Reggiana vs Sampdoria preview

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore Fri, 8 May - 6:30 PM
Serie B
Reggiana Reggiana
Sampdoria SAM
KICKOFF : Fri, 8 May - 6:30 PM
Round 38 Regular Season

CONTEXT

At the MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, Serie B strugglers Reggiana face a tough test against Sampdoria in this regular season fixture of the 2025/2026 campaign. Reggiana sit rock-bottom in 20th place, grappling with relegation pressures, while Sampdoria occupy a more comfortable 12th position, eyeing playoff possibilities. Sampdoria arrive with clear superiority, holding a 53.69 power score against Reggiana's 47.16, translating to a 6.5-point advantage that underscores their structural edge. Recent form amplifies this gap, as Sampdoria's 26.28 rating towers over Reggiana's meager 10.22, signaling momentum on the visitors' side. Home advantage might rally Reggiana, but Sampdoria's higher league standing and power metrics point to control. Detailed efficiency and set-piece data are unavailable due to lacking xG stats and low-confidence proxies, leaving some tactical layers obscured. Reggiana must disrupt Sampdoria's rhythm early to harbor hopes.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Sampdoria possesses a structural advantage with a 53.69 power score versus Reggiana's 47.16 and 12th place against 20th.
  • Form: Sampdoria's form score of 26.28 significantly outpaces Reggiana's 10.22.
  • Squad: Squad assessments align with power ratings favoring Sampdoria's depth and quality.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams in this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition metrics remain unassessed due to absent detailed tracking.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance uses low-confidence proxy data with no xG available for either side.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables are unavailable, limiting advanced performance insights.
  • Market: Reggiana 28.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28.8% (Δ+0%) | Sampdoria 42.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Reggiana P. Bisoli
P. Bisoli
VS
Sampdoria Attilio Lombardo
Attilio Lombardo
0.73
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.42
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Modena Rank: 57 L
Palermo Rank: 64 D
Calcio Padova Rank: 48 L
Carrarese Rank: 54 W
Pescara Rank: 48 L
Virtus Entella Rank: 48 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Südtirol Rank: 52 W
Cesena Rank: 52 D
Monza Rank: 65 L
Pescara Rank: 48 W
Empoli Rank: 55 W
Avellino Rank: 53 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Reggiana
28.6%
Draw
28.82%
Away Sampdoria
42.58%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
47.16
53.69
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Reggiana
Sampdoria
Power Score
47.16
53.69
League Position
20
12
Global Rank
868
686

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Reggiana Opponent-weighted form score
Sampdoria Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Reggiana Sampdoria

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Reggiana Reggiana Home
5 matches
Sampdoria SAM Away
Match Record
1
Wins
3
1
Draws
1
3
Losses
1
Goals
5
Goals Scored
7
7
Goals Conceded
5
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-08T00:04:13+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-3-2-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
A. Micai
1 A. Micai
L. Libutti
17 L. Libutti
F. Vicari
34 F. Vicari
M. Vanelli Lusuardi
47 M. Vanelli Lusuardi
A. Tripaldelli
33 A. Tripaldelli
M. Bertagnoli
26 M. Bertagnoli
L. Belardinelli
57 L. Belardinelli
M. Portanova
90 M. Portanova
M. Lambourde
93 M. Lambourde
N. Girma
80 N. Girma
C. Gondo
11 C. Gondo
T. Martinelli
50 T. Martinelli
S. Giordano
21 S. Giordano
M. Viti
2 M. Viti
M. Palma
13 M. Palma
A. Di Pardo
29 A. Di Pardo
O. Abildgaard
28 O. Abildgaard
M. Ricci
8 M. Ricci
L. Henderson
16 L. Henderson
L. Cherubini
10 L. Cherubini
M. Brunori Sandri
99 M. Brunori Sandri
T. Begić
11 T. Begić

General Information

Date & Time
May 08, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 38 · Regular Season
Stadium
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Capacity
21584
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Marco Guida
Francesco Cortese
Daniele Perenzoni
Simone Pistarelli

Expected Lineup

Referee : Marco Guida

Starting XI

1
Alessandro Micai
Alessandro Micai Goalkeeper
6.87
80
Natan Girma
Natan Girma Midfielder
6.86
93
Mathis Lambourde
Mathis Lambourde Midfielder
6.67
11
Cedric Gondo
Cedric Gondo Centre Forward
6.82
17
Lorenzo Libutti
Lorenzo Libutti Right Back
6.56
26
Massimo Bertagnoli
Massimo Bertagnoli Central Midfield
6.73
34
Francesco Vicari
Francesco Vicari Right Back
6.67
33
Alessandro Tripaldelli
Alessandro Tripaldelli Left Back
6.54
47
Mateus Lusuardi
Mateus Lusuardi Left Back
6.69
57
Luca Belardinelli
Luca Belardinelli Central Midfield
6.49
90
Manolo Portanova
Manolo Portanova Central Midfield
6.9
Referee : Marco Guida

Starting XI

50
Tommaso Martinelli
Tommaso Martinelli Goalkeeper
6.82
11
Tjas Begic
Tjas Begic Attacker
6.84
10
Luigi Cherubini
Luigi Cherubini Attacker
6.9
99
Matteo Luigi Brunori
Matteo Luigi Brunori Centre Forward
6.71
2
Mattia Viti
Mattia Viti Left Back
6.73
8
Matteo Ricci
Matteo Ricci Central Midfield
6.77
13
Matteo Palma
Matteo Palma Right Back
6.9
16
Liam Henderson
Liam Henderson Central Midfield
6.81
21
Simone Giordano
Simone Giordano Left Back
6.7
28
Oliver Abildgaard
Oliver Abildgaard Central Midfield
6.95
29
Alessandro Di Pardo
Alessandro Di Pardo Right Back
6.96

CONCLUSION

Sampdoria's superior power score, form, and league position position them as favorites to claim victory at MAPEI Stadium. Reggiana's dire 20th-place standing demands a heroic home performance, but the 6.5-point deficit and form chasm suggest vulnerability. Without xG or efficiency data, the focus shifts to Sampdoria's ability to impose their game plan against a desperate host. Expect the visitors to control possession and exploit transitions, while Reggiana counters with intensity. The projection split reinforces Sampdoria's edge, making this a mismatch tilted toward the away side's ambitions in the Serie B race.