Pescara vs Spezia preview

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Stadio Adriatico-Giovanni Cornacchia Fri, 8 May - 6:30 PM
Serie B
Pescara PES
Spezia SPE
KICKOFF : Fri, 8 May - 6:30 PM
Round 38 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Pescara host Spezia in Serie B (Regular Season) at Stadio Adriatico-Giovanni Cornacchia. Domestically, Pescara sit 18th in the table while Spezia are 19th. Power ranking favours Spezia by 4 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Spezia possesses a 4-point power score advantage over Pescara, rated at 51.67 versus 47.7.
  • Form: Recent form scores show Spezia slightly ahead of Pescara at 9.94 compared to 9.83.
  • Squad: Pescara ranks 18th in Serie B while Spezia occupies 19th position.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams in this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics are not provided for Pescara or Spezia.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis relies on low-confidence proxy data with no xG available for either side.
  • xVariable: xG statistics remain unavailable, limiting advanced performance insights.
  • Market: Pescara 44.5% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.3% (Δ+0%) | Spezia 30.2% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Pescara G. Gorgone
G. Gorgone
VS
Spezia L. D'Angelo
L. D'Angelo
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.04
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Calcio Padova Rank: 49 L
Juve Stabia Rank: 56 D
Carrarese Rank: 54 D
Sampdoria Rank: 54 L
Reggiana Rank: 47 W
Empoli Rank: 55 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Venezia Rank: 70 D
Catanzaro Rank: 60 L
Südtirol Rank: 54 W
Mantova Rank: 55 L
Carrarese Rank: 54 L
Juve Stabia Rank: 57 L
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 4 - 7
7
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Pescara
44.54%
Draw
25.28%
Away Spezia
30.17%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
47.7
51.67
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Pescara
Spezia
Power Score
47.7
51.67
League Position
18
19
Global Rank
836
746

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Pescara — Opponent-weighted form score
Spezia — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Pescara Spezia

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 16 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Pescara PES Home
16 matches
Spezia SPE Away
Match Record
5
Wins
7
4
Draws
4
7
Losses
5
Goals
20
Goals Scored
27
27
Goals Conceded
20
-7
Goal Difference
+7
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-08T00:03:13+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-3-2-1
Match Formation 3-5-2
Pitch
I. Saio
22 I. Saio
G. Letizia
3 G. Letizia
R. Capellini
2 R. Capellini
D. Bettella
6 D. Bettella
A. Cagnano
32 A. Cagnano
L. Dabo
18 L. Dabo
G. Brugman
8 G. Brugman
L. Valzania
14 L. Valzania
L. Meacci
7 L. Meacci
L. Insigne
11 L. Insigne
A. Di Nardo
9 A. Di Nardo
B. Radunović
22 B. Radunović
G. Bonfanti
94 G. Bonfanti
A. Matějů
37 A. Matějů
L. Sernicola
17 L. Sernicola
G. Aurelio
31 G. Aurelio
M. Valoti
5 M. Valoti
A. Romano
60 A. Romano
C. Comotto
34 C. Comotto
L. Vignali
32 L. Vignali
G. Lapadula
10 G. Lapadula
G. Di Serio
20 G. Di Serio

General Information

Date & Time
May 08, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 38 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Adriatico-Giovanni Cornacchia
Capacity
20520
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Daniele Doveri
Vittorio Di Gioia
Andrea Zezza
Riccardo Tropiano

Expected Lineup

Referee : Daniele Doveri

Starting XI ▼

22
Ivan Saio
Ivan Saio Goalkeeper
6.91
7
Lorenzo Meazzi
Lorenzo Meazzi Midfielder
6.81
11
Lorenzo Insigne
Lorenzo Insigne Midfielder
7.45
9
Antonio Di Nardo
Antonio Di Nardo Centre Forward
6.93
8
Gastón Brugman
Gastón Brugman Central Midfield
6.93
2
Riccardo Capellini
Riccardo Capellini Right Back
6.7
3
Gaetano Letizia
Gaetano Letizia Right Back
7.03
6
Davide Bettella
Davide Bettella Left Back
6.65
14
Luca Valzania
Luca Valzania Central Midfield
6.82
18
Lamine Dabo
Lamine Dabo Central Midfield
6.56
32
Andrea Cagnano
Andrea Cagnano Left Back
6.59
Referee : Daniele Doveri

Starting XI ▼

22
Boris Radunović
Boris Radunović Goalkeeper
6.79
31
Giuseppe Aurelio
Giuseppe Aurelio Midfielder
6.61
32
Luca Vignali
Luca Vignali Midfielder
6.52
10
Gianluca Lapadula
Gianluca Lapadula Attacker
6.81
20
Giuseppe Di Serio
Giuseppe Di Serio Attacker
6.65
5
Mattia Valoti
Mattia Valoti Central Midfield
7.16
17
Leonardo Sernicola
Leonardo Sernicola Right Back
6.71
34
Christian Comotto
Christian Comotto Central Midfield
6.68
37
Ales Mateju
Ales Mateju Centre Back
6.84
60
Alessandro Romano
Alessandro Romano Central Midfield
6.89
94
Giovanni Bonfanti
Giovanni Bonfanti Left Back
6.66

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Spezia holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Spezia a 4-point edge. External projection is Pescara 44.2%, draw 25.9%, and Spezia 29.8%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.