Atlético Madrid VS Celta de Vigo

2025/2026 La Liga, Spain

Riyadh Air Metropolitano Today - 4:30 PM

La Liga

Atlético Madrid ATM

Celta de Vigo CEL

KICKOFF : Today - 4:30 PM

Round 35 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Atlético Madrid host Celta de Vigo at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano in a key La Liga regular season clash during the 2025/2026 campaign. The Colchoneros, perched in 4th place, boast a commanding power score of 89.24 against Celta's 79.9, yielding a 9.3-point advantage that underscores their structural superiority. Recent form tilts marginally towards the hosts at 13.56 compared to the visitors' 12.61, setting the stage for a battle where Simeone's disciplined setup faces Celta's resilient mid-table challenge from 6th. The Metropolitano atmosphere will fuel Atlético's push to solidify their top-four aspirations, leveraging defensive solidity and opportunistic attacks. Celta, aiming to climb, must disrupt the hosts' rhythm on the road. With no recent outings detailed, both sides field settled lineups, though set-piece and efficiency insights remain limited due to data constraints. This encounter highlights Atlético's edge in power and positioning.

TL;DR

Structural: Atlético Madrid hold a 9.3-point power advantage and 4th place over Celta de Vigo's 6th.
Form: Atlético Madrid lead form scores at 13.56 versus Celta de Vigo's 12.61.
Squad: No specific squad changes reported with last outings unavailable.
Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for this fixture.
Transition: Transition play data not provided in analysis.
Set pieces: Set piece xG data unavailable with low confidence proxies used.
xVariable: Advanced xG variable metrics not accessible.
Market: Atlético Madrid 44.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.2% (Δ+0%) | Celta de Vigo 28.5% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

D. Simeone

C. Giráldez González

1.73

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.48

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

21 - 8 - 6

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Atlético Madrid

44.31%

Draw

27.23%

Celta de Vigo

28.46%

Team Power Ranking

89.24

79.9

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Atlético Madrid

Celta de Vigo

Power Score

89.24

79.9

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Atlético Madrid — Opponent-weighted form score

Celta de Vigo — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Atlético Madrid Celta de Vigo

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 35 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Atlético Madrid ATM Home

35 matches

Celta de Vigo CEL Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

+28

Goal Difference

-28

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-05-08T00:08:31+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2

Match Formation 3-4-2-1

1 J. Musso

18 M. Pubill Pagès

24 R. Le Normand

15 C. Lenglet

16 N. Molina Lucero

34 J. Del Romo

4 R. Mendoza Martinez Moya

6 J. Resurrección Merodio

21 O. Vaargas

11 T. Almada

9 A. Sørloth

13 I. Radu

14 Á. Núñez Cobo

29 Y. Lago Amil

32 J. Rodríguez Galiano

5 S. Carreira Vilariño

6 Ilaix Moriba

8 F. López González

3 Ó. Mingueza García

23 H. Álvarez Antúnez

10 I. Aspas Juncal

9 F. Jutlgà Blanc

General Information

Date & Time

May 09, 2026, 04:30 PM

Competition

2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 35 · Regular Season

Stadium

Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Capacity

70460

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Lineup

Manager ▼

D. Simeone Coach

Starting XI ▼

Juan Musso Goalkeeper

7.05

Clément Lenglet Defender

6.77

Nahuel Molina Defender

6.8

Marc Pubill Defender

7.05

Robin Le Normand Defender

6.7

Julio Díaz Defender

6.87

Rodrigo Mendoza Midfielder

6.64

Koke Midfielder

6.99

Thiago Almada Midfielder

6.83

Obed Vargas Midfielder

6.78

Alexander Sørloth Attacker

6.81

Manager ▼

C. Giráldez González Coach

Starting XI ▼

Ionuț Radu Goalkeeper

6.86

Óscar Mingueza Defender

6.88

Sergio Carreira Defender

6.79

Álvaro Núñez Defender

Yoel Lago Defender

6.55

Javi Rodríguez Defender

6.7

Ilaix Moriba Midfielder

6.79

Fer López Midfielder

6.76

Iago Aspas Midfielder

7.01

Hugo Álvarez Midfielder

6.77

Ferran Jutglà Attacker

6.9

CONCLUSION

Atlético Madrid enter as clear favourites, their power edge and higher league standing positioning them to dominate proceedings at the Metropolitano. Celta de Vigo's solid 6th place offers hope, but overcoming the 9.3-point deficit in form and structure proves daunting. Expect Simeone's men to control possession and strike decisively, while Celta target counters. Absent detailed efficiency or set-piece edges, the hosts' overall quality should prevail in a competitive yet one-sided affair, reinforcing their top-four push.

STANDINGS

CONTEXT