Venezia vs Palermo preview

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo Fri, 8 May - 6:30 PM
Serie B
Venezia VEN
Palermo PAL
KICKOFF : Fri, 8 May - 6:30 PM
Round 38 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Venezia host Palermo at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo in a pivotal Serie B regular season fixture of the 2025/2026 campaign. The Arancioneroverdi top the domestic standings in first place, leveraging home advantage against fourth-placed visitors who boast a slight power score edge at 65.23 versus 63.05. Palermo's recent form score of 34.67 outpaces Venezia's 26.5, hinting at momentum in their challenge. This matchup pits league leaders against promotion contenders, with both sides displaying resilience in the tightly contested table. Venezia's defensive organization at home contrasts Palermo's fluid attacking transitions, setting up a tactical chess match. Without recent outing details, focus shifts to underlying metrics where Palermo hold a 2.2-point power advantage. Expect a high-stakes battle where positioning and execution will define supremacy.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Venezia lead Serie B in first place, hosting fourth-placed Palermo at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo.
  • Form: Palermo's form score stands at 34.67, superior to Venezia's 26.5.
  • Squad: Palermo possess a higher power score of 65.23 compared to Venezia's 63.05.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available for either team.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable in current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG information.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables not provided for this fixture.
  • Market: Venezia 60.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 21.5% (Δ+0%) | Palermo 17.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Venezia G. Stroppa
G. Stroppa
VS
Palermo F. Inzaghi
F. Inzaghi
2.42
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.04
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Spezia Rank: 51 D
Empoli Rank: 54 W
Bari 1908 Rank: 49 W
Virtus Entella Rank: 48 D
Juve Stabia Rank: 57 W
Monza Rank: 66 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Catanzaro Rank: 61 W
Reggiana Rank: 47 D
Cesena Rank: 52 W
Frosinone Rank: 68 D
Avellino Rank: 53 W
Calcio Padova Rank: 50 W
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 5 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Venezia
60.59%
Draw
21.54%
Away Palermo
17.87%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
63.05
65.23
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Venezia
Palermo
Power Score
63.05
65.23
League Position
1
4
Global Rank
204
328

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Venezia Opponent-weighted form score
Palermo Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Venezia Palermo

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Venezia VEN Home
13 matches
Palermo PAL Away
Match Record
6
Wins
2
5
Draws
5
2
Losses
6
Goals
17
Goals Scored
10
10
Goals Conceded
17
+7
Goal Difference
-7
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-08T00:04:06+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
F. Stankovic
1 F. Stankovic
J. Schingtienne
3 J. Schingtienne
M. Svoboda
30 M. Svoboda
B. Franjić
4 B. Franjić
A. Hainaut
18 A. Hainaut
E. Pérez Muñoz
71 E. Pérez Muñoz
G. Busio
6 G. Busio
I. Doumbia
8 I. Doumbia
R. Haps
5 R. Haps
J. Zamora
10 J. Zamora
A. Casas Marín
80 A. Casas Marín
J. Joronen
66 J. Joronen
G. Magnani
96 G. Magnani
M. Bani
13 M. Bani
D. Veroli
72 D. Veroli
S. Giovane
17 S. Giovane
F. Ranocchia
10 F. Ranocchia
R. Muati Modesto
18 R. Muati Modesto
N. Pierozzi
27 N. Pierozzi
D. Johnsen
7 D. Johnsen
A. Vasic
14 A. Vasic
J. Pohjanpalo
20 J. Pohjanpalo

General Information

Date & Time
May 08, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 38 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Capacity
11150
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Andrea Zanotti
Vittorio Emanuele Teghille
Matteo Passeri
Andrea Bianchini

Expected Lineup

Referee : Andrea Zanotti

Starting XI

1
Filip Stanković
Filip Stanković Goalkeeper
7.03
5
Ridgeciano Haps
Ridgeciano Haps Midfielder
6.88
18
Antoine Hainaut
Antoine Hainaut Midfielder
7.12
10
John Yeboah
John Yeboah Attacker
7.32
80
Antonio Casas
Antonio Casas Attacker
6.62
3
Joël Schingtienne
Joël Schingtienne Right Back
6.76
4
Bartol Franjic
Bartol Franjic Left Back
6.84
6
Gianluca Busio
Gianluca Busio Central Midfield
7.35
8
Issa Doumbia
Issa Doumbia Central Midfield
7.01
30
Michael Svoboda
Michael Svoboda Centre Back
7.13
71
Kike Pérez
Kike Pérez Central Midfield
7.25
Referee : Andrea Zanotti

Starting XI

66
Jesse Joronen
Jesse Joronen Goalkeeper
7.03
7
Dennis Johnsen
Dennis Johnsen Midfielder
6.62
14
Aljosa Vasic
Aljosa Vasic Midfielder
6.6
17
Samuel Giovane
Samuel Giovane Midfielder
6.43
27
Niccolò Pierozzi
Niccolò Pierozzi Midfielder
6.9
20
Joel Pohjanpalo
Joel Pohjanpalo Centre Forward
7.22
10
Filippo Ranocchia
Filippo Ranocchia Central Midfield
7.3
13
Mattia Bani
Mattia Bani Centre Back
7.19
18
Rui Modesto
Rui Modesto Central Midfield
6.41
72
Davide Veroli
Davide Veroli Right Back
6.75
96
Giangiacomo Magnani
Giangiacomo Magnani Left Back
6.95

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Palermo holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Palermo a 2.2-point edge. External projection is Venezia 57.4%, draw 22.6%, and Palermo 20.1%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.