Beşiktaş vs Trabzonspor preview

Türkiye flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye
Beşiktaş Park Yesterday - 5:00 PM
Super Lig
Beşiktaş BES
Trabzonspor TRA
KICKOFF : Yesterday - 5:00 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Beşiktaş host Trabzonspor at Beşiktaş Park in a pivotal Super Lig regular season encounter during the 2025/2026 campaign. The Black Eagles, perched in fourth place, face third-placed Trabzonspor in a battle that could shuffle the top-four standings. Trabzonspor enter as the marginally stronger side with a power score of 79.5 against Beşiktaş's 77.63, boasting a 1.9-point advantage. Form metrics tilt further towards the visitors at 25.78 compared to the hosts' 18.44, suggesting sharper recent momentum. Home soil offers Beşiktaş a vital boost in this domestic heavyweight clash, where both clubs vie for European spots. Detailed efficiency and set-piece data remain unavailable, relying on low-confidence proxies, while transition dynamics are uncharted. League positions highlight their parity, promising a tense, tactical affair under the Istanbul lights.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Trabzonspor hold a 1.9-point power advantage over Beşiktaş, rated as the stronger team overall.
  • Form: Trabzonspor lead in form with a score of 25.78 versus Beşiktaş's 18.44.
  • Squad: Trabzonspor sit third in the Super Lig, one position above Beşiktaş in fourth.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition performance metrics are not provided for either side.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats use low-confidence proxies with no xG available for Beşiktaş or Trabzonspor.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable as the add-on is not enabled for this matchup.
  • Market: Beşiktaş 44.4% (Δ+-0%) | Draw 25.4% (Δ-0.2%) | Trabzonspor 30.2% (Δ+0.2%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Beşiktaş A. Yalçın
A. Yalçın
VS
Trabzonspor F. Tekke
F. Tekke
1.95
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.05
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: 66 W
Fatih Karagümrük Rank: 61 D
Samsunspor Rank: 70 L
Antalyaspor Rank: 60 W
Fenerbahçe Rank: 85 L
Kasımpaşa Rank: 66 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Göztepe Rank: 73 D
Konyaspor Rank: 70 L
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: 74 D
Alanyaspor Rank: 68 D
Galatasaray Rank: 86 W
Eyüpspor Rank: 64 W
15
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
15 - 15 - 13
13
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Beşiktaş
44.39%
Draw
25.4%
Away Trabzonspor
30.22%

Movement

Changes since opening
Beşiktaş
-0.03%
Draw
-0.19%
Trabzonspor
+0.23%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
77.63
79.5
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Beşiktaş
Trabzonspor
Power Score
77.63
79.5
League Position
4
3
Global Rank
82
63

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Beşiktaş — Opponent-weighted form score
Trabzonspor — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Beşiktaş Trabzonspor

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 43 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Beşiktaş BES Home
43 matches
Trabzonspor TRA Away
Match Record
15
Wins
13
15
Draws
15
13
Losses
15
Goals
63
Goals Scored
54
54
Goals Conceded
63
+9
Goal Difference
-9
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-08T00:08:56+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
E. Destanoğlu
30 E. Destanoğlu
T. Bulut
22 T. Bulut
T. Embalo Djaló
35 T. Embalo Djaló
F. Uduokhai
14 F. Uduokhai
Y. Özcan
58 Y. Özcan
K. Asllani
23 K. Asllani
S. Uçan
8 S. Uçan
C. Ünder
11 C. Ünder
J. Olaitan
15 J. Olaitan
J. Ferreira Silva
26 J. Ferreira Silva
M. Hekimoğlu
91 M. Hekimoğlu
A. Onana
24 A. Onana
M. Lövik
14 M. Lövik
C. Nwaiwu
27 C. Nwaiwu
O. Tufan
11 O. Tufan
S. Malkoçoğlu
74 S. Malkoçoğlu
B. Bouchouari
8 B. Bouchouari
T. Jabol Folcarelli
26 T. Jabol Folcarelli
O. Zubkov
22 O. Zubkov
F. da Silva
99 F. da Silva
E. Muçi
10 E. Muçi
E. Onuachu
30 E. Onuachu

General Information

Date & Time
May 09, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Beşiktaş Park
Capacity
42590
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

30
Ersin Destanoğlu
Ersin Destanoğlu Goalkeeper
6.9
91
Mustafa Hekimoğlu
Mustafa Hekimoğlu Centre Forward
6.58
8
Salih Uçan
Salih Uçan Defensive Midfield
6.71
11
Cengiz Ünder
Cengiz Ünder Right Wing
6.96
14
Felix Uduokhai
Felix Uduokhai Left Back
6.99
15
Junior Olaitan
Junior Olaitan Attacking Midfield
6.92
22
Taylan Bulut
Taylan Bulut Right Back
6.63
23
Kristjan Asllani
Kristjan Asllani Defensive Midfield
6.78
26
Jota Silva
Jota Silva Left Wing
6.81
35
Tiago Djaló
Tiago Djaló Right Back
6.85
58
Yasin Özcan
Yasin Özcan Left Back
6.73

Starting XI ▼

24
André Onana
André Onana Goalkeeper
6.94
10
Ernest Muci
Ernest Muci Midfielder
7.29
22
Oleksandr Zubkov
Oleksandr Zubkov Midfielder
7.22
74
Salih Malkoçoğlu
Salih Malkoçoğlu Midfielder
6.72
99
Felipe Augusto
Felipe Augusto Midfielder
6.96
30
Paul Onuachu
Paul Onuachu Centre Forward
7.29
8
Benjamin Bouchouari
Benjamin Bouchouari Central Midfield
6.48
11
Ozan Tufan
Ozan Tufan Right Back
6.94
14
Mathias Løvik
Mathias Løvik Left Back
6.6
26
Tim Jabol-Folcarelli
Tim Jabol-Folcarelli Central Midfield
6.9
27
Chibuike Nwaiwu
Chibuike Nwaiwu Centre Back
7.33

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Trabzonspor holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Trabzonspor a 1.9-point edge. External projection is Beşiktaş 44.8%, draw 25.3%, and Trabzonspor 30%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.