Alanyaspor vs Kayserispor preview

Türkiye flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye
Bahçeşehir Okulları Stadyumu Yesterday - 5:00 PM
Super Lig
Alanyaspor ANY
Kayserispor KAY
KICKOFF : Yesterday - 5:00 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the Turkish Super Lig regular season at Bahçeşehir Okulları Stadyumu, Alanyaspor welcomes Kayserispor in a matchup pitting 12th against 17th. Alanyaspor enters as the stronger side, holding a power score of 68.48 to Kayserispor's 63.42, translating to a clear 5.1-point advantage. This structural edge is bolstered by superior recent form, with Alanyaspor's 14.11 score edging out the visitors' 12.78. Home advantage could prove pivotal for the hosts, who have maintained a mid-table position while Kayserispor struggles near the relegation zone. Detailed efficiency metrics remain unavailable, and set-piece data relies on low-confidence proxies for both teams, limiting deeper insights into dead-ball threats. Transition play analysis is absent, but Alanyaspor's overall metrics suggest better cohesion. Kayserispor must disrupt the hosts' rhythm to salvage points in this encounter.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Alanyaspor possesses a 5.1-point power advantage over Kayserispor with scores of 68.48 to 63.42.
  • Form: Alanyaspor's form score of 14.11 exceeds Kayserispor's 12.78.
  • Squad: Alanyaspor ranks 12th in the league, five positions above 17th-placed Kayserispor.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition play data is not available for analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats use low-confidence proxies with no xG data for either side.
  • xVariable: xG variables are unavailable due to lack of supporting data.
  • Market: Alanyaspor 42.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.5% (Δ+0%) | Kayserispor 31.2% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Alanyaspor N. Pereira Costa
N. Pereira Costa
VS
Kayserispor E. Moe
E. Moe
0.95
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.86
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Antalyaspor Rank: 60 D
Samsunspor Rank: 71 L
Kasımpaşa Rank: 65 L
Trabzonspor Rank: 80 D
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: 66 D
Kocaelispor Rank: 65 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Eyüpspor Rank: 64 D
Rizespor Rank: 69 W
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: 65 L
Fenerbahçe Rank: 85 L
Kasımpaşa Rank: 66 L
Fatih Karagümrük Rank: 63 W
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 4 - 4
4
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Alanyaspor
42.3%
Draw
26.47%
Away Kayserispor
31.23%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
68.48
63.42
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Alanyaspor
Kayserispor
Power Score
68.48
63.42
League Position
12
17
Global Rank
246
386

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Alanyaspor — Opponent-weighted form score
Kayserispor — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Alanyaspor Kayserispor

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 19 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Alanyaspor ANY Home
19 matches
Kayserispor KAY Away
Match Record
11
Wins
4
4
Draws
4
4
Losses
11
Goals
38
Goals Scored
18
18
Goals Conceded
38
+20
Goal Difference
-20
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-08T00:08:46+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
P. de Mileo Vidotti
48 P. de Mileo Vidotti
F. Aliti
5 F. Aliti
B. Willemen Da Silva
30 B. Willemen Da Silva
F. Aksoy
20 F. Aksoy
F. Hadërgjonaj
94 F. Hadërgjonaj
I. Hagi
14 I. Hagi
G. Makouta
42 G. Makouta
E. Keskin
8 E. Keskin
M. Elia
12 M. Elia
G. Yalçın
10 G. Yalçın
U. Hwang
16 U. Hwang
B. Bayazit
25 B. Bayazit
L. Carole
23 L. Carole
S. Denswil
4 S. Denswil
S. Güler
6 S. Güler
J. Katongo
2 J. Katongo
D. Toköz
24 D. Toköz
L. Bénes
8 L. Bénes
M. Nunes Cardoso
7 M. Nunes Cardoso
F. Chalov
63 F. Chalov
D. Makarov
18 D. Makarov
G. Onugkha
9 G. Onugkha

General Information

Date & Time
May 09, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Bahçeşehir Okulları Stadyumu
Capacity
10128
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

48
Paulo Victor
Paulo Victor Goalkeeper
6.69
94
Florent Hadergjonaj
Florent Hadergjonaj Midfielder
7.08
8
Enes Keskin
Enes Keskin Midfielder
6.69
10
Güven Yalçın
Güven Yalçın Centre Forward
6.74
12
Meschack Elia
Meschack Elia Attacker
6.62
16
Ui-jo Hwang
Ui-jo Hwang Attacker
6.84
5
Fidan Aliti
Fidan Aliti Right Back
6.92
20
Fatih Aksoy
Fatih Aksoy Left Back
6.62
30
Bruno Viana
Bruno Viana Centre Back
6.69
14
Ianis Hagi
Ianis Hagi Central Midfield
7.06
42
Gaius Makouta
Gaius Makouta Central Midfield
6.73

Starting XI ▼

25
Bilal Bayazıt
Bilal Bayazıt Goalkeeper
6.9
9
German Onugkha
German Onugkha Centre Forward
6.83
4
Stefano Denswil
Stefano Denswil Left Back
6.71
23
Lionel Carole
Lionel Carole Left Back
6.63
2
J. Katongo
J. Katongo Right Back
6.46
6
Semih Güler
Semih Güler Right Back
6.7
7
Miguel Cardoso
Miguel Cardoso Left Wing
6.98
8
László Bénes
László Bénes Defensive Midfield
7
18
Denis Makarov
Denis Makarov Right Wing
6.59
24
Dorukhan Toköz
Dorukhan Toköz Defensive Midfield
6.53
63
Fedor Chalov
Fedor Chalov Attacking Midfield
6.75

CONCLUSION

Alanyaspor's power and form edges position them favorably against a struggling Kayserispor side. Hosting at Bahçeşehir Okulları Stadyumu, the 12th-placed hosts can exploit their 5.1-point superiority and better recent performances to secure a home win. Kayserispor's 17th-place standing underscores defensive frailties, though limited set-piece and efficiency data tempers bold predictions. Expect Alanyaspor to control possession and transitions, capitalizing on structural strengths for a positive result in this Super Lig fixture.