Górnik Zabrze vs Zagłębie Lubin preview

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Arena Zabrze Yesterday - 6:15 PM
Ekstraklasa
Górnik Zabrze Górnik Zabrze
Zagłębie Lubin Zagłębie Lubin
KICKOFF : Yesterday - 6:15 PM
Round 32 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the Ekstraklasa regular season at Arena Zabrze, second-placed Górnik Zabrze faces sixth-placed Zagłędzie Lubin in a matchup highlighting home strength. Górnik holds a clear edge with a power score of 68.38 over Zagłędzie's 61.64, yielding a 6.7-point advantage that underscores their structural superiority. Form scores further tilt the scales, as Górnik's 35.56 dwarfs Zagłędzie's meager 10.06, reflecting recent inconsistencies for the visitors. League positions reinforce this, with Górnik chasing the top spot and Zagłędzie aiming to climb from mid-table. Home advantage at a fortress like Arena Zabrze amplifies Górnik's prospects. While detailed efficiency, transition, and set-piece data remain unavailable due to lacking xG metrics, the overall profile favors the hosts. Zagłędzie must disrupt Górnik's rhythm to compete, but power and form gaps loom large. Expect a contest where Górnik's momentum drives the outcome.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Górnik Zabrze possesses a power score of 68.38 versus Zagłędzie Lubin's 61.64, creating a 6.7-point advantage.
  • Form: Górnik Zabrze's form score stands at 35.56, far superior to Zagłędzie Lubin's 10.06.
  • Squad: Górnik Zabrze occupies 2nd place in the Ekstraklasa, while Zagłędzie Lubin sits 6th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: No specific transition play data is provided for either side.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data is unavailable due to absent xG statistics.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables are not available for this matchup.
  • Market: Baseline split: Górnik Zabrze 55.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.9% (Δ+0%) | Zagłębie Lubin 18.8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Górnik Zabrze M. Gašparík
M. Gašparík
VS
Zagłębie Lubin L. Ojrzynski
L. Ojrzynski
1.33
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.41
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: 64 W
Korona Kielce Rank: 60 W
Legia Warszawa Rank: 65 D
Cracovia Kraków Rank: 60 W
Widzew Lodz Rank: 60 D
Raków Częstochowa Rank: 69 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cracovia Kraków Rank: 60 D
Nieciecza Rank: 51 L
Legia Warszawa Rank: 64 L
Radomiak Radom Rank: 62 W
Arka Gdynia Rank: 55 L
Motor Lublin Rank: 59 L
13
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
13 - 7 - 15
15
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Górnik Zabrze
55.36%
Draw
25.86%
Away Zagłębie Lubin
18.78%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
68.38
61.64
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Górnik Zabrze
Zagłębie Lubin
Power Score
68.38
61.64
League Position
2
6
Global Rank
247
437

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Górnik Zabrze — Opponent-weighted form score
Zagłębie Lubin — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Górnik Zabrze Zagłębie Lubin

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 35 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Górnik Zabrze Górnik Zabrze Home
35 matches
Zagłębie Lubin Zagłębie Lubin Away
Match Record
13
Wins
15
7
Draws
7
15
Losses
13
Goals
49
Goals Scored
52
52
Goals Conceded
49
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-08T02:03:29+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
M. Łubik
1 M. Łubik
M. Sáček
61 M. Sáček
R. Janicki
26 R. Janicki
J. Sánchez Guillén
20 J. Sánchez Guillén
O. Zmrzlý
67 O. Zmrzlý
J. Kubicki
14 J. Kubicki
P. Hellebrand
8 P. Hellebrand
R. Massimo
15 R. Massimo
L. Sadílek
13 L. Sadílek
M. Khlan
33 M. Khlan
Y. Ikia Dimi
7 Y. Ikia Dimi
J. Burić
1 J. Burić
D. Michalski
4 D. Michalski
M. Nalepa
25 M. Nalepa
J. Kolan
26 J. Kolan
D. Dąbrowski
8 D. Dąbrowski
J. Čorluka
16 J. Čorluka
M. Dziewiatowski
20 M. Dziewiatowski
F. Kocaba
39 F. Kocaba
M. Grzybek
13 M. Grzybek
M. Reguła
44 M. Reguła
M. Kosidis
9 M. Kosidis

General Information

Date & Time
May 09, 2026, 06:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
Arena Zabrze
Capacity
24413
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Szymon Marciniak

Expected Lineup

Referee : Szymon Marciniak

Starting XI ▼

1
Marcel Lubik
Marcel Lubik Goalkeeper
6.64
7
Yvan Ikia Dimi
Yvan Ikia Dimi Centre Forward
6.54
14
Jaroslaw Kubicki
Jaroslaw Kubicki Defensive Midfield
7.04
20
Josema
Josema Left Back
6.91
26
Rafal Janicki
Rafal Janicki Right Back
7.05
33
Maksym Khlan
Maksym Khlan Left Wing
6.97
61
Michal Sacek
Michal Sacek Right Back
6.8
67
Ondrej Zmrzly
Ondrej Zmrzly Left Back
6.62
8
Patrik Hellebrand
Patrik Hellebrand Defensive Midfield
7.31
13
Lukas Sadilek
Lukas Sadilek Attacking Midfield
7.09
15
Roberto Massimo
Roberto Massimo Right Wing
6.53
Referee : Szymon Marciniak

Starting XI ▼

1
Jasmin Buric
Jasmin Buric Goalkeeper
7.04
16
Josip Corluka
Josip Corluka Midfielder
6.83
13
Mateusz Grzybek
Mateusz Grzybek Midfielder
6.96
9
Michalis Kosidis
Michalis Kosidis Attacker
6.75
44
Marcel Regula
Marcel Regula Attacker
6.78
4
Damian Michalski
Damian Michalski Left Back
6.9
20
Mateusz Dziewiatowski
Mateusz Dziewiatowski Central Midfield
6.56
8
Damian Dabrowski
Damian Dabrowski Defensive Midfield
7.06
26
Jakub Kolan
Jakub Kolan Right Back
6.81
25
Michal Nalepa
Michal Nalepa Centre Back
7.14
39
Filip Kocaba
Filip Kocaba Central Midfield
6.66

CONCLUSION

Górnik Zabrze enters as clear favorites, leveraging superior power, form, and league position against a Zagłędzie Lubin side lagging in key metrics. The 6.7-point power edge and home venue at Arena Zabrze position Górnik to dominate structurally. While data gaps on efficiency, transitions, and set pieces limit granular insights, the form disparity—35.56 to 10.06—signals Górnik's momentum. Zagłędzie's mid-table status demands an upset, but overcoming these hurdles appears challenging. Górnik's consistency should prevail in this Ekstraklasa encounter, securing vital points in the title race.