Real Valladolid vs Real Zaragoza preview

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla Yesterday - 4:30 PM
La Liga 2
Real Valladolid REV
Real Zaragoza ZAR
KICKOFF : Yesterday - 4:30 PM
Round 39 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Real Valladolid host Real Zaragoza in La Liga 2 (Regular Season) at Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla. Domestically, Real Valladolid sit 15th in the table while Real Zaragoza are 21th. Power ranking favours Real Zaragoza by 2.1 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Real Valladolid (15th) hosts Real Zaragoza (21st) in La Liga 2 at Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla, where visitors lead by 2.1 power points.
  • Form: Valladolid's form score stands at 14.89, surpassing Zaragoza's 4.67 significantly.
  • Squad: No specific squad updates available; power scores indicate Zaragoza's slight overall edge.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for this La Liga 2 matchup.
  • Transition: Transition metrics not provided for either team.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats rely on low-confidence proxies with no xG data for Valladolid or Zaragoza.
  • xVariable: xVariable information absent from available fixture data.
  • Market: Real Valladolid 45.3% (Δ+0.2%) | Draw 28.2% (Δ-0.5%) | Real Zaragoza 26.4% (Δ+0.3%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Real Valladolid F. Escriba Segura
F. Escriba Segura
VS
Real Zaragoza D. Navarro Arenaz
D. Navarro Arenaz
0.92
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.12
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Las Palmas Rank: 71 L
Real Sociedad II Rank: 59 W
FC Andorra Rank: 64 L
SD Eibar Rank: 70 D
Cultural Leonesa Rank: 57 L
Cádiz Rank: 57 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Granada Rank: 64 L
Huesca Rank: 57 L
Ceuta Rank: 59 D
Córdoba Rank: 65 L
Mirandés Rank: 59 L
Leganés Rank: 64 D
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 5 - 4
4
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Real Valladolid
45.34%
Draw
28.23%
Away Real Zaragoza
26.43%

Movement

Changes since opening
Real Valladolid
+0.16%
Draw
-0.48%
Real Zaragoza
+0.32%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
56.19
58.24
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Real Valladolid
Real Zaragoza
Power Score
56.19
58.24
League Position
15
21
Global Rank
474
554

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Real Valladolid — Opponent-weighted form score
Real Zaragoza — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Real Valladolid Real Zaragoza

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 20 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Real Valladolid REV Home
20 matches
Real Zaragoza ZAR Away
Match Record
11
Wins
4
5
Draws
5
4
Losses
11
Goals
30
Goals Scored
19
19
Goals Conceded
30
+11
Goal Difference
-11
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-08T00:08:35+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
Á. Aceves Catalina
1 Á. Aceves Catalina
C. Michelin
2 C. Michelin
P. Tomeo Félez
15 P. Tomeo Félez
R. Martinez Gil
5 R. Martinez Gil
C. Clerc Martínez
18 C. Clerc Martínez
L. Sanseviero
19 L. Sanseviero
J. Ponceau
21 J. Ponceau
M. Lachuer
6 M. Lachuer
S. Biuk
17 S. Biuk
I. San José Cantalejo
20 I. San José Cantalejo
J. Latasa Fernandez Layos
9 J. Latasa Fernandez Layos
A. Rodríguez Giménez
13 A. Rodríguez Giménez
J. Larios López
27 J. Larios López
J. El Yamiq
18 J. El Yamiq
P. Ínsua Blanco
4 P. Ínsua Blanco
M. Aguirregabiria Padilla
20 M. Aguirregabiria Padilla
M. Cuenca Aranda
23 M. Cuenca Aranda
J. Gutiérrez Parejo
10 J. Gutiérrez Parejo
F. Gracia
14 F. Gracia
R. González Bayón
11 R. González Bayón
D. Gómez Alcón
9 D. Gómez Alcón
K. Kodro
19 K. Kodro

General Information

Date & Time
May 09, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 39 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
Capacity
27618
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Álvaro Aceves
Álvaro Aceves Goalkeeper
6.69
19
Lucas Sanseviero
Lucas Sanseviero Midfielder
6.56
17
Stipe Biuk
Stipe Biuk Midfielder
6.74
20
Chuki
Chuki Attacker
6.99
9
Juanmi Latasa
Juanmi Latasa Attacker
6.88
18
Carlos Clerc
Carlos Clerc Left Back
6.65
21
Julien Ponceau
Julien Ponceau Central Midfield
6.84
2
Clément Michelin
Clément Michelin Right Back
6.72
6
Mathis Lachuer
Mathis Lachuer Central Midfield
6.63
15
Pablo Tomeo
Pablo Tomeo Right Back
6.73
5
Ramón Martínez
Ramón Martínez Left Back
6.51

Starting XI ▼

13
Adrián Rodríguez
Adrián Rodríguez Goalkeeper
6.88
11
Rober González
Rober González Midfielder
7.07
23
Marcos Cuenca
Marcos Cuenca Midfielder
6.48
9
Dani Gómez
Dani Gómez Attacker
6.77
19
Kenan Kodro
Kenan Kodro Attacker
6.77
10
Raúl Guti
Raúl Guti Central Midfield
6.91
18
Jawad El Yamiq
Jawad El Yamiq Left Back
7.02
20
Martín Aguirregabiria
Martín Aguirregabiria Right Back
6.78
27
Juan Larios
Juan Larios Left Back
6.6
4
Pablo Insua
Pablo Insua Right Back
5.29
14
Francho Serrano
Francho Serrano Central Midfield
6.84

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Real Zaragoza holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Real Zaragoza a 2.1-point edge. External projection is Real Valladolid 44.9%, draw 28.9%, and Real Zaragoza 26.2%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.