Strasbourg vs Rayo Vallecano preview

Europe flag 2025/2026 Europa Conference League, Europe
Stade de la Meinau Thu, 7 May - 7:00 PM
Europa Conference League
Strasbourg STR
Rayo Vallecano RAY
KICKOFF : Thu, 7 May - 7:00 PM
Semi Finals Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 0 - 1

CONTEXT

Strasbourg host Rayo Vallecano in Europa Conference League (Semi-finals) at Stade de la Meinau. Power ranking favours Rayo Vallecano by 0.3 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Rayo Vallecano possesses a marginal structural edge with a power score of 78.5 over Strasbourg's 78.15.
  • Form: Rayo Vallecano shows superior form at 43.56 compared to Strasbourg's 27.78.
  • Squad: No detailed squad updates or injury information available for either team.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for both Strasbourg and Rayo Vallecano.
  • Transition: Transition play data not provided for this matchup.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance unavailable due to lack of xG data and low confidence.
  • xVariable: xVariable metrics not available in current dataset.
  • Market: Strasbourg 49.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.4% (Δ+0%) | Rayo Vallecano 24.2% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Strasbourg G. O'Neil
G. O'Neil
VS
Rayo Vallecano I. Pérez Soto
I. Pérez Soto
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.88
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rayo Vallecano Rank: 76 L
FSV Mainz 05 Rank: 81 W
FSV Mainz 05 Rank: 81 L
Rijeka Rank: 71 D
Rijeka Rank: 71 W
Breidablik Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Strasbourg Rank: 79 W
AEK Athens Rank: 76 L
AEK Athens Rank: 79 W
Samsunspor Rank: 74 L
Samsunspor Rank: 74 W
Drita Rank: 60 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Strasbourg
49.36%
Draw
26.42%
Away Rayo Vallecano
24.22%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
78.15
78.5
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Strasbourg
Rayo Vallecano
Power Score
78.15
78.5
League Position
1
5
Global Rank
80
75

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Strasbourg — Opponent-weighted form score
Rayo Vallecano — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Strasbourg Rayo Vallecano

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Strasbourg STR Home
1 matches
Rayo Vallecano RAY Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
0
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-07T00:02:37+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
M. Penders
39 M. Penders
G. Doué
22 G. Doué
A. Omobamidele
2 A. Omobamidele
I. Doukoure
6 I. Doukoure
B. Chilwell
3 B. Chilwell
V. Barco
32 V. Barco
S. El Mourabet
29 S. El Mourabet
D. da Silva Moreira
7 D. da Silva Moreira
S. Nanasi
11 S. Nanasi
M. Godo
20 M. Godo
J. Enciso
19 J. Enciso
A. Batalla Barga
13 A. Batalla Barga
J. Chavarría Pérez
3 J. Chavarría Pérez
P. Ciss
6 P. Ciss
F. Lejeune
24 F. Lejeune
A. Ratiu
2 A. Ratiu
Ó. Martín Luengo
23 Ó. Martín Luengo
U. López Cabrera
17 U. López Cabrera
J. De Frutos Sebastián
19 J. De Frutos Sebastián
I. Palazón Camacho
7 I. Palazón Camacho
Ilias Chakkour
12 Ilias Chakkour
A. Zurawski
9 A. Zurawski

General Information

Date & Time
May 07, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Europa Conference League, Europe · Semi Finals · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 0 - 1
Stadium
Stade de la Meinau
Capacity
29200
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Ivan Kružliak
Branislav Hancko
Ján Pozor
N. Walsh

Expected Lineup

Referee : Ivan Kružliak

Starting XI ▼

39
Mike Penders
Mike Penders Goalkeeper
7.14
2
Andrew Omobamidele
Andrew Omobamidele Defender
7
6
Ismaël Doukouré
Ismaël Doukouré Defender
6.91
3
Ben Chilwell
Ben Chilwell Defender
6.84
22
Guela Doué
Guela Doué Defender
6.74
29
Samir El Mourabet
Samir El Mourabet Midfielder
6.94
7
Diego Moreira
Diego Moreira Midfielder
6.89
11
Sebastian Nanasi
Sebastian Nanasi Midfielder
7.04
19
Julio Enciso
Julio Enciso Midfielder
7.19
32
Valentín Barco
Valentín Barco Midfielder
7.2
20
Martial Godo
Martial Godo Attacker
7.11
Referee : Ivan Kružliak

Starting XI ▼

13
Augusto Batalla
Augusto Batalla Goalkeeper
6.86
2
Andrei Rațiu
Andrei Rațiu Defender
6.74
24
Florian Lejeune
Florian Lejeune Defender
7.31
3
Pep Chavarría
Pep Chavarría Defender
6.95
6
Pathé Ciss
Pathé Ciss Midfielder
7
17
Unai López
Unai López Midfielder
7.18
23
Óscar Valentín
Óscar Valentín Midfielder
6.83
12
Ilias Akhomach
Ilias Akhomach Attacker
6.71
7
Isi Palazón
Isi Palazón Attacker
7.03
19
Jorge de Frutos
Jorge de Frutos Attacker
6.88
9
Alexandre Zurawski
Alexandre Zurawski Attacker
6.93

CONCLUSION

Strasbourg confront a 1-0 aggregate deficit, requiring a goal to level the tie and force extra time at home. Their power score trails Rayo's by just 0.3 points, offering hope amid fervent Stade de la Meinau support. Rayo's elevated form score underscores their resilience from the first leg. Absent specifics on efficiency, transitions, or set pieces, focus shifts to overall execution and mentality. Strasbourg's attacking urgency will test Rayo's backline, but the Spaniards' momentum suggests they can navigate the pressure. A tight contest looms, where home fire meets away steel.