad: No detailed squad information available for either team.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are not provided in the data.
  • Transition: Transition play data unavailable for analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats unavailable due to lack of xG data and low confidence.
  • xVariable: No xG-based variable metrics available.
  • Market: Falkirk 40.9% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.6% (Δ+0%) | Hibernian 32.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Falkirk J. McGlynn
J. McGlynn
VS
Hibernian D. Gray
D. Gray
1.43
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.43
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Motherwell Rank: 67 W
Celtic Rank: 77 L
Rangers Rank: 77 L
Motherwell Rank: 67 W
St. Mirren Rank: 57 L
Aberdeen Rank: 59 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Celtic Rank: 78 L
Hearts Rank: 73 L
Aberdeen Rank: 59 L
Kilmarnock Rank: 58 W
Motherwell Rank: 67 D
Livingston Rank: 55 D
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 6 - 8
8
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Falkirk
40.88%
Draw
26.56%
Away Hibernian
32.56%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
60.24
67.56
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Falkirk
Hibernian
Power Score
60.24
67.56
League Position
6
5
Global Rank
316
264

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Falkirk — Opponent-weighted form score
Hibernian — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Falkirk Hibernian

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 18 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Falkirk Falkirk Home
18 matches
Hibernian HIB Away
Match Record
4
Wins
8
6
Draws
6
8
Losses
4
Goals
19
Goals Scored
29
29
Goals Conceded
19
-10
Goal Difference
+10
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-08T00:07:28+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Pitch
N. Hogarth
1 N. Hogarth
F. Lissah
28 F. Lissah
L. Neilson
15 L. Neilson
C. Allan
20 C. Allan
L. McCann
3 L. McCann
D. Tait
21 D. Tait
B. Spencer
8 B. Spencer
B. Broggio
11 B. Broggio
F. Yeats
14 F. Yeats
C. Miller
29 C. Miller
B. Stewart
16 B. Stewart
R. Sallinger
1 R. Sallinger
J. Iredale
15 J. Iredale
R. Bushiri
33 R. Bushiri
W. O'Hora
5 W. O'Hora
N. Cadden
19 N. Cadden
M. Changa Chaiwa
14 M. Changa Chaiwa
J. Newell
11 J. Newell
F. Passlack
25 F. Passlack
M. Boyle
10 M. Boyle
D. Scarlett
44 D. Scarlett
O. Elding
47 O. Elding

General Information

Date & Time
May 09, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland · Round 36 · 2nd Phase
Stadium
Falkirk Community Stadium
Capacity
7937
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Ryan Lee
Graeme Stewart
Dougie Potter
Josh Hay

Expected Lineup

Referee : Ryan Lee

Starting XI ▼

1
Nicky Hogarth
Nicky Hogarth Goalkeeper
7.1
16
Barney Stewart
Barney Stewart Centre Forward
7.09
14
Finn Yeats
Finn Yeats Attacking Midfield
6.65
20
Connor Allan
Connor Allan Left Back
6.85
3
Leon McCann
Leon McCann Left Back
6.77
8
Brad Spencer
Brad Spencer Defensive Midfield
7.03
11
Benjamin Broggio
Benjamin Broggio Right Wing
29
Calvin Miller
Calvin Miller Left Wing
6.98
28
Filip Lissah
Filip Lissah Right Back
7.01
15
Lewis Neilson
Lewis Neilson Right Back
6.57
21
Dylan Tait
Dylan Tait Defensive Midfield
6.74
Referee : Ryan Lee

Starting XI ▼

1
Raphael Sallinger
Raphael Sallinger Goalkeeper
6.89
25
Felix Passlack
Felix Passlack Midfielder
6.93
19
Nicky Cadden
Nicky Cadden Midfielder
6.94
47
Owen Elding
Owen Elding Attacker
6.92
44
Dane Scarlett
Dane Scarlett Attacker
6.53
33
Rocky Bushiri
Rocky Bushiri Centre Back
6.87
15
Jack Iredale
Jack Iredale Left Back
6.87
10
Martin Boyle
Martin Boyle Attacking Midfield
6.73
5
Warren O'Hora
Warren O'Hora Right Back
6.96
11
Joe Newell
Joe Newell Central Midfield
6.69
14
Miguel Chaiwa
Miguel Chaiwa Central Midfield
6.74

CONCLUSION

Hibernian's clear power edge of 7.3 points positions them to control the game through superior quality, potentially exploiting Falkirk's defensive structure. Yet Falkirk's stronger form score suggests resilience and scoring threat from recent play, amplified by home support at Falkirk Community Stadium. With league positions tightly bunched at 5th and 6th, neither side can afford a slip. Absent advanced data on efficiency, transitions, or set pieces, the contest hinges on execution of basics—possession for Hibernian, counters for Falkirk. A narrow victory seems likely for the visitors, but Falkirk's momentum keeps it competitive.