Cádiz vs Deportivo La Coruña preview

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla Fri, 8 May - 6:30 PM
La Liga 2
KICKOFF : Fri, 8 May - 6:30 PM
Round 39 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Cádiz host Deportivo La Coruña at Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla in a pivotal La Liga 2 regular season match during the 2025/2026 campaign. The home side sit precariously in 18th place, grappling with relegation pressure and a dismal form score of 1.61 that reflects their struggles. Deportivo La Coruña, meanwhile, are in contention for promotion from 3rd position, powered by an outstanding form rating of 27.61. Power scores highlight the disparity: Cádiz at 56.77 versus the visitors' 69.46, granting Deportivo a 12.7-point advantage. Cádiz will lean on familiar surroundings to spark a turnaround, but Deportivo's momentum and higher standing position them strongly. Limited recent outing details leave emphasis on broader metrics, with no specific efficiency or set-piece data available due to absent xG stats. Structural setups and transition phases could define proceedings in this uneven contest.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Cádiz occupy 18th in La Liga 2 while Deportivo La Coruña hold 3rd place.
  • Form: Cádiz register a low form score of 1.61 against Deportivo La Coruña's strong 27.61.
  • Squad: Deportivo La Coruña possess a higher power score of 69.46 compared to Cádiz's 56.77.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available for either team.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable in current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable as xG information not enabled.
  • xVariable: No xG variable data provided for analysis.
  • Market: Cádiz 24.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.4% (Δ+0%) | Deportivo La Coruña 49.3% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Cádiz J. Idiakez Barkaiztegui
J. Idiakez Barkaiztegui
VS
Deportivo La Coruña A. Hidalgo Morilla
A. Hidalgo Morilla
0.73
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.85
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cultural Leonesa Rank: 56 D
Las Palmas Rank: 70 L
Sporting Gijón Rank: 63 L
FC Andorra Rank: 66 L
Córdoba Rank: 65 L
Real Valladolid Rank: 61 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Leganés Rank: 64 W
Burgos Rank: 67 D
Mirandés Rank: 59 W
Huesca Rank: 58 D
Málaga Rank: 69 D
Córdoba Rank: 65 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 4 - 4
4
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Cádiz
24.33%
Draw
26.38%
Away Deportivo La Coruña
49.29%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
56.77
69.46
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Cádiz
Deportivo La Coruña
Power Score
56.77
69.46
League Position
18
3
Global Rank
594
219

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Cádiz Opponent-weighted form score
Deportivo La Coruña Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Cádiz Deportivo La Coruña

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Cádiz CAD Home
9 matches
Deportivo La Coruña COR Away
Match Record
1
Wins
4
4
Draws
4
4
Losses
1
Goals
9
Goals Scored
11
11
Goals Conceded
9
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-08T00:03:42+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-4-2

General Information

Date & Time
May 08, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 39 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Capacity
20724
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI

13
Victor Aznar
Victor Aznar Goalkeeper
6.67
11
Suso
Suso Midfielder
6.81
16
Antoñito Cordero
Antoñito Cordero Midfielder
6.72
7
Lucas Pérez
Lucas Pérez Attacker
6.65
23
García Pascual
García Pascual Attacker
6.81
5
Moussa Diakité
Moussa Diakité Central Midfield
6.79
34
Juan Díaz
Juan Díaz Right Back
6.75
21
Mario Climent
Mario Climent Left Back
6.73
24
Joaquín González
Joaquín González Central Midfield
6.82
2
Jorge Moreno
Jorge Moreno Left Back
6.81
14
Bojan Kovacevic
Bojan Kovacevic Right Back
6.7

Starting XI

25
Álvaro Fernández
Álvaro Fernández Goalkeeper
6.82
2
Adrià Altimira
Adrià Altimira Midfielder
7.13
10
Yeremay Hernández
Yeremay Hernández Midfielder
7.23
19
Luismi Cruz
Luismi Cruz Attacker
7
32
Bil Dornol Nsongo Tonfack
6.76
4
Lucas Noubi
Lucas Noubi Right Back
6.83
12
Giacomo Quagliata
Giacomo Quagliata Left Back
6.76
14
Riki Rodríguez
Riki Rodríguez Central Midfield
6.79
15
Miguel Loureiro
Miguel Loureiro Left Back
6.91
23
Ximo Navarro
Ximo Navarro Right Back
6.92
21
Mario Soriano
Mario Soriano Central Midfield
7.12

CONCLUSION

Deportivo La Coruña arrive with significant edges in league position, form, and power rating, making them the team to beat against struggling Cádiz. The hosts' home venue offers hope for resistance, but their poor recent metrics suggest vulnerability. Without detailed efficiency or set-piece insights, the focus falls on Deportivo's ability to control structure and transitions. Cádiz need a defensive masterclass and opportunistic counters to compete. Projections favor the visitors, yet La Liga 2's unpredictability keeps a draw in play. This matchup tests Cádiz's resolve against Deportivo's promotion push.