Rijeka vs Vukovar preview

Croatia flag 2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
Stadion HNK Rijeka Fri, 8 May - 6:00 PM
1. HNL
Rijeka Rijeka
Vukovar Vukovar
KICKOFF : Fri, 8 May - 6:00 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Rijeka host Vukovar in 1. HNL (Regular Season) at Stadion HNK Rijeka. Domestically, Rijeka sit 4th in the table while Vukovar are 10th. Power ranking favours Rijeka by 22 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Rijeka holds a 22-point power advantage at 71.16 versus Vukovar's 49.12, with home side fourth and visitors tenth in the 1. HNL.
  • Form: Rijeka's form score stands at 21.33, superior to Vukovar's 16.33.
  • Squad: Rijeka's higher power score reflects stronger squad depth compared to Vukovar.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece data unavailable as xG not enabled, with low confidence proxies used.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable for attack and defense on set pieces.
  • Market: Rijeka 69.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 20.3% (Δ+0%) | Vukovar 10.2% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Rijeka V. Sánchez del Amo
V. Sánchez del Amo
VS
Vukovar T. Stipić
T. Stipić
1.52
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.85
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: 64 W
Hajduk Split Rank: 71 D
Varaždin Rank: 65 L
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 80 D
Osijek Rank: 63 L
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: 62 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Osijek Rank: 64 W
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: 62 D
Gorica Rank: 61 L
Istra 1961 Rank: 63 W
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 81 L
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: 63 D
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Rijeka
69.43%
Draw
20.33%
Away Vukovar
10.23%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
71.16
49.12
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Rijeka
Vukovar
Power Score
71.16
49.12
League Position
4
10
Global Rank
187
589

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Rijeka — Opponent-weighted form score
Vukovar — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Rijeka Vukovar

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Rijeka Rijeka Home
3 matches
Vukovar Vukovar Away
Match Record
2
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
2
Goals
6
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
6
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-08T00:02:45+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
M. Zlomislić
13 M. Zlomislić
A. Oreč
22 A. Oreč
A. Majstorović
45 A. Majstorović
S. Radeljić
6 S. Radeljić
M. Devetak
34 M. Devetak
B. Pavić
66 B. Pavić
A. Barco Del Solar
55 A. Barco Del Solar
A. Gojak
14 A. Gojak
T. Dantas
26 T. Dantas
J. Lasickas
23 J. Lasickas
D. Adu-Adjei
18 D. Adu-Adjei
A. Đaković
42 A. Đaković
K. Cabrajic
20 K. Cabrajic
V. Čaić
13 V. Čaić
M. Živković
14 M. Živković
N. Vlasenko
5 N. Vlasenko
J. Gurlica
35 J. Gurlica
E. Shabani
77 E. Shabani
L. Banovec
28 L. Banovec
R. Gonzales
10 R. Gonzales
?. Butić
27 ?. Butić
J. Puljić
21 J. Puljić

General Information

Date & Time
May 08, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion HNK Rijeka
Capacity
8279
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Ante Čulina

Expected Lineup

Referee : Ante Čulina

Starting XI ▼

13
Martin Zlomislic
Martin Zlomislic Goalkeeper
6.68
18
Daniel Adu-Adjei
Daniel Adu-Adjei Centre Forward
6.8
55
Alfonso Daniel Barco del Solar
Alfonso Daniel Barco del Solar Defensive Midfield
6.5
22
Ante Orec
Ante Orec Right Back
7
45
Ante Majstorovic
Ante Majstorovic Right Back
6.89
6
Stjepan Radeljic
Stjepan Radeljic Left Back
6.96
26
Tiago Dantas
Tiago Dantas Attacking Midfield
7.32
23
Justas Lasickas
Justas Lasickas Left Wing
6.71
14
Amer Gojak
Amer Gojak Right Wing
6.65
34
Mladen Devetak
Mladen Devetak Left Back
6.67
66
Branko Pavic
Branko Pavic Defensive Midfield
6.86
Referee : Ante Čulina

Starting XI ▼

42
Antonio Đaković
Antonio Đaković Goalkeeper
7.58
21
Jakov Puljic
Jakov Puljic Centre Forward
7.05
28
Lovro Banovec
Lovro Banovec Left Wing
6.78
20
Kristijan Cabrajic
Kristijan Cabrajic Left Back
6.52
77
Eniss Shabani
Eniss Shabani Defensive Midfield
6.8
35
Jakov Gurlica
Jakov Gurlica Defensive Midfield
6.9
10
Robin González
Robin González Attacking Midfield
6.89
5
Nikita Vlasenko
Nikita Vlasenko Right Back
6.58
14
Moreno Zivkovic
Moreno Zivkovic Right Back
6.6
13
Vito Caic
Vito Caic Left Back
6.62
27
Simun Butic
Simun Butic Right Wing
6.44

CONCLUSION

Rijeka enter as firm favorites, leveraging home advantage and superior power metrics to target a comfortable victory in this 1. HNL encounter. Their elevated league position and form edge position them to dominate possession and chances against a Vukovar side struggling for consistency. While set-piece insights are absent, Rijeka's overall projection underscores control from the outset. Vukovar must defy the gap through defensive resilience, but Rijeka's structural dominance likely secures three points. Expect the hosts to capitalize on their 22-point superiority for a routine win.